Australia

Australian Media versus New Zealand Media

A number of Whaleoil commenters voiced what I was thinking during the hostage crisis in Australia.

Would our Media work with the Police and put the interests of the hostages ahead of their interest in a scoop?

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Statistics and the law of probability

A Mathematician might talk about the law of probability, a gambler might talk about the odds.

If an individual coin toss or the roll of dice is considered to be a random event, then if repeated many times the sequence of random events will exhibit certain patterns, which can be studied and predicted.

-wiki

Dice

If I am an employer and I need  long term employees I will consider the following.Women in their twenties and thirties are more likely to take maternity leave than Men. Not always, but they are statistically more likely. They are also more likely to resign in order to be at home with their children for a period of time than men. With that in mind to protect my business I would ensure that I did not hire mainly women in that age group as it would put my business at risk if a number of them took maternity leave or resigned in the same year. That may not seem fair but given the probabilities I would need to consider the risk. If the employees were easily replaced then I would not need to consider the risk but if they were highly trained individuals and hard to find then I certainly would be careful to get the balance right.

With Islamic immigration to New Zealand we need to consider the risks. Even if only 10% of them are going to become a threat to our way of life that is still one in ten. One in ten sounds a lot more scary than 10% doesn’t it?

If you knew that statistically 1 in 10 people attending a Christmas party were likely to cut your head off would you still attend the party?

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Aussies flip the bird at UN climate fund

Good on the Aussie government, they have flipped the bird at the UN climate fund refusing to contribute anymore to it.

Australia has refused to pay into the UN’s Green Climate Fund, designed to pay for climate change adaptations for developing nations, preferring to cut out the ‘Green blob’ middleman and finance initiatives directly. The Chinese delegation said that this was “not good news”. Speaking at the UN Climate Summit in Peru, the Australian delegates also called for commitments from all major economies including China on emissions. (h/t Jo Nova)

Speaking to Associated Press before the summit in Lima, Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop, said: “The Green Climate Fund is about supporting developing countries build resilience to climate change. Australia is already doing that through our aid program. From my experience, bilateral work is able to customize responses when we’re working directly with another partner country.”

So far about $10 billion a year has been pledged by rich countries, but the ambition is to go much further. Su Wei, China’s lead negotiator said: “It is not good news [about] Australia, if it is true that they refuse to provide any money to the GCF.

“It also has very important impacts in the negotiating process. It’s a trust-building process. There is still a large gap toward the 2020 targets of $100 billion a year.”

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Australia, the first ever nation to win a Darwin award?

Well one columnist in Australia thinks they should win a Darwin Award for being dumber than a sack of hammers.

I’M THINKING of setting up a national version of the Darwin Awards; you know, where they give an award to the stupidest way people manage to kill themselves each year, or, as the website puts it, “contribute to human evolution by self-selecting themselves out of the gene pool via death or sterilisation by their own actions”.

When I say “national”, I mean it literally – my Darwin Awards aren’t for people, they’re for nations. I’m going to hand out an annual prize for the dumbest, most imbecilic country on the planet that is setting out to destroy its own comfortable way of life via its own moronic actions.

I’m going to find the one nation that’s doing the equivalent of putting its head out of the train window to see if there’s a tunnel approaching.

And right now, Australia looks like being the 2014 National Darwin Award winner. Why? Because we are among the most collectively stupid people on the planet. Just look at the statistics – or rather, the opinion polls.

Apparently, a majority of us think Bill Shorten would be a better prime minister of our country than Tony Abbott.

Let me run that past you again – slowly this time, really slowly, because it’s obvious there are some pretty slow people out there: a … majority … (in other words, enough voters to win an election) … think … (i.e. have apparently used what passes for their brains and come to this conclusion) … that Bill Shorten … (a bloke who is so empty-headed he once said: “I don’t know what Julia Gillard said, but I agree with every word of it”) … would be a better prime minister … (in other words, be making every single decision every single day for three years that will determine the prosperity and financial success of every one of us and all our children) … than Tony Abbott (a bloke who, regardless of whether you like him or not, has as his sole focus a single-minded determination to fix the economic mess that this country is in).

Come again? Are we for real?

The best Darwin Awards always have a neat slice of bitter irony to them; like the guy who tries to impress his fiancee by climbing on to her balcony – on the 101st floor.

The irony with our National Darwin winner – Australia – is that the very bloke Australians want as their next prime minister was part of the team that got us into our financial mess in the first place.

Worse, Shorten is either so dumb or so devious that he is now opposing the very same $5 billion worth of cuts to spending that he supported when he was in government.

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Union slush funds and meddling dominating Victorian elections

The Victoria State Election is underway and already the Liberal party is focussing on the selection of Daniel Andrews and his connections with the CFMEU.

Private global accounting firm Moore Stephens’ costing of Labor’s policies will finally be released today — just two days before the election and after more than half a million voters have already cast their ballot. Labor chose Moore Stephens after refusing to submit its policies for scrutiny by Treasury.

Treasurer Michael O’Brien has hit out at the firm, highlighting how the accountants audited the discredited CFMEU’s WA branch.   Read more »

Victorian election underway and the attack ads flow

I love Australian elections, especially their ads, and the nasty is flowing.

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An evening with Julia Gillard

I went to listen to Julia Gillard last night with Mum. It was enjoyable. Mum like me is a conservative but she appreciates women in positions of power and what we can learn from them. I didn’t agree with Julia’s position on ‘Affirmative action’ to get women into politics. Affirmative action whether applied to race or sex is reverse discrimination in my opinion and my Mum agrees.

My Mother heads a very large business and she built it from the ground up. She earned the respect she now commands and nothing was handed to her on a platter. We both find the idea of ‘ giving ‘ women a quota disrespectful to women’s abilities. As far as I know Julia Gillard got to the top job on merit yet she doesn’t expect other women to achieve what she achieved in the same way.To be fair I think her real problem was the number of women currently in Politics. She reasoned that if only a few are in it then that reduces the chances of a leader being a woman. Sure it does but it also ensures that when women like her and Helen Clark do make the top job,they will be more than equipped to handle it. As she said last night, Politics is an adversarial environment. Julia made it very clear that she did not think as some women do, that more women in Politics would make the environment more consensual. She believes that you should fight passionately for what you believe in and she makes no apology for doing that.

That aside, Julia had plenty of pertinent things to share with the audience and some of it was very relevant to why I am so excited about Freed.

She pointed out how the Media in Australia had become Protagonists in Politics instead of interested observers reporting on the action. Julia herself described some of the ways in which she was attacked in the media and media campaigns against her.

During the evening Julia’s world famous Misogyny speech  was discussed so I just had to watch it today. It was a very well structured and argued speech. Her experience as a lawyer was obvious as she used evidence to build her case with skill. I appreciate a good speech or debate because I understand the techniques used to make it good and the skill required to deliver it effectively. When I was at primary school we had a speech competition every year at every level. My brother made his first speech at only 5 years old. I was 9 when I started at that school and I took part every year until I was 12 and won every competition. At High School I won every year bar one when I came second to a guy called Grant who went on to become a lawyer.

 

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Hi ho, hi ho, it’s off to die we go

How long before New Zealand has our very own jihadists leaving for foreign wars.

In Australia four brothers have set off to join ISIS…they aren’t likely to be returning in one piece I would imagine…if at all.

Four brothers slipped out of Australia last week to join the fight with Islamic State (Isis) in Syria.

As authorities attempt to contain home-grown terrorists from leaving Australia, the latest recruits from Western Sydney have been labelled “cleanskins” by police agencies because they were completely unknown to intelligence.

The brothers – aged 17, 23, 25 and 28 – told their parents they were going on a holiday to Thailand, according to Sydney’s Daily Telegraph.

The siblings are believed to have travelled to Turkey and crossed the Syrian border in the past week.    Read more »

Photo Of The Day

U. S. Navy photo, Oct. 24, 2003. The Russian Federation Navy Udaloy Class destroyer Marshal Shaposhnikov is believed to be heading towards Australia as part of a Russian convoy.

U. S. Navy photo, Oct. 24, 2003.
The Russian Federation Navy Udaloy Class destroyer Marshal Shaposhnikov is believed to be heading towards Australia as part of a Russian convoy.

Russians Warships Headed for Australia

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Cut the corporate welfare and lower taxes before Australia

The IRD is warning the government will have to cut corporate taxes if Australia lowers theirs.

What a good idea.

Inland Revenue has warned the Government may have to consider cutting the company tax rate next year if Australia drops its rate.

In a briefing to Revenue Minister Todd McClay, the tax department said New Zealand’s aging population could result in pressure to raise taxes to pay for health and pensions.

But it said the Government would need to take into account developments in other countries when considering company tax, which was cut from 30 per cent to 28 per cent in 2011, undercutting Australia’s 30 per cent rate.

“Tax changes in Australia should continue to be monitored as they can have important implications for New Zealand,” Inland Revenue said. “A particular focus will be Australia’s White Paper due out at the end of 2015.

“If, for example, there were a substantial reduction in the Australian company tax rate, the question of whether New Zealand should follow suit would arise,” it said.

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