Climate Change

Human ingenuity and its ability to solve problems

The doomsayers have been telling us we have reached a tipping point with climate change, and that the planet is doomed unless be pay trillions in taxes.

Apparently, there is nothing we can now do except prepare for bigger and nastier storms. Never mind that all the world’s scientists have yet to predict anything remotely true with all their models and billions in funding.

Now, though, we see why I don’t worry at all about the doomsday scenarios…humans are ingenious and find ways of solving problems.

Carbon dioxide has been pumped underground and turned rapidly into stone, demonstrating a radical new way to tackle climate change.

The unique project promises a cheaper and more secure way of burying CO2 from fossil fuel burning underground, where it cannot warm the planet. Such carbon capture and storage (CCS) is thought to be essential to halting global warming, but existing projects store the CO2 as a gas and concerns about costs and potential leakage have halted some plans.

The new research pumped CO2 into the volcanic rock under Iceland and sped up a natural process where the basalts react with the gas to form carbonate minerals, which make up limestone. The researchers were amazed by how fast all the gas turned into a solid – just two years, compared to the hundreds or thousands of years that had been predicted.

“We need to deal with rising carbon emissions and this is the ultimate permanent storage – turn them back to stone,” said Juerg Matter, at the University of Southampton in the UK, who led the research published on Thursday in the journal Science.    Read more »

Dodgy science on sea level rise exposed

With much fanfare and a complicit Media party the Royal Society made huge and outrageous claims about how fast and far sea levels were going to rise in New Zealand.

The Media party dutifully piled in and ran all sorts of scary scenarios about how much damage this was going to cause and how we must all do something.

But what if I told you their claims were as fanciful as Aesop’s fables?

The Royal Society of New Zealand’s recent study on sea level rise claims that, in the next 100 years, sea levels will surely rise by 0.3m and 1m is possible. It strongly recommends action should be taken now to deal with this.

The claim does not stand up to close examination.

First, the rise in sea level and New Zealand coast has been about 0.14m over the past 100 years, with no sign of a recent increase in the rate.

There is no solid evidence to indicate this steady rate will increase rapidly in the future. The Royal Society’s claims are based on flawed climate models that predicted, by now, temperatures would be 0.5° higher than they really are and increasing faster and faster.

When this dubious data were fed into sea level models, they predicted rapidly increasing sea level rise. How surprising!

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Awesome news: we’re well on the way to warming things up a little

Wellington has become more livable and is well on the way to having reasonable weather.

An air monitoring station near Wellington has passed a climate change milestone which one scientist describes as “a bit like turning 40 and realising you haven’t started saving for your retirement”.

The Baring Head clean air monitoring station’s carbon dioxide readings this week officially passed 400 parts per million, NIWA says.

It follows the mark being passed at Hawaii’s Mauna Loa station in November and Tasmania’s Cape Grim last month.

Most carbon dioxide – the primary greenhouse gas – is generated in the Northern Hemisphere.

However, enough gas has now mixed through the atmosphere to push readings further south above 400ppm, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher says in a statement.

Baring Head was particularly significant because it measured air originating far to the south of the site, away from human activities.   Read more »

Hands across the sand? They barely managed the length of a football field

Seventy people dressed in scarves, woolly hats and coats in late Autumn have held hands to show they worry about climate change and a warming planet [snigger, snort].

In a sign of solidarity, men, women and children held hands on a wintry morning in Christchurch.

More than 70 people, and a handful of dogs, lined New Brighton beach for Hands Across the Sand.

University of Canterbury student Bridget White, 18, co-ordinated the event at New Brighton pier, which was part of an international action that called for a halt to deep sea drilling and the use of more sustainable energy sources to protect the planet from climate change.

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Stick Paris agreement up your ass says Trump

Donald Trump has announced his energy plan which includes withdrawing from the Paris agreement and stop payments to the UN on climate change:

Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump unveiled an “America first” energy plan he said would unleash unfettered production of oil, coal, natural gas and other energy sources to push the United States toward energy independence.

Mr Trump promised on Thursday to cancel the Paris climate agreement and stop all payments of US tax money to a United Nations fund to mitigate effects of climate change worldwide.

But the speech, delivered at the annual Williston Basin Petroleum Conference in Bismarck, North Dakota, went far beyond energy, as Mr Trump laid out, in his most detail to date, a populist general election pitch against likely rival Hillary Clinton.

“She’s declared war on the American worker,” Mr Trump said of Mrs Clinton, reading from prepared remarks in a stadium packed with thousands.

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Absurdity revealed: to meet climate targets we need to shut down agriculture

If the Green taliban get their way New Zealand will have to pretty much shut down our entire farming system to meet emissions targets.

Current agricultural greenhouse gas reduction strategies can only deliver between 21 to 40 percent of the mitigation required to meet the targets set in The Paris Agreement.

Global greenhouse gases will need to be reduced by around one billion tonnes per year until 2030 in order to limit climate change to below a two degree increase on pre-industrial levels.

However, focusing emission reductions primarily on the transport and energy sectors is not enough to meet that commitment and the agricultural industry is short on options.

Even if the transport and energy sectors reduce emissions to near zero, it would be insufficient according to a study released by Global Change Biology on Tuesday afternoon.

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Get ready for a “non-linear climate event”

A brief summary on the Climate debacle fraud so far

  • We have lots of unreliable data, that keeps being changed
  • This is plugged into climate models, that keep predicting doom
  • The real world readings, even after fiddling with them, don’t match the most conservative of climate models
  • There is an arbitrary 2 degree “dooms day scenario” for this century that has no basis in fact

It is with this in mind, I want to pull up this author’s last paragraph first.

I’m not a scientist, but 10 years ago I spent almost a year interviewing almost all the world’s leading climate scientists for a book I was writing. I learned that all our calculations for dealing with climate change could suddenly be swept aside by a non-linear event — and this could be it.

Gwynne Dyer is an independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.

Now I’ve set the scene, get ready for the next panic in the Climate Change Circus:  non-linear climate change.

Most people think of global warming as an incremental thing. It may be inexorable, but it’s also predictable. Alas, most people are wrong. The climate is a very complex system, and complex systems can change in non-linear ways.

In other words, you cannot count on the average global temperature rising steadily, but slowly, as we pump more and more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. It may do that — but there may also be a sudden jump in the average global temperature that lands you in a world of hurt. That may be happening now.

“We are moving into uncharted territory with frightening speed,” said Michel Jarraud, secretary-general of the World Meteorological Organization, last November. He was referring to the fact that the warming is now accelerating in an unprecedented way.

2014 was the hottest year ever — until 2015 beat it by a wide margin. 2016 may beat that record by an even wider margin. It was the hottest January ever — and then the average global temperature in February was a full fifth of a degree Celsius higher than January.

That was a huge jump, since the “average global temperature” is an average of all the temperatures over the seas and the land in both the summer hemisphere and the winter hemisphere. It is normally a very stable figure, changing no more than a few hundredths of a degree from year to year.

I love how they contradict themselves.  How can it normally be a very stable figure when they have been telling us for decades that it has been increasing at an alarming rate?   I’m also just a journalist, and not a scientist, but come on now, you can’t have it both ways. Read more »

And the Greens and other left-wing parties want this to all stop?

The planet is greening, literally, and you’ll never guess what is causing it.

Yep, that awful killer trace gas called carbon dioxide…the very same element the left-wing warmists tell us is killing us all.

But before we get started with the blame game…it is NASA who has released the data.

From a quarter to half of Earth’s vegetated lands has shown significant greening over the last 35 years largely due to rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change on April 25.

An international team of 32 authors from 24 institutions in eight countries led the effort, which involved using satellite data from NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer instruments to help determine the leaf area index, or amount of leaf cover, over the planet’s vegetated regions. The greening represents an increase in leaves on plants and trees equivalent in area to two times the continental United States.

Green leaves use energy from sunlight through photosynthesis to chemically combine carbon dioxide drawn in from the air with water and nutrients tapped from the ground to produce sugars, which are the main source of food, fiber and fuel for life on Earth. Studies have shown that increased concentrations of carbon dioxide increase photosynthesis, spurring plant growth.   Read more »

New Zealand signs up to Climate Change subterfuge

Leaders from 175 countries, including New Zealand, signed the climate change accords in New York this morning, potentially paving the way for the agreement to come into force years ahead of schedule.

The Paris Agreement covers more than 90 per cent of the world’s emissions with 188 countries taking part in the negotiations held in France in December last year.

“We are in a race against time,” UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told the gathering.

“The era of consumption without consequences is over.”

Many now expect the climate agreement to enter into force long before the original deadline of 2020.

Some say it could happen this year.

Climate Change Minister Paula Bennett says while New Zealand’s 2030 target of reducing emissions to 30 per cent below 2005 levels was ambitious, she is confident of success.

“The next step is for more of the operational details to be fleshed out so New Zealand can consider timing and the best way to ratify the agreement,” Ms Bennett said.

So we signed up to something and we have no idea how to achieve it.  We actually have to still figure it out.  How’s that for awesome?   The thing to remember is that the agreement is non-binding, so yeah, whatever.

John Key’s put all his eggs in the “technology will provide the answer” basket, but to be honest, none of the politicians that are making decisions about climate today will be around to answer for the results, or the lack of them, when it actually becomes clear in 50 years time how much of the whole thing was actually true.

Some decades ago, the world decided to attack pollution.  Clean up the air and waterways.  And that’s a good thing to do no matter what your political persuasion.  Most of the western countries have stopped discharging untreated waste, and we are all better off for it.

And so it is with measures that mitigate climate change.  They may not actually have the desired effect, but the general environmental and life-style improvements that the search for “greener” production will generate is something we can all benefit from.

You may have seen this earlier this week.  If not, I recommend you watch it.  It makes it extremely obvious that by tackling climate change, we need to be looking ahead, and not apply bans and taxes.

 

– One News, TVNZ

Who do you believe on sea level rise?

“The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. ”

–Edgar R. Fiedler

“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. ”

–Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

In science, a prediction is a rigorous, often quantitative, statement, forecasting what would happen under specific conditions. The scientific method is built on testing statements that are logical consequences of scientific theories. This is done through repeatable experiments or observational studies.  A scientific theory which is contradicted by observations and evidence will be rejected.

That’s true except in climate science.  Predictions of sea level rise caused by sea water expansion and ice melt have been made for over 40 years.  The first IPCC report in 1990 predicted that sea levels would rise by between 80 and 290 mm by 2030.  That’s 4.5 mm per year average (range 2.0 to 7.25mm)

In that time frame scientists in NZ say our sea level has risen 1.7 mm per year on average up till now and it took some never revealed massaging of the numbers to get it to that number.  It is a very imprecise calculation and given known biases toward exaggeration it may be lower.  In any event it’s a small fraction of what the IPCC said would happen.  It’s out by a factor of 2.5.

If you apply the rules of science you would ignore any further predictions from those sources as being contradicted by observation.    Read more »