The Media party have piled in on the latest Newshub poll suggesting that a small, less than the margin of error, drop in popularity of John Key is the beginning of the end of him.
They have ignored that Andrew Little is below Winston Peters in the same poll and he dropped even more than John Key.
Arts, lifestyle and travel blogger David Farrar takes time out from his hectic touring schedule to present some facts that seem to have escaped the commentators in the Media party.
The Newshub story says Key has plummeted as Preferred PM as he has dropped 1.5% in 6 months. This is of course not even statistically significant let alone a plummet of any kind.
I thought it would be useful to compare the Preferred PM ratings of May 2016, with May 2007 – the same point in Labour’s third term.
In May 2007 the PM was at 30% Preferred PM and in May 2016 the PM is at 37% Preferred PM.
In May 2007 the Opposition Leader was at 32% Preferred PM and in May 2016 the Opposition Leader is at 9% Preferred PM.
So Clark was trailing by 2% in May 2007, while in May 2016 Key leads Little by 28%. Read more »