Nate Silver reckons there is a 97% chance that Mitt Romney will take out the Florida primary tonight:
The shift away from Newt Gingrich in the Florida polls has been as significant as the one toward him in South Carolina. The first two polls released after South Carolina showed Mr. Gingrich with a lead of 8 and 9 points, respectively. But the news has gotten worse for him almost every day, and he trails Mitt Romney by nearly 15 points in theÂ final FiveThirtyEight forecastÂ of the Florida primary.
You can follow his live blog of the Florida primary.