Chris Trotter has gone all in…I sense he is sniffing there is serious trouble inside the Labour party and in particular with David Cunliffe.
One News last night mentioned results of a poll in relation to Winston Peters so I suspect we will be drip fed information and other poll results over the weekend. Over he past 4 weeks there have been a number of polls and none of them are good for Labour and Cunliffe.
My Labour sources are telling me that the rumblings in caucus are pronounced and whatever supporters Cunliffe did have are fast evaporating as their own internal polling shows zero movement, even after major policy announcements.
Chris Trotter is a bellwether for strife in Labour…he is sensing it.
WEâ€™LL ALL HAVE TO WAIT for Sundayâ€™sÂ One NewsÂ bulletin to discover whether or not the results of the Fairfax Ipsos and Roy Morgan polls are confirmed by Colmar Brunton. If they are then David Cunliffe will have to act swiftly and decisively if heâ€™s to preserve what little remains of Labourâ€™s hopes for victory.
If he fails to act, then the narratives being constructed around his leadership will harden into perceived facts that he will find increasingly difficult to escape.
There are rumours, but I’ve heard those rumours before and they’ve been wrong, so will wait for the results. I suspect though that Labour and National know so I will watch for posts on blogs framing the talking points.
What are those narratives? There are many, but for the moment these are the two most damaging.
The first asserts that while Cunliffe undoubtedly won the support of his party in 2013, he singularly failed to win the support of his caucus. That failure is forcing him to tread with exaggerated caution around his parliamentary colleagues in an attempt to maintain a facade of party unity.
The Leader of the Oppositionâ€™s and his advisersâ€™ preoccupation with unity is now extending that caution into the realm of policy with the result that Cunliffeâ€™s campaign promises to enshrine Labourâ€™s core values at the heart of the partyâ€™s 2014 manifesto are beginning to ring hollow.Â Read more »