Re-shuffling tired old dog-eared cards in a dodgy deck isn’t going to produce a winning hand unfortunately.
Closing in on the end of the year, the RNZ Poll of Polls is close to where it was shortly after the beginning: Labour up a bit and National down a bit, but National still with a handy lead over Labour and the Greens combined.
There was a brief time midyear when, amidst bad news on the economy which temporarily softened consumer confidence, Labour-plus-Greens headed National. But that was quickly reversed, and the readings of economic confidence and whether the country was on the right or wrong track, firmed up again through the spring.
Labour optimists might argue that there has been a 15-month downward trend in National’s lead but, if so, it is not the sort of trend that by this time next year will be heralding a looming victory with the Greens in 2017.