No wonder the Green/Labour petition against asset sales failed.
David Farrar has obtained details of the signatures under the Official Information Act and found that 1 in 9 or 11% of signatures were from people signing twice.
Not only were the Green/Labour politicians dishonest in paying for people to collect signatures but they also collected 11% of the signatures twice.
There were 393,778 signatures submitted. They needed 308,753 to make 10%. Stats NZ found the estimated number of valid signatures was 292,291 with a standard error of 2,579. That meant 26% of signatures were invalid. Stats NZ commented:
The probability of there being enough valid signatures in the full petition given the results of our sample is (negligible) less than one in a billion.
So why were so few signatures valid. The sample stats were:
- Signatures checked 28,127
- Unique electors 23,031
- Ineligible signatures 4,909 (not on electoral roll)
- Illegible signers 21
- Duplicate 166
Now that level of duplicates may not sound high, but that is the number of people found as duplicates just in the small sample tested. If you checked the entire sample, you would get far more. Stats NZ estimates that all up, 11% of those who signed the petition signed it at least twice. That is a very high proportion, and much much higher than any other CIR where the figure has ranged from 5.1% to 8.8%.
The proportion of ineligibles was 17%, and the range in other CIRs has been between 12% and 18%. So the key difference with this CIR was not the proportion of ineligible signing it – but people fraudulently signing it more than once. 11% means one in nine signers signed it twice!
Surely there is a case now for getting our money back off the Greens for fraudulently attempting to rig a CIR.