Arts, Travel & Lifestyle blogger David Farrar is widely regarded as being New Zealand’s best pollster. That is why we use him for Incite polling, and why we listen when he tells us a poll is dodgy.
He is clearly saying Labour’s polling is dodgy, and has posted about it.
A rather desperate Andrew Little has released their internal polling from UMR to try and convince people they are really winning.
UMR is a very good company and I often refer people to them, if I can’t do the work. But I will comment on this specific poll as it is vastly different to every other poll published.
They have National at 40%. National has not polled 40% in any public poll since 2006.
Like Farrar we do not think this poll passes the sniff test. However, we respect raw data and will happily admit it is wrong if the Labour Party actually release the questions used in the survey, and the raw data along with the methodology used, which is accepted practice from serious polling companies overseas.
We just want to know if UMR has hired Colin Craig’s old pollster who said 53% of Rodney were going to vote for Craig when he ended up losing by 12,222 votes.