Politics

Dimpost on the left’s slaughter

Danyl McLauchlan writes about the slaying of the left.

  • The National Party is an incredibly well resourced, well managed, professional political party and it turns out that these things counted for a lot last night.
  • The phone was not off the hook for Labour. Twelve months ago, just after Cunliffe won the leadership of his party Labour were on 37% with the Greens on 12%. There’s a cliche that oppositions don’t win elections, government’s lose them, but Labour lost this election. Cunliffe is probably the worst campaigner in New Zealand political history.
  • Based on the preliminary figures I think turnout will end up being slightly higher than last time but still very low. I was a strong advocate for a strategy of having left-wing parties try and improve their vote by targeting and mobilising younger voters, but it turns that that strategy is electoral suicide! Sorry guys!
  • So the lesson from last night’s right-wing landslide seems to be that older New Zealanders are very engaged with the political process and younger New Zealanders are not. That’s a shame but it’s a message politicians cannot ignore. No one’s going to waste time and energy chasing ‘the youth vote’ again for a very long time.

Youth don’t vote, ever. A few Nat MPs I know don’t bother chasing this vote, the effort required for the payoff means you are better off working elsewhere.

  • I think that the best way forward for Labour is for Cunliffe and ‘the old guard’ – Goff, Mallard and King – to resign. They’ve been at war for six years now and they’re tearing their party apart. I doubt this will happen though. The civil war will drag on for another parliamentary term. That party is dying.

Read more »

Did the left actually READ Dirty Politics?

They can’t have.  In it, it has lots of little bits of wisdom.  Rhonwyn Newson writes:

Is this the key passage in Dirty Politics Nicky Hager, Glenn Greenwald and Kim Dotcom should have given attention to before dropping their “bombshells” during the election campaign?

In Chapter One Hager quotes National Party strategist, Simon Lusk, on negative campaigning:

“There are a few basic propositions with negative campaigning that are worth knowing about. It lowers turnout, favours right more than left as the right continue to turn out, and drives away the independents. Voting then becomes more partisan.”

So, they accuse Key of being clean by working through ‘attack blogs’ and not getting any mud on him.  They think this is a good idea, and use an ‘attack author’.  But there is a huge difference.

This blog never pretends to be anything other than what it is.  People do not feel cheated or lied to by coming here.

Not so with Hager and his sycophants.  The claim of independence and balanced journalism was so absurd, nobody believed it from the start.  Had Hager been smart enough to add a few chapters on the left as well, he may have had more credibility.  Surely they had some old and dirty washing they would like to launder at the same time?     Read more »

David Cunliffe’s Chopper Read Pitch

Cunliffe - Sh_t

David Cunliffe had an absolute shocker last night.

If David Shearer had have remained leader and polled at the same level he was polling at before he was rolled Labour would have had between 8-10 more Mps and would be looking at forming a government.   Read more »

I wonder if the Herald is re-thinking their new hire Matt Nippert?

Fairfax published this article…read it and wonder what planet Matt Nippert is on and then realise that they pre-wrote it on an assumption that Hone Harawira was going to win.

Like Martyn Bradbury he was dead wrong.

I hope the NZ Herald enjoys their new hire for the Investigations department, seems he is as adept as David Fisher on taking dictation.

2014-09-202014-09-20-12014-09-20-2 Read more »

Big Money Doesn’t Win Campaigns

 

 

If you listen to the Greens you would think that Big Money was the most evil thing in politics, and that the wealthy could buy their way to power.

This election has proven this to be bullshit.

Colin Craig and Kim Dotcom have pissed away over $4m each on losing causes.

They spent far more than Labour or the Greens or Winston and still lost.

Money doesn’t buy elections. You need competent people, not egomaniacs. Money helps but if you don’t spend it wisely you end up with the results Kim and Colin got.  Read more »

Did Stuart Nash win Napier because of the Conservatives?

Did Stuart Nash win Napier because of the Conservatives?

The short answer is no.

The long answer is that with a majority of 3733 Nash would have almost certainly won whether Garth McVicar was in the race or not.

Napier Read more »

Kelvin Davis’ Win In Te Tai Tokerau

As many readers will know a fair few people on the right wanted Kelvin Davis to win Te Tai Tokerau.

David Farrar and I even publicly donated money tot eh cause.

Kelvin is a good bloke, and from the right or sensible or non-gaggle or self serving wing of the Labour Party, and him winning was good for New Zealand politics.

The problem for Kelvin was that Labour kept tanking all our support.

Mathew Hooton wanted to organise a fundraiser for him. David Cunliffe and Tim Barnett said no. Others wanted to make some big donations to his campaign. Cunliffe and Barnett said no. They would have rather lost than let Kelvin receive support from people who weren’t died in the wool Labour supporters.    Read more »

Labour’s Leadership Problem

Cunliffe - Sh_t

Labour had a shocker of a campaign, which all started when they didn’t do any proper polling or focus groups on their leadership contenders last year.

Arts, Travel and Lifestyle Blogger David Farrar interrupted his hectic world travel schedule to do the kind of research Labour needed to do on Cunliffe last year and was consistently saying he had very high negatives and he would tank Labour’s vote.

For Labour to be relevant again they need to start by doing the kind of research our pinko mate did and find out who can actually connect with Middle New Zealand.

Cunliffe has proven he can’t.

Robertson has similar negatives, so it might be time for Labour to look at someone that actually can reach out to middle New Zealand.

 

Grant Robertson can’t lay claim to the leadership. He massively lost the party vote on the night in his electorate…coming a distant third.  Read more »

New Zealanders vote for Dirty Politics

This campaign didn’t work out the way the left thought it would. They spent vast amounts of money and committed numerous crimes trying to prove National played politics the way it is meant to be played. Hard.

All the drama around Nicky Hager’s book did nothing.

Andrea Vance seems bitter:

So the Dirty Politics practitioners were spot-on. Nasty tactics do favour the Right.

In the grubbiest, most eye-bulgingly intense election campaign in living memory, National romped home.

Kim Dotcom’s millions were pissed away. New Zealanders saw these left wing scumbags for what they were and voted heavily against them.   Read more »

An amazing night

New Zealand has spoken.

Election Results — Overall Status
Results Counted: 7,178 of 7,198 ( 99.7%)
Total Votes Counted: 2,110,086
Special Votes: 253,099
Less than 6 votes taken in Voting Places: 1,385
Party Party
Votes
%
Votes
Electorate
Seats
List
Seats
Total
Seats
National Party 1,009,746 48.08 41 20 61
Labour Party 518,207 24.67 27 5 32
Green Party 210,375 10.02 0 13 13
New Zealand First Party 185,888 8.85 0 11 11
Māori Party 26,990 1.29 1 1 2
ACT New Zealand 14,486 0.69 1 0 1
United Future 4,530 0.22 1 0 1
Conservative 86,558 4.12 0 0 0
Internet MANA 26,489 1.26 0 0 0
Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 8,530 0.41 0 0 0
Ban1080 4,364 0.21 0 0 0
Democrats for Social Credit 1,607 0.08 0 0 0
The Civilian Party 904 0.04 0 0 0
NZ Independent Coalition 894 0.04 0 0 0
Focus New Zealand 677 0.03 0 0 0
71 50 121

 

Read more »