These are the predictions of Martyn martin Bradbury…political commentator and party strategist.
ACT â€“ wiped out, will not win Epsom after a calculated campaign by Labour & Green voters to strategically vote Goldsmith in. Wasted party vote. Maori Party â€“ wiped out, will not win any electorates. Their relationship with National has burned them, even if they manage to hold onto one seat, they wonâ€™t generate enough Party vote to pull anyone else in with them. United Future â€“ Dunne may hold on, but it will be close. NZ First â€“ God damn it, I thought this election it would be over for Winnie, but Cunliffeâ€™s â€˜sorry for being a manâ€™ comment revealed the deep seated conservatism and anti-feminist mind set of a lot of older male Labour Party voters who have all walked off to Winnie â€“ 6-8% for NZ First. Internet MANA â€“ have had speed wobble issues as they moved from crawling to sprinting. Needed far better internal discipline than occurred. Â Will win Te Tai Tokerau, will win Waiariki will win 4-5% of vote. Would have won 7% if their full employment and free education policies hadnâ€™t been sidelined byÂ ill timed attacks on the media. Greens â€“ sterling campaign, one of the best in the election will win 13-15% of party vote. Their time to be taken seriously and be at the table has come, will burn a lot of credibility if they do end up helping National out with policy. Looks likely to be snookered however by Labour & NZ First. Â Â Read more »
This is theÂ pro Hone trend: