David Shearer

12th rogue poll in a row shows Labour under 30%

TVNZ’s OneNews/Colmar Brunton poll has more bad news for Labour and for David Cunliffe.

It is the 12th poll in a row that shows them under 30% and sliding while National rides high.

David Cunliffe’s poll ratings are also the lowest since he took over from David Shearer.

The number aren’t good for Labour.

140727_One_News_Colmar_Brunton_poll_21-25_July_2014_prelim Read more »

Condemned by Labour, NZ First and the Greens but Mana still thinks swastikas and flag burnings are ok

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The swastika flags and flag burnings by anti-Israel protestors have been condemned by Labour, NZ First and the Greens.

But the screaming skull, John Minto, thinks that such demonstrations are just fine with him and the Mana party.

Then again when you are funded by a nazi fetishist who makes rape jokes it is probably normal.

Mana activist John Minto is defending the defacing of Israeli flags at an anti-Israel march in Auckland, saying it was an appropriate form of protest due to the “massacre”.

Hundreds of people turned out during the weekend march to protest the Israeli offensive in Gaza, which has resulted in more than 600 Palestinians being killed as Israel bombards the Gaza Strip.

Right-wing blog Whale Oil has posted images showing protesters, including Mana members, burning a US and an Israeli flag as well as one of an Israeli flag with a Nazi swastika imposed upon it.

These actions have been condemned by Labour, NZ First and the Greens.

Minto said he was not aware of the burning, but did not believe it was inappropriate.

“I can’t see what the problem is,” Minto said. “Flags have been burnt in demonstrations and protests for hundreds of years so it’s no big deal.”

Read more »

David Shearer dead wrong on Fiji…again

David Shearer has opened his mouth and spouted more nonsense about Fiji and human rights.

Radio New Zealand reported:

The New Zealand Labour Party says it will raise the Fiji police’s closure of an investigation into alleged beating and torture of prisoners by security personnel at the Foreign Affairs Select Committee on Thursday.

A nine-minute video released on the internet last year shows a handcuffed man being beaten with batons and metal bars by men in plain clothes with one man being set upon by a dog as its handler urges the animal on.

The Police Chief of Operations, Rusiate Tudravu, confirmed the case had been closed but declined to explain what prompted the police decision.

Labour’s spokesperson for foreign affairs, David Shearer, says the contents of the video and the closing of the case are travesties against basic human rights and action must be taken.

“It’s appalling that they’ve just closed the investigation. If the Fijians want to be seen as a democratic player in upholding human rights, these sorts of reviews need to be seen through to their conclusion, and we need to have recommendations and people brought to account.”

There is a massive problem with that story, from Shearer’s point of view and for Radio New Zealand in reporting it.

It is flat out wrong as you can see from reporting at Fiji Village.

The investigation into the alleged brutality video case has not been closed as Fiji’s Police Commissioner Major General Ben Groenewald confirmed to Fiji Village today.

The Police Commissioner has today revealed that the investigation regarding the alleged brutality video posted online remains under investigation.

Major General Ben Groenewald said earlier comments by Police that the matter was closed referred to advice from the Office of the Director of Public Prosecutions concerning possible charges against the person responsible for uploading the video.

He stresses that no final decision has yet been made relating to other allegations concerning the video.

Groenewald said once the investigation is complete the file will be forwarded to the Director of Public Prosecutions for a decision.

Police Chief of Operations, ACP Rusiate Tudravu had earlier said that the case is closed and he will not make any further comments.

Also what Radio New Zealand and David Shearer forget is that these ratbags who the Police apprehended had previously escaped from Suva Prison and went on a rampage robbing, assaulting and destroying property fro over a week.

They were violent thugs who caused a great deal of fear and anguish in SUva while on the run.

If they got a bit of a tickle up in the back of a ute then very few Fijians especially those in Suva would have cared very much at all.

- Radio New Zealand, Fiji Village

Brian Edwards on “why John Key’s days are numbered”

And the proof of the pudding will lie where it has always lain – in the polls. And particularly in the Preferred Prime Minister poll. No party leader permanently registering under 15% in that poll, let alone dipping into single figures, can hope to enjoy the confidence of the electorate or lead their party to victory. And that has been the situation for every Labour Leader since 2008.

My dear friend Dr Brian Edwards is right of course.

More from his September 2013 piece

I hadn’t intended to do anything more on this mini-post than congratulate David [Cunliffe] and [his wife] Karen. But I’ve decided to stick my neck out and make a prediction. I predict that a Labour/Greens coalition will win the 2014 election and that David Cunliffe will be New Zealand’s next Prime Minister. Labour might even go it alone.

To think my dear friend Brian was paid to advise Helen Clark.  You have to wonder who got the better end of that deal?

Now, as it happens, I don’t think John Key is a particularly good communicator at all. 

Keep ‘em coming Brian, you’re on fire.

But  today the picture changed. John Key has some real opposition. David Cunliffe has a brilliant mind, is a brilliant speaker and debater and there is no politician to match him on the box.

Get ready for it….

 

Cunliffe is the game-changer.

BOOM!

 

snapper

 

H/T Lion_ess

 

Could convergence become an issue

Labour continues to be mired in the 20s, the Greens are slowly climbing towards the 20s…hoovering up the disaffected hard left of Labour as The Cunliffe continues to disappoint.

Could convergence become an issue, where the Greens supplant Labour as the largest opposition party.

Matthew Hooton discussed that in his column at the NBR:

Don’t rule out convergence.

Labour’s disastrous decision to replace David Shearer with David Cunliffe and spend nearly a year swinging to the far left has inevitably crashed its poll numbers.

The recent ploy to swing back to the centreappears to have come too late. The days are long gone when Mr Shearer had Labour polling around the mid-30s and, with the Greens in the low teens, well on track to become prime minister. In both the major polls released this week, Roy Morgan and Fairfax-Ipsos, Mr Cunliffe’s Labour was languishing under 25%.

Both polls were taken mainly after Mr Cunliffe’s apology for being a man, but also after his major education announcements. Despite Labour strategists privately claiming their internal polling responded favourably, the public polls suggest that the promises of cheap laptops and slightly smaller classes have failed to capture the imagination of middle-class parents.

Worse for Labour, while there may be good evidence the polls tend to overestimate National’s support by around 5% at the expense of smaller parties, the trend line for Labour in at least the last two elections has almost exactly predicted its actual party vote.

In 2011, Phil Goff led Labour to its worst result since 1925. If Mr Cunliffe’s tilt to the centre continues to fail, he risks taking New Zealand’s oldest political party below the 24% it won in the first two elections following the World War I.

Poll numbers also have an element of self-fulfilling prophecy. People don’t like voting for losers. As the election nears, Labour risks losing a crucial few further points to the Greens, Internet-Mana and NZ First.

Bill English currently wears the electoral dunce cap in the New Zealand parliament, having led National to its 21% debacle in 2002. The finance minister may dare to hope he might finally get to pass it on to Mr Cunliffe after September 20.

For all this, the risk of a change of government remains high.   Read more »

Labour’s worst poll result in 15 years in Digipoll

 

We are voting positive #forabetternz...for National

We are voting positive #forabetternz…for National

The latest Herald Digipoll is out and The Cunliffe experiment is shown for what it is…abject failure.

Labour’s support has slumped to its worst rating for 15 years in the latest DigiPoll survey, putting critical pressure on leader David Cunliffe.

Its 26.5 per cent support is a slide of four points since June.

With just two months to the election, Labour could slip into the disastrous territory held by National in 2002, when it polled 20.93 per cent in the face of the highly popular Labour Government.

On this poll of decided voters National would be able to govern alone comfortably and gain another 10 MPs.

National has jumped 4.5 points to 54.9 per cent. A Stuff/Ipsos poll earlier this week also put support for National at 54.8 per cent.

Prime Minister John Key is more popular than he has ever been, scoring preferred prime minister on 73.3 per cent, compared with Cunliffe on 10.5 per cent and New Zealand First’s Winston Peters on 5.5 per cent.

The second-most-preferred PM out of Labour MPs is David Shearer, with 2.2 per cent, followed by Jacinda Ardern on 1.4 per cent.  Read more »

No one likes The Cunliffe

Cunliffe - Sh_t

David Cunliffe aka The Cunliffe, isn’t as popular as Greg Presland thinks he is.

In fact the Fairfax Ipsos polls shows that Labour would do better without him.

Vernon Small delivers the bad news.

Labour would get an immediate lift in the polls if it dumped leader David Cunliffe, a new poll suggests.

The stuff.co.nz/Ipsos poll reveals that Cunliffe may have become Labour’s biggest liability, with a significant number of voters saying they would be more likely to vote for Labour if someone else were leader.

Click here for full poll results in graphics.

The effect is sizeable, making a 13.5 percentage point difference to Labour’s vote.

Although a similar effect is seen on National when asked the same question about John Key, it is much smaller.

The finding will plunge Labour further into crisis after yesterday’s poll result cementing Labour’s support in the mid-20s.

Privately, Labour and the Greens now acknowledge that it would take an unprecedented swing against National to force a change of government on September 20.

Some Labour MPs were yesterday privately canvassing leadership options, even at this late stage.

But they believe Labour would be even more severely punished by such an outward sign of panic.    Read more »

Has there been a coup in Labour?

It would appear so, the Bay of Plenty Times is reporting that Labour has a new leader…and its the old leader David Shearer.

Shearer-leader

 

And of course the whole article is about the mixed messages labour and their “new leader” are sending which is they love mining when their policies are dead set against it…especially open cast mines like this.

A visit to Newmont Waihi Gold’s mining operation was just one of the items on Labour MP David Shearer’s agenda when he visited Waihi last Wednesday.

Mr Shearer was accompanied by Coromandel Labour candidate, Korbinian Poschl and the candidate for Tauranga, Dr Rachel Jones who is 25 on the party list so is likely to get into parliament at this election.

None of the three Labour representatives had visited the mine workings before so the quick Newmont-organised tour was a chance for them to get a glimpse of the gold mining operation.

The three were visibly impressed when faced with the large hole in the ground which is the Martha Pit.

Newmont spokesperson and tour guide Kit Wilson explained the workings of the pit, pointing out different layers, old workings and the way the ore (and waste rock) is mined and sent to the processing plant.

Just as the mini tour was departing the siren indicating a blast went off and the Labour visitors quickly got back out of the mini-van to witness and feel a mine blast.

Ohhh, excited by bang bangs…who isn’t?

 

- Bay of Plenty Times

The Predictable Failure of David Cunliffe, Ctd

Cunliffe - Sh_t

The two most recent polls have shown what all of us known.

David Cunliffe has a poo fingered touch, everything he touches turns to poop.

This was entirely predictable.  Read more »

Fairfax/Ipsos poll hammers the nails into Cunliffe’s coffin

If you thought the Roy Morgan poll was bad the Fairfax poll basically confirms that neither is rogue with similar numbers to each other.

National appears to be tightening its grip on the election, with our latest poll cementing its massive lead.

Today’s stuff.co.nz/Ipsos Political poll has National on 54.8 per cent support – a staggering 30-point lead over Labour, but down 1.7 points from our last poll.

John Key is also preferred prime minister among most voters, at 53.7 per cent support to David Cunliffe’s 12.8.

Click here for full graphics.

The only glimmer of good news for Labour is that it appears to have reversed the slide in our previous poll and has risen 1.7 points, to 24.9 per cent.

But pollster Matt Benson said undecided voters were shaping up as an important factor and their numbers had been volatile in the previous three polls.

Today’s poll, which follows Labour’s recent election-year congress and a series of targeted announcements on education policy, shows more decided voters, with Labour clearly benefiting from the change.

But 15.3 per cent of voters still don’t know who they will vote for.

That will bring little cheer to Labour, however, as it prepares for its election campaign launch, now just weeks away.

Read more »