Andrew Little

Labour: Desolate, deluded and desperate

The Dance of the Desperates is about to begin, yet another leadership primary to decide who will replace the now drowned captain of the sinking ship Labour.

The desolation of the Labour party shows in the potential contenders for the race.

Speculation is now mounting that the contest won’t just be a race between the cardy wearing, beltway candidate , Grant Robertson and the narcissism of David Cunliffe.

First there are the truly deluded.

Andrew Little thinks the special votes will get him over the line in New Plymouth:

Former union boss Andrew Little did not rule out a tilt at the leadership, but pointed out that his return to the New Plymouth seat was still up in the air – it depends on special votes.

Yeah, that’s a nah for Little Andy. The election night results for New Plymouth show that he was spanked by more than 9000 votes by Jonathan Young. On top of that Labour lost the party vote by more than 12,000 votes. There is no way the specials can save Andrew Little and his claims of returning to a seat he has never held are simply deluded.

It is true that the specials might cost him his list spot in Labour though…perhaps that is what he meant.

From the deluded we get to the desperates:

Other names in the mix include former leader David Shearer, who regrets standing down a year ago and may have another shot.

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Are the unions abandoning Cunliffe now?

This was written before today’s presser by Cunliffe. ¬†I still think it asks important questions, especially as Cunliffe is going to need the unions to succeed in his leadership bid.

It would seem that the unions are a bit squeamish for a donnybrook and are hedging their bets on Cunliffe…except the Meatworkers union who are blaming me and my immense powers for David Cunliffe’s tits-for-hands leadership.

Claire Trevett reports:

Labour’s largest affiliated union has sent a warning to leader David Cunliffe not to assume it will back him again if he forces another leadership runoff following Labour’s disastrous election result.

Most EPMU delegates voted for Mr Cunliffe in last year’s leadership runoff – in which strong support from the party membership and unions carried him over the line. However, the union’s general secretary, Bill Newson, said that did not mean Mr Cunliffe would get that support again.

“I’ve seen comments that the party membership and unions will line up with David Cunliffe. People shouldn’t make assumptions based on what happened last time. Because quite a big thing happened in the meantime and it was called an election.”

He said the union would discuss its stance once the picture was clearer, and it was still possible delegates would support Mr Cunliffe if there was a contest.

It had not made a formal recommendation to its members last time, and only about 35 of its 80 delegates had voted.

Mr Cunliffe is expected to announce his intentions today after a meeting of Labour’s ruling council. He is expected to resign but could delay a decision on whether to challenge for the role again until after a review of the election is finished in December. ¬†¬† Read more »

Australian Liberal Party mobilises Kiwi voters

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via 3 news

Rachel Morton reports on some special overseas election skulduggery

The Government is still waiting on the special votes to be counted and could be in for a boost, thanks to the Australian Liberal Party.

The Liberals sent an email to members before Saturday’s election: “If you do know a Kiwi, then it’s important to remind them to vote in this year’s election.

Without the party votes of National supporters living overseas, there is a real risk that Labour will cobble together a coalition government with the Greens and other minor parties.”

“In reality it’s a gesture of solidarity amongst centre-right parties around the world, if you like,” says Prime Minister Key.

The extent of the help is unknown until the 38,000 overseas votes are counted.

If that worked, that may be the end of Little Andy. ¬†Another union voice will be lost inside caucus, which can’t be good for David Cunliffe’s prospects. ¬†¬† Read more »

Labour’s leadership battle will look like 300

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Labour’s leadership battle is shaping up to be an epic re-run of the battle scenes in 300.

Blood and guts everywhere.

It’s going to be awesome.

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A leadership spill is not Cunliffe’s call to make

David Cunliffe thinks he can orchestrate the process to initiate a leadership ballot and primary race.

He is wrong.

For someone who has a lawyer for a missus it is somewhat strange that he has taken a postured approach to saving his doomed leadership.

Labour’s leadership is governed by an appendix in the constitution. This is the relevant section.

Election of the Leader of the Parliamentary Labour Party ‚Äď the Leader must be a Member of Parliament; an election for the position of Leader is triggered if there is a vacancy, or if requested by a¬†simple majority of Caucus (at any time), or if the Leader fails to obtain the support of 60% plus 1 of the¬†Caucus membership in a vote held within three months after a General Election.

What this means is Cunliffe has no¬†choice¬†but to put the leadership up for a contest unless he can get 60%+1 to vote for him. That vote will be taken when caucus says it will be taken and not on the timetable of a losing leader. ¬† Read more »

Labour’s election campaign is slip, slidin’ away

The election is slip, slidin’ away from Labour.

They are approaching the territory of Bill English, expect a sudden collapse of their vote in this final week as people wake up to¬†the¬†fact that they can’t win.

Voters don’t vote for losers.For the same reason people leave early from a rugby match when their team is getting pasted the voters will abandon Labour.

National is urging its supporters not to split their vote as our latest poll confirms the minor parties are on the rise – and Labour continues to slump.

The stuff.co.nz/Ipsos poll signals a horror start to the final week of the campaign for Labour as its support slides to 22.4 per cent, putting it on track for an unprecedented trouncing.

It appears to have bled some support to the Greens, who are on 13 per cent. But most attention is around the seeming unstoppable rise of Winston Peters and NZ First.

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The wheels on the bus go round and round…

A reader emails:

Hi Whale Oil.¬† Couldn’t resist sending you this item from¬†today’s Taranaki Daily News.

Labour’s Big Red Bus arrived in New Plymouth yesterday with 6¬†supporters (yes, six of them) on board.¬† Amusingly, two of them are¬†“veteran campaigners” from Australia!

Are they really that desperate?

It certainly appears so…

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What 25.7% means for Labour

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Arts, travel & lifestyle blogger David Farrar has a running average of the polls over on Kiwiblog. At the moment Labour is at 25.7% but is trending down.

What this means is that Labour is down to 32 MPs, and probably less. The other interesting thing is that Labour will probably keep winning seats where tired old warhorses like Trevor Mallard havent realised their day is done so wont leave.

If MPs like Mallard and the Stenographer Rooter Iain Lees-Galloway hold their seats, Kelston goes to Labour as expected, and they pick up some of the Maori seats, and Cosgrove and Nash win their seats Labour could have as many as 28 Electorate MPs.

This would mean Labour would only have four scum List MPs.

David Parker
Jacinda Ardern
Sue Moroney
Andrew Little

If Labour falls much more and still holds onto its seats they could lose Moroney and Little. And they are falling.

What a pity Jonesy jacked it. He would have been far better than Cunliffe.

Cartoon of the Day

Credit:  SonovaMin

Credit: SonovaMin

Labour relaunches their Hobbit Hater policy

Labour has re-launched their Hobbit Hater policy at the behest of the unions, proving that their investment in purchasing David Cunliffe and the 20% vote for the leadership has provided a cash for policy arrangement that is giving their leaders sticky knickers.

The Labour Party wants to repeal the law changes that were ceded to Warner Bros over The Hobbit films, a move which the Government says would cripple the $3 billion screen industry.

Labour leader David Cunliffe and MP Andrew Little launched the party’s work and wages policy yesterday, which included a boost to the minimum wage, and a commission of inquiry into workplace conditions.

Here’s an idea…why don;t they just declare a wages crisis, and in short order National will fix the problem. Seems to have worked for manufacturing and housing…it’s worth a crack.

So Labour wants to kill off the film industry in NZ, Dotcom’s party just wants to steal it, and the Greens want to destroy the oil¬†and gas industry.

They really are the wrecking ball of the NZ economy.

But wait it gets worse…Labour also wants to kill jobs.¬† Read more »