In US politics there is always talk of a path to victory. I have used this term extensively and now we can look at it again with the National party caucus selection for leader and the role of Prime Minister.
The selection is a once in ten-year event for caucus to consider. National has been that stable under John Key. Caucus members should think very carefully in the way they cast their vote next Monday. There are 59 votes to gather and to win a candidate needs to secure 30 votes.
So far there are three declared contenders, Bill English, Jonathan Coleman and Judith Collins.
So what are their paths to victory?
Bill English has a path to victory, but it is perilous and requires some devious skullduggery to implement. Bill has deviousness and skullduggery in spades. His current support base is mostly made up of current ministers. Key supporters are John Key, Nick Smith, Steve Joyce and Gerry Brownlee. He has almost no support amongst the back bench and that is due to his unwillingness to socialise or interact with them. He refuses requests to attend openings and largely spends time with other Wellington-based MPs like Gerry Brownlee. Read more »