Climate Change

New Zealand signs up to Climate Change subterfuge

Leaders from 175 countries, including New Zealand, signed the climate change accords in New York this morning, potentially paving the way for the agreement to come into force years ahead of schedule.

The Paris Agreement covers more than 90 per cent of the world’s emissions with 188 countries taking part in the negotiations held in France in December last year.

“We are in a race against time,” UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told the gathering.

“The era of consumption without consequences is over.”

Many now expect the climate agreement to enter into force long before the original deadline of 2020.

Some say it could happen this year.

Climate Change Minister Paula Bennett says while New Zealand’s 2030 target of reducing emissions to 30 per cent below 2005 levels was ambitious, she is confident of success.

“The next step is for more of the operational details to be fleshed out so New Zealand can consider timing and the best way to ratify the agreement,” Ms Bennett said.

So we signed up to something and we have no idea how to achieve it.  We actually have to still figure it out.  How’s that for awesome?   The thing to remember is that the agreement is non-binding, so yeah, whatever.

John Key’s put all his eggs in the “technology will provide the answer” basket, but to be honest, none of the politicians that are making decisions about climate today will be around to answer for the results, or the lack of them, when it actually becomes clear in 50 years time how much of the whole thing was actually true.

Some decades ago, the world decided to attack pollution.  Clean up the air and waterways.  And that’s a good thing to do no matter what your political persuasion.  Most of the western countries have stopped discharging untreated waste, and we are all better off for it.

And so it is with measures that mitigate climate change.  They may not actually have the desired effect, but the general environmental and life-style improvements that the search for “greener” production will generate is something we can all benefit from.

You may have seen this earlier this week.  If not, I recommend you watch it.  It makes it extremely obvious that by tackling climate change, we need to be looking ahead, and not apply bans and taxes.

 

– One News, TVNZ

Who do you believe on sea level rise?

“The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. ”

–Edgar R. Fiedler

“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. ”

–Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

In science, a prediction is a rigorous, often quantitative, statement, forecasting what would happen under specific conditions. The scientific method is built on testing statements that are logical consequences of scientific theories. This is done through repeatable experiments or observational studies.  A scientific theory which is contradicted by observations and evidence will be rejected.

That’s true except in climate science.  Predictions of sea level rise caused by sea water expansion and ice melt have been made for over 40 years.  The first IPCC report in 1990 predicted that sea levels would rise by between 80 and 290 mm by 2030.  That’s 4.5 mm per year average (range 2.0 to 7.25mm)

In that time frame scientists in NZ say our sea level has risen 1.7 mm per year on average up till now and it took some never revealed massaging of the numbers to get it to that number.  It is a very imprecise calculation and given known biases toward exaggeration it may be lower.  In any event it’s a small fraction of what the IPCC said would happen.  It’s out by a factor of 2.5.

If you apply the rules of science you would ignore any further predictions from those sources as being contradicted by observation.    Read more »

What is it with lefty hypocrites?

It appears that Bernie Sanders has the complete set of the Shield of Sanctimony and the Cloak of Hypocrisy.

Bernie Sanders took a private jet to the Vatican to address a conference on wealth inequality on Friday, hours after attacking Hillary Clinton over her stance on fossil fuels.

The Democratic candidate is believed to have flown with fewer than 50 people aboard the Delta 767, a jet that can carry between 211 and 261 people.

Joining him on the more than  8,500-mile round trip flight were his wife, Jane, and 10 family members, including four grandchildren.

The whole trip would have used up to 33,193 gallons of fuel, calculated MailOnline, which noted that an average American – who is estimated to fly only 7,500 miles per year – releases fewer carbon emissions via aircraft in 12 months than Mr Sanders did for the trip to Rome.    Read more »

A real scientific fraud

A scientific fraud, emanating in the 1940s is hamstringing global attempts to reduce carbon emissions.

Honest greens have always said nuclear power is indispensable for achieving big carbon reduction. James Hansen, the former NASA scientist who has been chaining himself to fences since the first Bush administration, was in Illinois last week lobbying against closure of a nuclear plant. Ditto activist Michael Shellenberger. We might also include Bill McKibben, the Bernie Sanders of the climate movement and shouter of Exxon accusations, who told journalist William Tucker four years ago, “If I came out in favor of nuclear, it would split this movement in half.”

Nuclear (unlike solar) is one low-carbon energy technology that has zero chance without strong government support, yet is left out of renewables mandates. It’s the one non-carbon energy source that has actually been shrinking, losing ground to coal and natural gas.

What keeps nuclear costs high? Why do so many opponents misread the Fukushima meltdown, where 18,000 deaths were due to the earthquake and tsunami, none to radiation exposure, and none are expected from radiation exposure? Why has the U.S. experience of spiraling nuclear construction costs not been matched in South Korea, where normal learning has reduced the cost of construction?   Read more »

Climate Experts are blaming their tools for lack of warming

Facing an accelerating implosion of faith in the anthropogenic (man-made) global warming (AGW) theory due in part to satellite data showing more than 18 years of no warming — the great “pause” or “hiatus,” as some put it — one of the satellite data sets has now been adjusted to show a slight increase in temperatures over the last two decades. Global-warming theorists on the government dole celebrated the news, speculating that it might herald the end of skepticism over their controversial theory and even what particularly rabid warmists refer to as “climate denial.” However, experts and scientists warned climate alarmists to cool it — especially because the “adjusted” data is now significantly different than other, unmanipulated temperature data sets. There appear to be big problems with the adjustments, too, experts in satellite temperature data said.

The adjusted data set in question comes from Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), satellites put into orbit by NASA but now overseen by chief RSS climate scientist Carl Mears in Santa Rosa, California. The new numbers, which were recently adjusted, purport to show about 0.125 degrees Celsius of warming every 10 years. That is radically more than the 0.078 Celsius per decade — a statistically insignificant figure — that the RSS data set showed before being “adjusted.” The new numbers from RSS also show radically higher temperature increases than other satellite data, such as the numbers from the University of Alabama at Huntsville’s data set (UAH). Examining the alleged warming over the tropics, for example, the new adjusted RSS data shows a rate of warming almost five times larger than UAH data, analysts said.

Scientists at UAH, including Dr. Roy Spencer, former senior climate scientist at NASA, compared the new RSS results with the data collected by UAH satellites. In comments on his own website and at climate-focused outlets, Spencer said there had been “spurious warming” added into the new RSS data — a problem that UAH data does not have. He blamed the spurious warming in the adjusted RSS data set on the RSS scientists failing to correct for discrepancies between more accurate temperature data-gathering instruments and data gathered by older, poorly calibrated instruments that have drifted from their original orbit. “I suspect Carl Mears [with RSS] grew tired of global warming ‘denialists’ using the RSS satellite data to demonstrate an 18-year ‘pause,’” Spencer was quoted as saying by the Daily Caller. “So, now that problem is solved.”

So let’s take stock.  Read more »

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Rising sea levels could deliver you a sea-front property, but they can only see the down-side

The Media party and the left-wing parties are all in a massive slather about climate change again, because some old bag has decreed that sea levels MIGHT rise by 30cm in coming DECADES.

The Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment is urging the government and the private sector to figure out how to avoid home owners’ equity plummeting due to climate change.

The commissioner, Dr Jan Wright, believes the country is facing about 30cm of sea level rise over the next few decades. On top of that, storm surges are likely, making buildings that lie within 50cm of high tide vulnerable.

There are 13,000 buildings in New Zealand that fit that criteria, including 8800 homes. The replacement cost of all of the buildings is estimated to be $3 billion, and that doesn’t include the cost for infrastructure, such as roads.

The enormity of the issue needed to be thought about in monetary terms, as well as the impact it would have on the environment, she said.

A working group consisting of local and central government and the private sector, such as insurance and banking, was needed, she said.

A plan was crucial so problems like negative equity could be avoided.

“We do insurance in an annual way, every year you pay for your insurance again. If insurance companies decide to stop or the premiums become unaffordable … then you could be looking at a case where the mortgage, which of course is a 30-year one not an annual year one, is more valuable then the value of the house, and that’s a negative equity issue.”

Central government needed to sort out its guidance and direction on the matter down to local level, she said.

Read more »

Weird cut/paste job for Wellington Council by former Labour MP

Moana Mackey has been writing reports for the Wellington City Council

It is a truly loopy report on a “Low Carbon Capital“.

But it appears she may have copy/pasted someone else’s work and claimed it as her own.

Her report says:

Globally cities consume two-thirds of the world’s energy and create over 70% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Over 90% of all urban areas are coastal, putting most cities on Earth at risk of flooding from rising sea levels and powerful storms.

Read more »

Key to farmers: time for you to step up for the environment

PM John Key

PM John Key

New Zealand farmers need to step up their investment on science and innovation to combat the impact of methane and nitrates from agriculture on climate change, Prime Minister John Key said.

Mr Key told the Platinum Primary Producers annual conference in Wellington that the focus would return to climate change as the economy recovers from the global financial crisis and the pressure would come more and more on the agricultural industry, which is responsible for half of New Zealand’s emissions.

Read more »

But, but, but…it is supposed to be ice-free by now

We’ve been told by no lesser luminaries than Al Gore, that the Arctic would be ice-free by 2012.

It is now several years past that and the Arctic circle is still covered in ice.

Last week, the United States Navy launched exercises at the new Ice Camp Sargo in the Arctic Circle. Seen above, the nuclear submarine USS Hampton surfaces through the ice. It’s a majestic sight, but let’s not forget the goal here:

“(This exercise) is our continued commitment to the development of undersea warfare capabilities and tactics in all areas of the world,” said Rear Adm. Jeff Trussler, commander, Undersea Warfighting Development Center. “Our superiority in delivering effects in and from the undersea domain to the operational commanders is dependent on the regular exercise and demonstration of these capabilities.”

Read more »

Climate Change is the driver behind Auckland’s intensification

Auckland-city-scene-cropped-2

Turns out that Auckland joined something called the “C-40”, which started a decade ago and is putting huge pressure on its members to implement cycle lanes, intensification and light rail.

The city has been admitted to the C-40, a local government climate change action group set up 10 years ago by former London mayor Ken Livingstone.

It now consists of 80 cities around the world.

Chief executive Mark Watts said there was forward thinking in Auckland about public transport, and the introduction of cycle lanes and light rail would put it on par with the world’s most sustainable cities.

But with a relatively small population over a large area, Mr Watts said Auckland needed to change its spatial development and opt for more density.

He said that with people so spaced out in Auckland it would be difficult to make a public transport system work fully.

Amazing isn’t it?

So what does a “sustainable city” look like?  Read more »