Speculation continues over Poll Date

[Imported from Whale Oil Beef Hooked on Blogger]

Mrs Peter Davis and now Pete Hodgson are playing silly buggers over the election date.

The Herald outlines some options;

Poll options

August 20

Why: To capitalise on mood shift back to Labour following the All Black series win and Clark’s recent displays of leadership (What Leadership Displays?). Minimises National’s time to sell its tax policy, and could act as a circuit-breaker, arresting National’s momentum.

But: Reports of a recovery may be Labour exaggeration (You think???), and Clark might come off badly in the motorcade case due to run the first week of August.

September 10

Why: Allows Labour another month or so to egg on expectations about National’s tax policy, then another month or so to trash it. A week following possible triumph in the Tri Nations rugby series.

But: Gives National a platform of three more weeks in the House (as opposed to one week for August date) – and it might follow a dismal Tri Nations result.

September 17 (My Favourite)

Why: Last reasonable day to hold an election (without looking stupid), so gives Labour the longest possible time to claw back an advantage and National long enough to run out of steam.

But: It also give National 10 more weeks to raise fresh issues and haul out some old ones – remember Orewa?

A good friend of mine, who may or may not be an MP, has had September 17 on his timeline to the election that has been pinned to his wall since February.

94%