23

The Socialist Republic isn’t so Socialist any more

by Whaleoil on November 27, 2011

National won the Party Vote in the five seats in Christchurch by a wopping 28,212, yet only have one seat and a tie in another.

Looks like Labour forgot how to get people to party vote Labour.


Labour PV National PV Margin
Christchurch Central 6,849 10,693 3,844
Christchurch East 8,106 11,897 3,791
Ilam 5,723 17,672 11,949
Port Hills 8,038 12,684 4,646
Wigram 8,661 12,643 3,982
37,377 65,589 28,212
Tagged: • • •

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  • http://keepingstock.blogspot.com/ Inventory2

    Add Waimakiriri and Selwyn to that Cam; both electorates suffered significantly in the September 2009 earthquake particularly. Clayton Cosgrove lost Waimak, and Amy Adams had a resounding win in Selwyn; surely a Cabinet berth beckons for her.

  • Anonymous

    Yep – good to see the swing to the Nats there. 
    Anyway – this is what I’ll be posting on Red Alert today –
    “Well…. as a Nat supporter I could be humble in victory.
    But no – I’ll just quote Michael “rich pricks” Cullen” –
    “We won. You lost. Eat that.”   “ 

    • Lindsay Addie

      Yup,  the leftie blogs are hilarious to read this morning!

  • Lindsay Addie

    1. Never thought I’d live to see Chch swing so strongly to National.
    2. Its great to be in the most marginal seat in the country..
    3. The most stunning of the party votes Cam lists is Wigram. Jimbo must be have shit and puked himself silly by now.

    • Anonymous

      Apparently Clare Curran had her majority slashed in Dun. South, and the Nats won the party vote in that electorate. Interesting.  

      • Lindsay Addie

        Here in Chch Central the Nats with their billboards specifically targetted the party vote…….

        • Anonymous

          Here’s hoping the Nats can get Chch Central with the special votes. 

      • Catwoman

        Jo Hayes and her National team in Dunedin worked very hard to achieve this result.  National won the Party Vote in Dunedin South for the first time ever and also halved Curran’s majority.  Labour’s Dunedin South “Stronghold” is now bordering on marginal.

        • Anonymous

          Good on her!  **Outstanding** effort by her and the team down there! 

  • Mark

    Am I missing something here? Hozin states:

    “Horizon’s final pre-election poll indicated National’s probable share of definite voters would be 32.6% of the 18+population or 1.06 million votes.

    Preliminary results from yesterday’s general election give National  957,769 votes, or 29.2% of the total 18+ population and 47.99% of actual votes cast, 110,207 fewer than the probable vote forecast.”

    Then states:

    “The final Horizon pre-election forecast definite vote for the 18+ population for Labour was 29.1% or 950,040 votes. The preliminary result gives Labour 27.3% of votes cast, down 255,381, or 32%, of its 2008 vote of 796,880.”

    Link here: http://horizonpoll.co.nz/page/192/election-results-close-to-forecasts

    Is Horizon being somewhat economical with the truth AND inconsistent here or is it just me?

    • Anonymous

      Not just you. They are trying to make it sound like they were closer than they were. Note they don’t compare Labour’s result with the % of total population like they do with National as it would show they were well off. They only do that for National to try and make it sound like they were close.

  • Mark

    “Horizon” sorry ..

  • MrV

    Hopefully the local newspaper will take this on board when it continues to publish letters to the editor which are basically nothing more than ad hominem against Gerry Brownlee.

    People are sick of reading it.

  • Cadwallader

    Well, the CHCH results make a complete lie of the whining bullshit from Dalziel and Plug.

    • Anonymous

      Yep.  I reckon there is potential for the Nats in Dunedin South too, given that Curran had her majority slashed and lost the party vote there to the Nats. Don’t know much about Joanne Hayes who opposed her, but she seems pretty down-to-earth –
      http://www.national.org.nz/Candidate.aspx?Id=92395 

  • Sooty

    After buying KFC and carting the people to the polling booths, they still did not tick Lairbour. How sad, never mind.

  • Gazzaw

    I had to laugh last night when political ‘experts’ such as Johanson were blaming the shift to National in Ch’ch on the demographic changes caused by the earthquakes. Maybe he thinks that Nat supporters were somehow immune to the effects.

    Could it be that the Ch’ch are quite happy with the way that the government has handled the problem? Not according to Johanson.  

  • http://truebluenz.com/ Redbaiter

    “The Socialist Republic isn’t so Socialist any more”

    It will be even more socialist if after special votes are counted, Key is forced into an alliance with these commie scum.

    • Anonymous

      Yeah….. hopefully the specials will follow the other votes with the swing to the Nats. 

  • Mr Brooklands

    Sometimes the best MP is from the wrong party.

  • Lcmortensen

    Could it have something to do with the earthquake – people may vote National for their earthquake rebuilding (or lack of it as the case may be in the eyes of some voters).

    As for Jo Hayes and Dunedin South – I think that was more people on the Taieri and the Peninsula influencing the vote rather than smaller city part (South Dunedin, St Kilda, Andy Bay, St Clair, Corstorphine, Green Island, Fairfield).

  • Anonymous

    You need to weigh the National vote up against the Labour/Green Block. In doing so, National wins every Christchurch seat other than the Port Hills. Even in Wigram, the National vote was higher than the Labour/Green block.

    All this said, we await specials. I have an inkling advange here will go to Labour/Green.

  • Anonymous

    I wonder how much the $1.7B bail out of South Canterbury Finance had to play in the big shift of voters. Thats over 30,000 investors which includes, individuals, couples, family trusts and businesses. I suspect this had a significant role in the South Island than anyone is prepared to admitt.

    National were disgracefull in conveniently ignoring advice from the SFO (of course they new about the dealings), bailing out SCF (for a paltry $1.7B of borrowings) and gaining all those greatfull voters.

    Is SCF worth anything these days, perhaps the NATs should sell it? Oh yes I forget they only sell assets which generate revenue.