Labour faces a dilemma today. They have to select a replacement for Chris Carter in Te Atatu and they have to also run the risk of triggering the “Tizard Effect”.
Chris Carter has said he will trigger a by-election if anyone other than Labour’s spokeman for the homeless, Phil Twyford, gets the nomination, but he also lets Labour know that even if they elect Twyford that the Tizard effect is in play still.
Mr Carter said he did not know what his political future held and he might leave politics before the election if a good job came along – forcing an unwelcome byelection for Labour.
So Chris Carter is saying that if a better job comes along than sitting in parliament in the naughty chair then he will be off and force a by-election. If Phil Twyford wins that by-election then Judith Tizard will make a triumphant return to parliament.
Actually there are a couple of scenarios for the Tizard Effect to kick in. Apart from Twyford, Rajen Prasad is also seeking the nomination and Chris Carter will resign and force a by-election if he gets selected.
If somehow a by-election in Te Atatu isn’t held we still have an exciting prospect to look forward to.
Mr Carter is writing a book about the previous Labour Government, which he hopes to finish by March.
Oh I can’t wait.