David Shearer

David Cunliffe’s Chopper Read Pitch

Cunliffe - Sh_t

David Cunliffe had an absolute shocker last night.

If David Shearer had have remained leader and polled at the same level he was polling at before he was rolled Labour would have had between 8-10 more Mps and would be looking at forming a government.   Read more »

What 22.4% means for Labour

-3News

-3News

Labour polled at 22.4% in the Fairfax poll yesterday.

This has some pretty major implications for Labour.

The biggest implication is they may lose all their list MPs, depending on how many electorates they win.

There could be an overhang as Labour wins more electorates than it deserves seats. So no more Parker, Ardern, Cosgrove, Moroney, Little or Street.    Read more »

How to put positive spin on dreadful numbers

The NZ Herald has some new numbers from their polling that looks at some key demographics.

But watch how they spin the numbers.

A breakdown of the latest Herald Digipoll results according to gender, location and age shows where the parties are strongest and where they are gaining and losing ground.

Labour’s popularity with male voters has increased, with 21.2 per cent of men supporting it for the party vote, compared to 18.4 per cent last week.

The party’s support among women hasn’t changed much, with 27.8 per cent this week, compared to 28.9 per cent last week.

Those numbers are simply dreadful for Labour. As I said earlier in the week Labour’s internal polling was showing them with a one in front of it and it looks like Digipoll has found the same.

Sure it has increased to barely over 20% and in the territory of Bill English’s dreadful 2002 result. Even thenumbers for women are bad and lower than when David Shearer led Labour. The Herald spins this as positive…Labour’s popularity amongst men is rising…when it is around 20% it can only but rise!   Read more »

The Predictable Failure of David Cunliffe (Ctd)

Today’s polls are more bad news for Labour.

They rolled David Shearer when he had 34% of the vote.

The new messiah, David Cunliffe, has managed to lose them 10% of the vote since then.

This was very, very predictable. I have been predicting it for ages.

David Cunliffe is dead set useless, and Labour should have run some polls to see what the population thought of him before they selected him as leader. His negatives were seriously high to being with, so he was always going to tank Labour’s vote.

Having high negatives is not career ending. Helen Clark demonstrated this, when she managed to take Labour down to 14% in the polls, with a 2% preferred Prime Minister rating.     Read more »

What is David Cunliffe’s route to Victory?

The polls are still looking sick for David Cunliffe. He hasn’t managed to get Labour out of the twenties, let alone getting them back to the level that David Shearer had before the Labour caucus gave him the arse.

Cunliffe is holding onto the hope that he can cobble together a coalition of the Greens, New Zealand First, Internet Mana and the Maori Party. Maybe with Peter Dunne involved too as everyone knows Peter doesn’t really care who as long as he is minister.

Cunliffe’s route to victory is a hydra. 

Credit:  SonovaMin

Credit: SonovaMin

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Labour’s decline continues in latest poll

The NZ Herald/Digipoll is out and Labour’s election continues to slide away with continued dismal poll ratings.

Labour replaced David Shearer for much better poll ratings than these.

National 50.7 (up 0.7)
Labour 24.1 (down 1.1)
Greens 11.4 (down 2.3)
NZ First 5 (up 0.7)
Maori Party 1 (up 0.3)
Internet Mana 3.4 (up 1.3)
Conservatives 3.3 (up 0.7)
Act 0.3 (down 0.3)
United Future 0.2 (down 0.2)   Read more »

Auckland University goon squad defends Hamas

 

Yesterday the Auckland University goon squad were out in force  dribs and drabs protesting against Hamas..oh….I mean Israel. It did make me wonder though, as one of their chants were “Boycott genocide”. Juliet Moses confronted the rowdy teenagers and tried engage some sensible dialogue with their adult supervisor and enlighten them to a few facts about Hamas, only to be shouted down with petulant behaviour, abuse and more chanting because they didn’t like what she had to say to them. It just goes to show one thing from ‘that side’, that freedom of speech is tolerated, as long as it’s theirs.

Billy Hania the adult representing the rowdy toddlers blurted out a  delusional rant which stated that all the killing was a result of the Super Fund and other companies. It has been alleged that an Israeli chemical company that the Superannuation Fund invests in is “killing people” with white phosphorus. The trouble with that is, the IDF haven’t used it since 2009 and it is only used for smokescreens because its use as a weapon is now illegal.

Even David Shearer doesn’t know what’s going on, as is evident in his comment:

Labour defence spokesman David Shearer, who worked for the UN in some of the conflict zones where white phosphorus was allegedly used, this month called for the fund to sell its Israel Chemicals stake.

“We should be divesting from that [shareholding] immediately,” he said.

“New Zealand should not be investing in any type of munitions that can be used in the way Israel is using them at the moment.

“It is absolutely unacceptable and I think most New Zealanders would agree. I don’t believe it is right.

“There are plenty of good investments in the world without having to invest in armaments.” – source

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Hooton on Labour’s Next Leader

Matthew Hooton has written an article in the NBR talking about who could be the next Labour leader.

He speaks of centrist candidates Stu Nash and Kel Davis as potential leaders if they can win their seats.

Depending on how their electorate races go, two names would emerge: Labour’s candidates in Te Tai Tokerau and Napier, Kelvin Davis and Stuart Nash.

Both live and breath Labour values but are reasonably centralist, in the John Key mode.  Both have played for the parliamentary rugby team, drink beer out of the bottle, are married to women and have kids.

If Mr Davis makes it back to parliament, he will have defeated the formidable Hone Harawira and kept Ms Harre, Ms Sykes and Mr Minto out.  By working hard at the local level over two elections, Mr Nash will have overturned National’s massive 9108 majority from 2008.  Both will have done it by getting National voters to tick red.

In Mr Davis’ case, he would become the first Maori leader of a major political party.  For Mr Nash, he would be seeking election as prime minister in 2017, exactly 60 years after the last Nash, his grandfather Walter, took Labour to power.  Moreover, in Labour’s centenary year, the grandson of Michael Joseph Savage’s finance minister would be leading the party towards power.  If they worked together, a Nash/Davis ticket would be a dream team.

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Are First Union membership fees funding anti Semitism?

cunt

 

“New Zealand does have to have a stronger line, and make…absolutely say that what’s happening in Gaza is just beyond the pale. I mean, 1500 people dead already, 9000 injured, people locked in as David Shearer said, basically an open air prison and just being bombed every day of the week since this campaign’s been on. New Zealand has to step up and say more and part of saying more is to get over this thing about saying on one hand Israel, on one hand Hamas, the brutality, the war crimes that are happening are happening from the Israeli side and Israel has to be made to account for what is happening” 

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Bews-Hair vs Lewis – trouble in the Town Hall

As Labour’s next train wreck draws ever closer, here’s an angle that is worth keeping an eye on – a simmering, but growing feud between Auckland-based veteran political operatives, David Lewis and James Bews-Hair.

These two go back to the early-90s. They were on different sides of the broad church back then – Lewis a Clark loyalist and Bews-Hair donkey-deep with the likes of Phil Quin in the dirty tricks of the Moore/Goff camp. Despite this, they have always been as thick as thieves – until now that is.

I’m told things started to turn sour during the fallout from the Brown affair.

While Bews-Hair was quietly knifing people in the shadows, Lewis was strutting his prowess anywhere that would print it. To make it worse, Lewis promptly cut Brown adrift, whereas Bews-Hair continues to do his dirty work for him. Now things are about to get really nasty.

Labour will soon need a new leader, and just like the old days Lewis and Bews-Hair are going to be on different sides.   Read more »