10

How to beat Peter Dunne

by Whaleoil on October 31, 2010

Peter Dunne, MPPeter “Rothmans” Dunne serves no useful purpose. He brings no other MPs into parliament, and having sucked the public teat since 1984 he needs to be moved on.

There is no way his joke of a party is getting 5% again so getting someone to beat him in Ohariu would end his political career, and if we had a decent speaker, mean he couldn’t travel the world on the tax payer in the company of his wife.

At the last election the vote was split. Dunne got about 12000. Charles Chauvel  (Charlie Shovel) got about 11000. Katrina “Lamb” Shanks got about 10000.

There are several options to get rid of Dunne. Chauvel will stand for Labour, and unless someone in National has a fit of common sense, the inept and amateur Katrina Shanks will run. If this happens, the best way of getting rid of Dunne will be to tactically vote for Chauvel.

Charlie Shovel has already been potentially mentioned as New Zealand’s first gay Prime Minister. He may get there, or he may not because he has a reputation for competing with the ever fragile Silent T for the reputation as the most arrogant Labour MP and he is a prize mincer whereas Grant Robertson is the blokes poof. That aside, he also has a reputation for working hard in the electorate, and this blogger understands he has made a positive impact.

Even without a tactical vote, the Dunne/ Shanks vote could will split and let Shovel win. He was only 1000 behind Dunne in 2008, and with three more years of hard work in the electorate proving he is relevant, Ohariu residents may just decide to pension off Dunne.

Dunne may try to do a deal with National to tank their candidate in Ohariu, but he cant really argue National need him to bring in other coalition partners, as he can’t poll enough to be noticed, and he simply wont bring anyone in. The other problem for National is that they can scarcely tank their candidate when she doesn’t do anything much anyway and the people that vote for her are probably doing it out of force of habit, or senility now winston doesn’t have a presence.

National could decide to get a competent candidate in Ohariu, someone with a large campaign team and plenty of money, but it is more likely remain with Shanks. Perhaps she could suddenly become competent, run a proper campaign and take the seat off Dunne, but somehow it seems doubtful the TAB would offer odds on this ever happening because it is so unlikely.

So Charles is a serious contender for the first Labour candidate given a Whale Oil endorsement

Tagged: • • • • • • •

Related posts

  • Graeme Edgeler

    Dunne brings himself in. That’s 1 vote. If Katrina Shanks were to beat Peter Dunne, National would gain one electorate MP but lose one list MP. Even if Dunne doesn’t bring anyone else in, his vote may still be useful to whomever he decides to go into government with.

  • whalewatcher

    I chanced across Chauvel on a TV interview last night, I think channel 7 on the freeview.
    Anyway, the interviewer was a patsy, probably in bed with the Gizzy Gayboy, and no hard questions were asked.
    He kept going on about Chauvel accidentally finding success, or some such trite rubbish.
    However, he didn’t mention how CC ran away from Auckland Grammar after about 3 days. This after running away from his previous school (which was either Palmy North Boys’ High or Kings’ College).
    Try adding that to Chauvel’s wikipedia page – I have twice, it’s the truth – and it will be removed within a few hours.
    He is not someone I would want as the country’s leader.
    He is without depth.
    And that is not a sodomy joke.

  • cadwallader

    I knew a girl once named Natalie Dunne, she kept having boyfriends until she was utterly done. Do you see the analogy given the permanent availability of Peter Dunne?

  • bluecoast

    Thanks Whale an interesting comment or two. Not sure you have the feel of the patch and from the gossip I get the locals place CC last in the MP stakes for Ohariu.
    Ronald McDonald the Green fool has a little more credence.
    Love your view from afar but this time your spies may have lost their edge.

    If Dunne nothing folds his tent then CC will get a large bitch slapping.

  • rivoniaboy

    Hey Cam.
    You couldn’t lower the bar further if you tried. Mostly like where you are coming from, but this one is just plain nonesense.

  • arnold

    Hi Cam
    i agree with the other comments. I am represented by Dunne and although he will turn up even if someone is opening an envelope he is still better than the prissy CC who we all know just loves kids on airplanes. The mincer would not get a vote from my street, it is a shame that Nats still put Parata in Mana, she would do well in my area. she is smart and wasted in porilua.

    Shanks is a waste of time, at least we agree on that

  • nashie14

    I agree, Dunne has certainly done his dash in Ohariu – but it must be a tough task for either of the MP to tap into his die-hard supporters. The problem is he’s a second generation MP – the kids he visited at kindy are now voters, their parents remember him, and his smile (albeit seedy) is so recognisable after 28 years in the electorate.

    In my opinion, the National Party really shafted Shanks at the last election – despite his dismal party vote I guess they were delusionally hoping that Dunne would get enough support to bring in another MP. He didn’t – and now Shanks’ vote is worth as much as Dunne’s.

    I don’t envy Shanks at all in her role – it must be fairly hard to be a government list-MP in an electorate whose sitting MP is a coalition partner – she needs to find a point of difference without shitting on him (just yet anyway), or the party.

    But I wouldn’t underestimate her potential for the next election – she’s previously run some very strong campaigns. Ohariu was one of the safest seats in the country, Dunne with a 12,000 majority. But since Shanks stood this has decreased dramatically and the National Party vote has increased – it’s pretty clear that Ohariu residents are ready for a change.

    From what I have seen, Shanks is thick in the community, she has the time to spend with the constituents, and her profile has certainly grown over the past years.

    Hopefully the party realises the value in Shanks at the next election and lets her do her thing!

  • nashie14

    BTW… How is Charlie ‘relevant’ to the family orientated, predominantly middle-class electorate when he tells kids to “shut-up” on airplanes??

    According to a parent at Cashmere Ave School, Charlie sent his assistant along to the school play – who took up the two best seats in the house, while some parents didn’t even get the chance to go as tickets were sold out…. it makes you think.

  • kevob

    Peter Dunne has the task of Minister of Revenue. IRD has constant work for a Minister as required by statutes. Not an enviable job.

    • hagues

      Sounds like hard work. I suggests he gives up his electoral seat and seeks a list spot only at the next election…