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Roy Morgan Poll

by Whaleoil on November 15, 2012

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out…Labour and the Greens cannabilise each other and Winston, but up are up 3.5%. National is up as well.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a rise in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 45.5% (up 2% since October 8-21, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2% (down 1.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 32.5% (up 3.5%); Greens are 10.5% (down 2.5%), New Zealand First 5% (down 2.5 %), Mana Party 1% (up 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 1.5% (down 0.5) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says it would be too close to call.

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  • Pete George

    That Labour recovery to mediocre should prevent more wolves arriving at Shearer’s door, a bad result here could have revived the leadership debate.

    The poll was taken up to Sunday, before Labour’s leadership issue opened out into the MSM.

  • http://twitter.com/Inventory2 Inventory2

    I didn’t quite expect the effect of the National for Shearer FB page to be felt this quickly!

  • Liberty

    A rise in the poll would
    not have been in the dastardly plan.

    There will be no blood letting this week.

  • thor42

    If (or when) John Ansell’s party gets up and running, it’ll be interesting to see how that goes. I’m picking that he could pick up about 3% right from the start – maybe more.

    • kiwiinamerica

      thor
      Ansell was behind the ACT coup that ousted Hide in favour of his mentor Don Brash. Ansell boasted at the time that ACT would become a major force in NZ politics and that Brash would be the next PM! I know John and emailed him privately that his and Brash’s coup would merely cap off a disasterous year for ACT and add to the circular firing squad that would eliminate all but incoming Epsom MP John Banks. And thus it was. Ansell’s Iwi Kiwi campaign was brilliant. His colourblind campaign has promise but he lacks even the basic political instincts to survive and his blindness to his former boss’ abysmal retail political skills makes it difficult for him to have credibility or to allow a good message to gain proper traction.

      • http://twitter.com/Inventory2 Inventory2

        Quite so KIA; as long as Ansell continues to portray himself as the victim of a campaign/conspiracy by bloggers and Rotary clubs, he will get no traction whatsoever. As with most admen, he has an inflated view of his station in life.

        • Liberty

          Ansell makes some valid points. But there
          is no place for political parties that
          just push a single issue.

          It is the same with the conservatives. With ideals based on a flaky God.

          Or NZF with
          their anti Asian doctrine.

    • http://www.whaleoil.co.nz Whaleoil

      Ansell is an idiot. He is the sound of one hand clapping.

  • Phar Lap

    Lovely to see the RED/”greens” taking a beating.People are waking up to their psychopathic ideas.They are under the cosh in Australia, where their credibility is zilch.NZs are also realising that a wet back named Norman an Australian commie,has too much to say, on his proposals telling NZs how to run their lives.Seems he and his ilk can’t fool all the people all of the time.His commie party is hell bent on destroying the NZ economy.

    • Gazzaw

      I wondered who makes up the Greens today when watching Parliament. The only two speakers were wetbacks – Norman & the yankee sheila. She was utterly fucking clueless by the way. English chewed her up and maintained that deadpan expression of his but you knew that he was fair bursting to break out laughing.

      • Phar Lap

        Makes me wonder about that green tart.Was seen swanning around Boston two weeks ago.Seems she is a defacto NZ for income purposes.F

        • Troy

          She’s just another toxic green who hails from part of the world where they give fuck all about the environment but why she would associate herself with the loonies in the green party here is no surprise given her performance in the chamber is balmy – most MP’s snigger listening to her but the tree-hugging assholes love her.

  • Sir Cullen’s Sidekick

    Thank God, normalcy is returning to Rouge Morgan polls. So all we need now is for Winston First to drop below 5% and get close to 2% continuously. It is remarkable of National to be polling in the 45% – 48% range consistently for so long. But the worrying trend is the absence of any support partners.

    • Apolonia

      National need a number of potential partners as Clark did, they are looking increasingly isolated though.

  • Seems to me

    Seem to me that polls at this point of the election cycle are close to meaningless. Hence the rather large swings heither and non in only a couple of weeks.

  • Allyson

    Too close to call you say. A Key/Shearer presidential style debate should sort that one out eh.

    • Travis Poulson

      MMP will be Nationals downfall I fear. Labour won’t get in by being the most popular, and sure as hell not for most preferred PM. It will be because opposition leader Russel Norman has successfully pulled the wool over dimwitted peoples eyes and conned them to vote for a commie on the back of a charade of environmental policy.

      • Troy

        Agreed, so, what can we do about it? Expose the Greens for what they are as much and as vigorously as possible between now and 2014. I’d like to think that kiwi’s aren’t that stupid enough not to make the link that if they vote green they end up with red – but sometimes this needs to be spelt out.

        • Patrick

          About time National started reaming the lefties on their policies. Unfortunately if Labour are a rabble then more of their natural voters will drift towards the other left parties. Therefore under MMP it doesn’t really matter that Labour are p1ss poor as what is important is the parties on the left that can form a government.
          What is required is for the lefties policies & the commies that inhabit the Greens to be exposed for what they are. Need not think you can rely on the MSM to do that for you so Key & Co need to go all out on attack. The voters need to know how the policies will affect them. They also need to be reminded what a lying corrupt conniving duplicitous wanker Peters is. More YouTube vids ala Key on Norman printing money.

          • Troy

            This is true that the MSM seems to either be incapable or not interested in placing a magnifying glass on the Green Party. Political journalists seem to be more in intent on reporting about red shirts and so forth rather than taking a serious look at the damage the Green Party would do for our economy. My challenge is to the MSM to actually get off their asses and expose the Green with the same vigor they seem to be for lesser unimportant issues – i’m not confident they have the guts to do so.

          • Patrick

            Nothing to do with having the guts most of the journalists and their employers are left wing sympathisers. Look at the easy ride Clarke was given & how the rabble that is Labour are not held to account currently.
            On top of that the level of intelligence shown in the infantile nonsense around red shirts & someone being called gay just reflects the mental capacity of those rarking up these stories.
            Yet there are plenty of defenders of our education system – all our journalists do is demonstrate how poor that system really is.

        • Travis Poulson

          What can we do about it? Well there’s only so much you and I can do. Don’t forget stupid people can vote too, and some people just won’t be able to see through the smokescreen of bullshit deviance, thinking that no matter what happens, they are voting for the environment.

      • Mediaan

        Yes, the so-called Greens are imbeciles on environmental matters. They have no background in slogging for the environment. They came in wanting power, not sound-ecology outcomes.

        Watch them. They seem to be trying to work out what are green issues are as they go along, then jumping hastily into support of what they think they are.

        “Profoundly deaf” Mojo Mather, by the way, is also worth close watching.

        Mostly she is face-down eyeing her computer screen, the blue reflected in her glasses. But she acts strangely at other times.

        Funny to see her, head up like anybody else, listening to somebody on her side’s witticisms (not lip-readable), cracking a smile at the exact right moment.

  • Pissedoffyouth

    The downfall of MMP.

    At least with a 2 party system you tend to get mostly central policies, but as the say in NZ the tail wags the dog.

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