What would have happened if Scotland voted YES
Simon Lusk is one of the few full time campaigners in New Zealand who also wins. He is releasing a campaign book chapter by chapter on Amazon.
The first chapter is Start with a Good Candidate….a good chapter for the Labour party to start with.
The Labour Party has a really big problem.
It keeps selecting candidates that cannot win, even in seats that they should win.
The best example of this is Tony Milne in Christchurch Central.
Milne did the hard yards over the years, made all the right connections and was very, very close to former MP Tim Barnett.
The problem is that to win you actually need to be electable.
Milne was never electable. Unfortunately for Tony he has absolutely no presence. He is a midget that wears massive dark framed glasses and walks into a room and nobody notices him.
Check out Tonyâs campaign video.
Danyl McLauchlan writes about the slaying of theÂ left.
- The National Party is an incredibly well resourced, well managed, professional political party and it turns out that these things counted for aÂ lotÂ last night.
- The phone was not off the hook for Labour. Twelve months ago, just after Cunliffe won the leadership of his party LabourÂ were on 37% with the Greens on 12%. Thereâs a cliche that oppositions donât win elections, governmentâs lose them, but Labour lost this election. Cunliffe is probably the worst campaigner in New Zealand political history.
- Based on the preliminary figures I think turnout will end up being slightly higher than last time but still very low. I was a strong advocate for a strategy ofÂ having left-wing parties try and improve their vote by targeting and mobilising younger voters, but it turns that that strategy isÂ electoral suicide!Â Sorry guys!
- So the lesson from last nightâs right-wing landslide seems to be that older New Zealanders are very engaged with the political process and younger New Zealanders are not. Thatâs a shame but itâs a message politicians cannot ignore. No oneâs going to waste time and energy chasing âthe youth voteâ again for a very long time.
Youth don’t vote, ever. A few Nat MPs I know don’t bother chasing this vote, the effort required for the payoff means you are better off working elsewhere.
- I think that the best way forward for Labour is for Cunliffe and âthe old guardâ â Goff, Mallard and King â to resign. Theyâve been at war for six years now and theyâre tearing their party apart. I doubt this will happen though. The civil war will drag on for another parliamentary term. That party is dying.
They can’t have. Â In it, it has lots of little bits of wisdom. Â Rhonwyn Newson writes:
Is this the key passage in Dirty Politics Nicky Hager, Glenn Greenwald and Kim Dotcom should have given attention to before dropping their “bombshells” during the election campaign?
In Chapter One Hager quotes National Party strategist, Simon Lusk, on negative campaigning:
“There are a few basic propositions with negative campaigning that are worth knowing about. It lowers turnout, favours right more than left as the right continue to turn out, and drives away the independents. Voting then becomes more partisan.”
So, they accuse Key of being clean by working through ‘attack blogs’ and not getting any mud on him. Â They think this is a good idea, and use an ‘attack author’. Â But there is a huge difference.
This blog never pretends to be anything other than what it is. Â People do not feel cheated or lied to by coming here.
Not so with Hager and his sycophants. Â The claim of independence and balanced journalism was so absurd, nobody believed it from the start. Â Had Hager been smart enough to add a few chapters on the left as well, he may have had more credibility. Â Surely they had some old and dirty washing they would like to launder at the same time? Â Â Read more »
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David Cunliffe had an absolute shocker last night.
If David Shearer had have remained leader and polled at the same level he was polling at before he was rolled Labour would have had between 8-10 more Mps and would be looking at forming a government. Â Read more »
Fairfax published this article…read it and wonder what planet Matt Nippert is on and then realise that they pre-wrote it on an assumption that Hone Harawira was going to win.
Like Martyn Bradbury he was dead wrong.
I hope the NZ Herald enjoys their new hire for the Investigations department, seems he is as adept as David Fisher on taking dictation.