David Farrar

Farrar comes good again

The chill air of Antarctica has obviously done a world of good for arts, lifestyle and travel blogger David Farrar.

He calls out the Media Party for their pimping the poor article on the Blenheim Bludger.

Remember Fairfax stated:

She received $580 a week when she was on benefits looking after her three dependent children aged 10, 15 and 17.

Her new job, which she also juggled with studying for a bachelor in early childhood education, paid $614 a week after her student fees were taken out.

She missed qualifying for a working for family support benefit by one working hour.

Read more »

David Farrar, the arts, travel & lifestyle blogger, is on fire

David Farrar has returned from his state-funded trip to Antarctica to get stuck into some truly stupid comments about the children’s commissioner.

The whole post needs more coverage.

Stacey Kirk writes at Stuff:

The value the Government places in New Zealand’s children will be judged by its appointment of the next Children’s Commissioner. 

Umm, no. Not at all.   Read more »

Farrar wrong on Franks

In a superb post explaining why Sue Bradford is not in the running for Children’s Commissioner, Arts, Travel & Lifestyle blogger David Farrar says the following:

Stuff reports:

Poverty activist and former Green Party MP is in the running to become our next Children’s Commissioner.

No she isn’t. Applying for a job doesn’t mean you are in the running. If I applied to be UN Secretary-General, that doesn’t mean I’m in the running. To be in the running you need a non-zero chance of getting the job.

Read more »

Summer Edition of INCITE: Politics almost ready

INCITE

We are just putting the final touches to the Summer Edition of INCITE: Politics.

Our designer and proofer was enjoying a much-earned holiday this weekend but it should be ready for delivery later tonight or tomorrow morning.

In this month’s edition we have contributions from Chris Trotter, Don Brash, David Farrar and Jock Anderson, as well as the usual contributions from Simon Lusk and myself.

  • Chris Trotter asks a very hard question
  • David Farrar provides some long-term predictions
  • Don Brash investigates Auckland’s affordable housing issue
  • Jock Anderson discusses a very interesting case before the courts

Read more »

Summer Edition of “INCITE: Politics” nearly completed

INCITE

We are just finalising copy for the Summer Edition of INCITE: Politics and it will be ready shortly for dissemination to subscribers.

In this month’s edition we have contributions from Chris Trotter, Don Brash, David Farrar and Jock Anderson, as well as the usual contributions from Simon Lusk and myself.

We will also be looking at potential leadership options, what Labour can do about their dead wood and John Key’s not-so-secret strategy that is bleeding resources and support from Labour.   Read more »

Perhaps they need to hire Farrar?

The UK polling companies need to seriously consider hiring David Farrar to sort out their woeful polling practices.

A systematic bias in the way people were selected to take part in opinion polls before the general election is emerging as the most likely reason why the industry failed to predict an overall majority for David Cameron in May’s general election.

Analysis undertaken by polling companies, including YouGov and ICM, of what went wrong in May has found that that a relative over-representation of politically engaged young voters produced a forecast that flattered Ed Miliband. Conversely, the over-70s – who broke heavily for the Tories – were under-represented in YouGov’s internet panels.

The findings come before the publication in January of the initial findings of an independent study for the polling industry, led by Prof Patrick Sturgis of Southampton University, to examine why so many failed to predict a majority win for the Conservative party in May.

YouGov research into its election errors – it underestimated Tory support by 3.7 points and overestimated Labour by 2.8 points – identified an excess of politically engaged young respondents. Because of their age, they were disproportionately Labour but – because of their interest in politics – they were also more likely than the rest of their age group to turn out and vote.

ICM has long afforded a weight to each age bracket (18-24, 25-34 and so on) to match the group’s size in the census but is now concerned that the individual respondents in each bracket may not be representative of that group.

The polling company is reviewing its weighting scheme so that sample groups reflect turnout likelihoods among young and older people, and between people at all points on the social spectrum. This, together with somewhat stronger assumptions about the behaviour of respondents who decline to say how they will vote, has the average effect of reducing the Labour vote share by about two percentage points and increasing the Conservative vote share to a similar extent.

Read more »

Comments about INCITE: Politics

INCITE

The following comments have been made about INCITE: Politics.

From long time reader Jude:

I have subscribed for a year and am really enjoying reading Incite.
I actually looked at what mysky sub covered and cancelled little add ons that we rarely watched.The movie channel, Soho and Rialto all now cancelled saving $42 dollars a month that I happily use to cover sub for Incite.
Well done Cam and team for a very worth while product!

Read more »

Why the Preferred PM poll is flawed

In today’s launch of INCITE: Politics we have commissioned our own polling to look not at preferred Prime Minister stakes, but rather the approval ratings of potential leaders.

Why did we do this?

Well, you don’t have to look further than today’s NZ Herald/Digipoll results which show that John Key, sitting on 65.2% is 49% in front of Andrew Little who languishes on 16.2%.

PREFERRED PM Read more »

INCITE: Politics launches today

INCITE

Today is the day and shortly the first editions of INCITE: Politics will begin landing in people’s inboxes.

Little in trouble – David Farrar writes about the fundamental problem for Andrew Little, his negative approval rating, and contrasts it with the very popular John Key.

The Route to Victory – Simon Lusk considers the potential routes to victory and the relative institutional strengths of both the Labour and the National parties in the 2017 election.

Ten Questions – Winston Peters takes the time to give some thoughtful answers to some important political questions.

Politician of the Year – Review our choice for the inaugural INCITE: Politics Politician of the year.

The Advent of the Media Party – Cam Slater writes about why the media have moved from neutral, dispassionate observers to players in the political game, and why the public no longer trusts them.

Pundits & Media –  Cam Slater’s view on the New Zealand media, with a counter view from Simon Lusk.    Read more »

Totally awesome

There are few people in politics who are truly awesome.

Most people involved are slimy weasels and very few wear their hearts on their sleeves.

One of Tony Abbott’s staff is one of those people.

One of the first words Malcolm Turnbull heard after being named Australia’s 29th Prime Minister on Monday night was a four-letter expletive, not fit for publication, hurled by one of Tony Abbott’s junior staffers.

The story of Richard Dowdy’s spill night insult has already become legend in Coalition staffer circles.

Mr Dowdy has been a staffer for Mr Abbott since late 2009, when the Member for Warringah knifed Malcolm Turnbull for the Liberal Party leadership.    Read more »