Carol Beaumont

What is happening in Napier?

All on Red has an interesting comment about what is happening in Napier.

I do despair at the thought of Nash winning in Napier. How can Tremains winning margin be frittered away so quickly and into Nash’s camp? It seems odd. Surely Walford is not that bad.

Thoughts from the group please.

What is happening in Napier is Nashy is one of the few politicians in New Zealand is personally likeable and can reach out to middle New Zealand. He is one of the few in Labour that can actually raise funds (he has apparently raised more than Moira and Tim combined which is why Labour are broke).

Nash is strategically sound. He was blessed with an opponent in Chris Tremain who is not known for his intellect. Tremain supported amalgamation which people in Napier hate, and he was up against the most likeable politician in Labour.

In the two most recent elections the results are pretty staggering.

2008

Tremain                 20,898
Fairbrother           11,880
Majority                   9,018

2011

Tremain                 17,337
Nash                       13,636
Majority                   3,701

So in three years Nash managed to take 5,317 of Tremain‚Äôs majority. This was in a year where Labour sank to its lowest ever poll numbers. ¬†¬† Read more »

We’re from the left! Your rules don’t apply to us

unnamed

Earlier today in Onehunga, the Caropotamus crowd were out.

Want to play the “all the things wrong with this?” in the comments? ¬†Off you go¬†then.

Public Transport Helps to Facilitate Crime in Auckland?

It seems that public transport is helping to facilitate crime in Auckland.

Despite the ongoing bad publicity surrounding Auckland’s public transport system (and rail in particular) it appears some people are finding it to be an effective and efficient way of traveling around and are making the most of it.

I refer to the attached article excerpt from the July issue of the Onehunga Community News.

The Police certainly seem to think public transport is enabling crims….from South Auckland no less.¬† Read more »

The Secret Diaries of Comrade Simon, Ctd

commies copy

After having such a good week last week and managing to postpone any nasty Tory changes to employment legislation until after the election this week has been truly awful.

My dear and underappreciated friend Carol (That blogster Whaleoil nastily calls her Caropotamus) was given such a terrible list position she will never be returning to parliament. The poor soul was devastated, and rightly so as there are so few good working stock people left in Labour who know how to properly stand up for the working man. And woman.

Poor Carol was feeling very cruelly treated so I took some time out of my hectic schedule to take her to the day spa we share. She had let her self go in the last few weeks and her nails really needed doing, not to mention her eyebrows. It is hard to point this out to a woman, even if she is emancipated, especially when you have perfect eyebrows like me.¬† Read more »

Herald on Sunday editorial – Labour is deluded

The Herald on Sunday editorial is blunt and to the point.

However I doubt Labour will heed a word they say, because they are so deluded as to think the Herald is a tory rag.

Labour has done a poor job of refreshing its caucus. There are MPs who have been there so long that they eyeballed Robert Muldoon across the House. It is in desperate need of new blood, leaders of the future like [Kelvin] Davis. Yet last election, Davis was relegated down the list below a clutch of faceless union apparatchiks.

It was outrageous that Labour thought that decidedly less than average Carol Beaumont, Sue Moroney and Rajen Prasad were all better possible MPs and deserved higher list ranking above people like Kelvin Davis and Stuart Nash.

In the long-term, Labour needs people like Davis. But in the short-term (the only terms in which most senior MPs think) Labour may want Harawira.

Because of MMP’s derided coat-tails rule, Harawira can win just the one seat and bring in another MP from the Mana Party, perhaps a couple more from the Internet Party when they formalise their ragtag alliance in two week’s time. This would provide Cunliffe with a real prospect of toppling John Key from power – despite the fact that Labour is trailing about 17 poll points behind National.

Read more »

The losers excuse

David Cunliffe has played the losers excuse this morning on Radio New Zealand…blaming others for the total and utter screw up that is his party.

The Labour Party leader is accusing National of creating a new job to convince Shane Jones to leave Parliament.

Mr Jones confirmed his departure from politics on Tuesday and is tipped to take up a role helping Pacific islands make more money out of their fisheries. He is likely to leave Parliament shortly and his place will be taken by the next person on Labour’s list, Kelvin Davis.

Shane Jones told Radio New Zealand’s¬†Morning Report¬†programme he was leaving politics because he does not have the necessary level of commitment and energy ahead of the election.

He unsuccessfully sought the Labour leadership last year and was asked by the party leadership to tone down attacks he had been making on one of Labour’s potential allies, the Green Party.

“Any New Zealander with a smidgeon of interest in politics will know that the political collar has chafed this dog’s neck – and now I’ve slipped the collar,” he said on Wednesday.

Labour leader David Cunliffe told the programme the departure says more about the job offer than the MP’s view of Labour’s chances in the 20 September election. ¬† Read more »

Mallard and Dyson shafted by their own team in boundary redraw

It is looking increasingly like Labour’s own advisor to the Electoral Commission has worked very hard at shafting Ruth Dyson and Trevor Mallard. So much so he has missed some strange looking boundary adjustments in other areas.

Jadis has performed some very good analysis of the changes over at the lifestyle, travel and arts blog of David Farrar. From the looks of it there are no winners on the left side of politics.

And most of the losers are Labour.

Losers:

Ruth Dyson, Port Hills ‚Äď Dyson is the biggest loser in this boundary review. ¬†Her majority has been reversed with the Nats stronghold of Halswell moving into the seat, and Anderton‚Äôs old stomping ground of Sydenham moving into Christchurch Central. ¬†Dyson will have a real battle to hold this, even with the Nats putting in a new candidate. ¬†How winnable the seat is very much depends on the strength of the Nat candidate, but a good candidate could take the seat with a 2000 majority. ¬†I‚Äôd be gutted if I was Dyson as Pete Hodgson (who did the boundaries for Labour) is a good mate of hers. ¬†Perhaps this is Labour‚Äôs new (poor) strategy of retiring MPs.

Trevor Mallard, Hutt South ‚Äď This is the surprise of the final boundaries. ¬†Mallard has gained all of the ¬†Western Hills (good Nat territory) and lost super red areas of Naenae and Rimutaka. Labour should have been able to stop this occurring but appear to have put up no fight. ¬†Mallard should be furious with his party for failing to keep Hutt South a real red seat. ¬†Why didn‚Äôt Hodgson fight hard for Mallard? ¬†Was it a directive from on high? ¬†Realistically, Mallard should hold the seat but he‚Äôll be working hard for it and never should have been put in this position. I expect Mallard‚Äôs majority to be pegged down a few.¬† Read more »

Is Scott Simpson batting for the other team?

Scott Simpson is my oldest and longest friend in National’s caucus…what he doesn’t know about skulduggery and the dark arts of campaigning isn’t worth knowing. Much of what I’ve learned about the despicable side of politics I learned from Scott in the trenches of Eden electorate.

I know it is summer break from Parliament but c’mon Simpson… Beaumont and Moroney!!!!

Perhaps he should be over at Pauanui calming down the locals who are facing the prospects of having all the beach and reserves handed over to Maori instead of cavorting at the races with the Labour party…who we all know are against gambling when it suits them.

Predictions results

Ok so here were my predictions from January…how did I go?

1. National Party MPs will cringe every time Hekia Parata is asked a question in the house, and will avoid being in the house when they know Hekia is going to be rinsed.

Went pretty much as predicted…and got progressively worse as the year progressed, saved only by inept Labour questioners who were more distracted by fighting amongst themselves over the leadership.

2. Nanaia Mahuta remains anonymous and never holds Hekia to account.

Yup, neither did anyone else which is bizarre because she is tits and a legend in her own mind.

3. Iain Lees-Galloway’s missus is still dirty with him every time he mentions a certain stenographer.

Not much has changed here. ¬† Read more »

Time for Labour to have a cleanout as well

Under Helen Clark there was almost no renewal…after 9 years of her government pretty much the same faces existed…then there were the 3 years of Phil Goff again with no renewal.

While National cut dead wood and encourages retirements Labour is looking like going into the next election with the same old tired faces.

Labour leader David Cunliffe has been crowing about the growing number of National MPs who have decided to stand down in 2014, likening it to rats deserting a sinking ship. Instead of seeking to make political capital out of his opponent’s obvious drive to bring in new talent at the next election, he would do better to follow suit and start sending the underperformers and time-servers in his own caucus the message that it is time to move on.

Rejuvenation is critical to all political parties. It allows them to bring in new blood to remain fresh in the eyes of voters. However, all too often it is not the parties themselves that do the job, but the electorate, via crushing defeats which see large numbers of sitting MPs turfed out of Parliament.

That is what is so significant about the rejuvenation underway in National. So far, seven of its 59 MPs – nearly an eighth of its caucus – have indicated they will not seek re-election, and there was talk last week that up to six more are considering whether to stand again. ¬† Read more »