Interesting question. Daniel Honan at Big Think mulls it over
Some time in March a puff of white smoke will rise over St. Peter’s Square. Will it signal a black Pope from Africa?
The Catholic Church today is not your grandfather’s Catholic Church. That’s not just because of Vatican II. The selection of a black Pope would represent the rapidly changing demographics of the Church. There are over 135 million Catholics in Africa, making it the second fastest-growing region for Catholicism after Asia.
A Pope from Africa would also be of particular significance in regard to efforts to modernize Church doctrine on contraception and the prevention of sexually transmitted diseases. Turkson has made his belief known that he does not see condoms as the solution to Africa’s AIDS crisis, but he has also suggested some flexibility when it comes to married couples.
A pope from Ghana or Nigeria.
Don’t see that child abuse thing being dealt with transparently any time soon.