The great global arming swindle is coming to an end, and the cracks are beginning to appear in the edifice. When former alarmists are starting to apologise and of their own volition then I believe we have progress:
James Lovelock, the maverick scientist who became a guru to the environmental movement with his â€śGaiaâ€ť theory of the Earth as a single organism, has admitted to being â€śalarmistâ€ť about climate change andÂ says other environmental commentators, such asÂ Al Gore, were too.
Lovelock, 92, is writing a new book in which he will say climate change is still happening, but not as quickly as he once feared.
HeÂ previously painted some of the direst visions of the effects of climate change.Â In 2006,Â in an article in the U.K.â€™s Independent newspaper, he wrote that â€śbefore this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable.â€ť
It was this sort of alarmism that made reasonable arguments for mitigation get swamped int he race for the worst possible headlines.
â€śThe problem is we donâ€™t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books â€“ mine included â€“ because it looked clear-cut, but it hasnâ€™t happened,â€ť Lovelock said.
â€śThe climate is doing its usual tricks. Thereâ€™s nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now,â€ť he said.
â€śThe world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable timeâ€¦ it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising — carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that,â€ť he added.
He pointed to Goreâ€™s â€śAn Inconvenient Truthâ€ť and Tim Flanneryâ€™s â€śThe Weather Makersâ€ť as other examples of â€śalarmistâ€ť forecasts of the future.
Finally someone from the alarmist team has called bullshit on Al Gore. I await his apology.
Asked if he was now a climate skeptic, Lovelock told msnbc.com: â€śIt depends what you mean by a skeptic. Iâ€™m not a denier.â€ť
He said human-caused carbon dioxide emissions were driving an increase in the global temperature, but added that the effect of the oceans was not well enough understood and could have a key role.
â€śIt (the sea) could make all the difference between a hot age and an ice age,â€ť he said.
He said he still thought that climate change was happening, but that its effects would be felt farther in the future than he previously thought.
â€śWe will have global warming, but itâ€™s been deferred a bit,â€ť Lovelock said.
As â€śan independent and a loner,â€ť he said he did not mind saying â€śAll right, I made a mistake.â€ť He claimed a university or government scientist might fear an admission of a mistake would lead to the loss of funding.
And there is James Lovelock’s apology. Now let’s hear some more.