The great global arming swindle is coming to an end, and the cracks are beginning to appear in the edifice. When former alarmists are starting to apologise and of their own volition then I believe we have progress:
James Lovelock, the maverick scientist who became a guru to the environmental movement with his âGaiaâ theory of the Earth as a single organism, has admitted to being âalarmistâ about climate change andÂ says other environmental commentators, such asÂ Al Gore, were too.
Lovelock, 92, is writing a new book in which he will say climate change is still happening, but not as quickly as he once feared.
HeÂ previously painted some of the direst visions of the effects of climate change.Â In 2006,Â in an article in the U.K.âs Independent newspaper, he wrote that âbefore this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable.â
It was this sort of alarmism that made reasonable arguments for mitigation get swamped int he race for the worst possible headlines.
âThe problem is we donât know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books â mine included â because it looked clear-cut, but it hasnât happened,â Lovelock said.
âThe climate is doing its usual tricks. Thereâs nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now,â he said.
âThe world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable timeâŠ it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising — carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that,â he added.
He pointed to Goreâs âAn Inconvenient Truthâ and Tim Flanneryâs âThe Weather Makersâ as other examples of âalarmistâ forecasts of the future.
Finally someone from the alarmist team has called bullshit on Al Gore. I await his apology.
Asked if he was now a climate skeptic, Lovelock told msnbc.com: âIt depends what you mean by a skeptic. Iâm not a denier.â
He said human-caused carbon dioxide emissions were driving an increase in the global temperature, but added that the effect of the oceans was not well enough understood and could have a key role.
âIt (the sea) could make all the difference between a hot age and an ice age,â he said.
He said he still thought that climate change was happening, but that its effects would be felt farther in the future than he previously thought.
âWe will have global warming, but itâs been deferred a bit,â Lovelock said.
As âan independent and a loner,â he said he did not mind saying âAll right, I made a mistake.â He claimed a university or government scientist might fear an admission of a mistake would lead to the loss of funding.
And there is James Lovelock’s apology. Now let’s hear some more.