Andrew Little

When will the knives come out for Andrew Little?

What do you mean I need a media person?

The recent Roy Morgan Poll has Labour back on 27%, signalling that Andrew Little’s honeymoon is over. He failed to do anything important in his first six months, and he is reaping what he has sowed.

Word from inside Labour is that fundraising has not been going well. The potential donors can’t see Labour being government so they don’t think it is worth giving them any money. This is exactly what happened with National under English. The donor community couldn’t see National winning so they didn’t give any money.   Read more »

Andrew Little’s 27%

Labour Leader Little Andrew

Labour Leader Little Andrew

The recent Roy Morgan poll has largely been overlooked by the media who were so busy chasing the story about John Key’s hair fetish that they ignored the big story of the week.

Labour and Andrew Little have tanked in the polls. They have fallen back to 27%. The brief honeymoon for Andrew Little has faded, mainly because he is deadly boring and seems to think that Charisma is an Olympic Gold Medal winning horse, rather than a necessary trait for a political leader.   Read more »

Labour’s favoured poll shows the Little experiment has faltered

Labour has dropped below 30% in Labour’s favoured poll, the Roy Morgan. Labour loves this poll, consistently claiming it is the most accurate.

Little’s tactical plan in helping Winston Peters take Northland is increasingly looking like a strategic blunder.

Labour were cock-a-hoop at National losing Northland, but they won’t be now with Winston Peters gaining legitimacy as the real opposition leader.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a slight weakening for the National-led Government 48% (down 1.5% since March), but retaining a strong lead over a potential Labour/Greens Coalition 41% (down 1%). The beneficiaries of this loss of support was New Zealand First 8.5% (up 2.5%) following on from NZ First Leader Winston Peter’s successful campaign at the recent Northland by-election according to today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand April poll.

Support for National has dropped to 45.5% (down 1%) and support for Prime Minister John Key’s Coalition partners the Maori Party has dropped to 1.5% (down 0.5%). Support for Key’s other two Coalition partners is unchanged: Act NZ 1% (unchanged) and United Future is still on 0% (unchanged).

Despite the rise in support for the Opposition Parties on the whole, Labour’s decision to advise Labour supporters to vote for NZ First Leader Winston Peters in the Northland by-election appears to have dented Labour support – now at 27.5% (down 3.5%). In contrast, support has increased strongly for both the Greens 13.5% (up 2.5%) and NZ First 8.5% (up 2.5%).

For the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 1% (down 0.5%) while the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1.5% (up 0.5%).

roymorgan-april2015

Labour strategists won’t be liking this.

 

– Roy Morgan

Does this mean he will kick James Dann in the arse?

Andrew Little posted this ANZAC message on his Facebook page yesterday, let’s hope he has called James Dann and asked that he read it.

Tonight, I’m privileged to be flying from New Zealand to join the official party at Gallipoli where we will commemorate the lives of so many young New Zealanders and Australians who were killed there 100 years ago.

Like so many Kiwis, this is a very personal journey for me. My wife Leigh had close family members who died on those beaches and cliffs. I will be laying poppies at their grave sites this week. Leigh visited Gallipoli as a young woman, a pilgrimage thousands of Kiwis make to honour those who sacrificed everything in battle. She has prepared me for how cold this trip will be, and the chilling effect of standing in a place where death and courage lie beside each other.    Read more »

Real voter winning suggestion from Young Labour

Yesterday I pointed out that Labour has a propensity to appeal to the margin and not to the middle of New Zealand.

Here is yet another example…Young Labour proposing that Te Reo be compulsory in schools.

tereo-young-labour Read more »

One Green Gets the Problems they Face

A bunch of unelected MPs who do no constituency work are seeking the leadership of the Green Party. One of them actually gets it, and most importantly gets that the one man with the moral authority that comes from winning a seat, Winston Peters, is likely to be able to choose whether the Greens have any power in the next government.

Mr Shaw, who has a background in business, named climate change as his number one priority but said the Greens also had to continue strengthening the economic credibility built up by Dr Norman.   Read more »

When will Labour start getting nervous about their polling?

His leadership is a dog's breakfast and tastes like a dog's leavings

His leadership is a dog’s breakfast and tastes like a dog’s leavings

Andrew Little has been leader of the Labour Party since November 18th 2014. He got an initial bounce up from Labour’s terrible 25% of the vote, but as the latest poll out shows he has not improved Labour’s poll numbers at all in the last two months.

The problem for Little is that without a dramatic increase in the polls he will consign Labour to another loss. At the moment his career is entirely at the mercy of the moral leader of the opposition, Winston Peters, who could choose to shaft him nearer after the election if Little doesn’t have a lot more than the 31% of the vote he currently has.   Read more »

Is weak dairy the dry rot of the New Zealand economy?

Farmers say they aren’t seeing any signs of a milk price recovery.

It’s just fallen for the third consecutive time, down 3.6 percent overnight in the GlobalDairyTrade online auction, and it’s at its lowest level since the end of 2014.

Federated Farmers dairy chairman Andrew Hoggard says the trend makes a lift in this season’s payout less likely.

“We really do need to see some signs of a recovery, and so far we are not seeing them,” he said today.

“The Chinese market is weak, European exports to Russia have been dislocated, dairy regions around the world have enjoyed good weather and the northern hemisphere is awash with cheap feed grain.”

Mr Hoggard says there’s not much the industry can do about those issues.

“Struggling farmers need to talk to their banks and their accountants,” he said. “Especially in the drought areas there is a real need to keep a close eye on how much feed farmers have on hand and how much they will need through to the spring.”

Apart from the economy doing well on the back of Auckland immigrants and Christchurch rebuilding, a soft dairy sector is going to continue to provide challenges for the government as they try to balance the books and bring in that elusive surplus.

Weak dairy also provides the opposition with a convenient stick.

Read more »

John Key and Andrew Little are on the same page: no Capital Gains Tax

The Government isn’t going to try to take the heat out of the Auckland housing market by introducing a capital gains tax.

Prime Minister John Key has ruled that out, and says if the Reserve Bank thinks it needs new tools to deal with the city’s soaring prices it’s free to talk to the finance minister about that.

The Reserve Bank’s Deputy Governor, Grant Spence, yesterday said Auckland house price rises couldn’t be sustained and a “disruptive correction” could harm the economy.

He said speculators were looking for tax-free capital gains, and the Reserve Bank couldn’t fix the problem on its own.

That’s been taken as a clear signal the government should introduce a capital gains tax, but Mr Key isn’t interested.

“It’s a hideously complex tax,” he said.

“Labour campaigned on it and couldn’t explain it, and when family homes are excluded that means three-quarters of all housing is excluded – it’s just not very effective.”

Speculators should be hunted down by the IRD and taxed to the full extent of the law.  Those who have been trying to sneak it past the goalie aren’t looking at a bright future.   But CGT won’t work if applied to everyone.   The real problems are supply of land, zoning, consents and excessive immigration pressures.   Read more »

State funding of news?

The Labour party, unsurprisingly, has come out and said there should be state funding of news.

Labour wants taxpayers to fund news and current affairs programming to prevent it disappearing from our screens.

It comes after MediaWorks’ decision to review its 7pm show Campbell Live.

Leader Andrew Little says Labour’s considering a policy which would see the Government fund daily current affairs.

“We’re going to have to find a solution to that, and New Zealand on Air is one potential solution – to use its funding to ensure that sort of programming is available, whether it’s on private channels or publicly-owned channels.”

Mr Little says current affairs programmes are essential for a good, strong, accountable economy.

Read more »