elections

Campbell will have a major sugar overload tonight

campbellJohn Campbell is going to have to eat an awful lot of lollies tonight.

Here at Campbell Live, we couldn’t wait for election night and took things into our own hands with lolly polls throughout the country.

It is nothing official and not terribly scientific but a whole lot of fun – despite the temptation we have held on to the lollies.

Here is a recap of all the lolly polls conducted throughout the country:

  • Te Tai Tokerau was won by Mana Party leader Hone Harawira.
  • East Coast Bays electorate was won by National’s Murray McCully.
  • Auckland Central electorate was won by Labour’s Jacinda Ardern.
  • Epsom electorate was won by National’s Paul Goldsmith.

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Is there much use to political polls?

Grumpollie has crunched the numbers:

Here is the actual (provisional) result and the last polls

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To Martyn, Martin, Kim, Laila, David, Russel, Metiria, Pam and all their fans

Fiji Election: Clear win for Bainimarama

 Photo/ Cam Slater, Whaleoil Media

Photo/ Cam Slater, Whaleoil Media

Fiji voted yesterday.

It was a clear and beautiful day. The streets were quiet except around the polling stations, where a positive buzz was felt as people voted.

There were concerns on Tuesday night about thuggery and intimidation but the Police were out in force, and the streets of Suva were very peaceful, even at 2:00am when I walked back to my hotel.

At that point last night Fiji First and Bainimarama were in front comfortably with more than 15% of the vote counted.

Overnight they have advanced their vote to over 60%. ¬† Read more »

Hoarding nastiness still in full swing

You’d think things would be quietening down by now, but in some pockets of the country, things are still tense.

This comes off the back of Fia Turner finding her signs being ripped down by people, and some being replaced with Labour hoardings. Check her Facebook page out.

Labour really are the nasty party

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Will Fiji’s elections be free & fair?

Mohammed-Saneem

Supervisor of Elections at Fiji Elections Office, Mohammed Saneem Photo/ Cam Slater, Whaleoil Media

I am in Suva at the moment investigating Fiji’s path to democracy.

Today I visited the Fiji Elections Office, their Electoral Commission, and had an in-depth discussion with the Supervisor of Elections, Mohammed Saneem.

My questions and discussion focused on whether or not Fiji would be having free and fair elections on September 17.

In past elections there have been several incidences of vote tampering, ballot box stacking and in one particular example more votes cast than registered electors in a constituency.

Despite international observers in the past declaring elections free and fair it is obvious to all that Fiji’s past elections have been far from that.

Independence of Fiji Elections Office

The Fiji Elections Office is independent, just like New Zealand’s Electoral Commission. They are charged with overseeing the election and electoral law, which at present is by decree, but it is the law nonetheless.

I spent quite a bit of time understanding their voting processes and there are some quite innovative techniques they are utilising to combat voter fraud and vote rigging.

Voter Registration

The first step has been a comprehensive voter education and registration process that has been running for two years. Registered voters have a voter id card, this is not at all like the Easy Vote card that is so easily rorted in NZ.  The Fijian voter registration card is a photo id, it also contains biometric data (fingerprints) which require a match of at least 8 points.

The Fijian registered voters carry these cards everywhere. When I asked my cab diver last night, when I arrived in Suva, if he was registered to vote, he reached into his pocket and flourished it with obvious pride. Everyone eligible and registered to vote has one of these and a random sample on the streets shows that everyone without fail carries it. What this means is that only registered voters will be able to vote, and they require the photo and biometric identification in order to vote. This is a significant advancement over our voter registration processes in NZ. I should know as I have just watched my 18 year old son register to vote in NZ and our processes are farcical to say the least compared to what Fiji has initiated. ¬†¬† Read more »

Negative campaigning that makes voters feel guilty never works

There is a Facebook campaign running at the moment, run by the left wing, where people post pictures of themselves explaining why they vote National…they are all nasty.

Here is an example.

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They are even using their children to push their nasty message.

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And just so we get the gist of what they are about here is another one: ¬†¬† Read more »

An email from a reader

A reader and commenter, MAWG, writes:

We are seeing what I can only describe as the most vile sort of political debate in this country. ¬†¬† The issues are not being debated.¬† What we are seeing is behavior that we can only describe as “feral”.

We have orchestrated campaigns to destroy National election hoardings. We have these ferals boasting about it on Facebook. We have pure hate speech as part of a high profile campaign for the first time in my memory. We have overt anti-Semitism as part of a campaign against the government that is being funded by a German who owns an autographed copy of Mein Kampf.

We have a political left that rails against Chinese buying a few farms, but sees nothing wrong in a German funding a political party with the sole intent of carrying out a revolution. The crowd chanting “Fuck John Key” have done nothing more than pander to Kim’s ego, and will have done his cause more harm than good, but is symptomatic of the sort of politics that my parents moved to this country to avoid. ¬† Read more »

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Sign graffiti creativity in Hutt South

There is something to be said for creativity when it comes to election sign graffiti.

As my old mate in caucus, Scott Simpson, knows the best graffiti to your election signs is often that done by your own team.

I’m picking that Trevor Mallard has been consulting Scott Simpson and this is one of their collaborations.

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Turnout and complacency an issue

Voter turnout could be critical, along with complacency in this years election.

National are worried because of the low turnout in National seats at the last election…that is complacency kicking in. Labour are worried because they think the missing million are all their voters.

It’s a looming spectre both National and Labour say could derail the election, but which party stands to lose the most from a low voter turnout at the polls?

Figures from the latest Stuff-Ipsos poll show 77 per cent of people say only unforeseen events like illness or disaster would stop them voting.

When the remainder were asked what might put them off voting, 17.6 per cent said it was too difficult to get to a polling station, while 8 per cent said they were too busy and a further 8 per cent said they didn’t know enough about the issues or the candidates.

The data suggests this election could mirror 2011 when turnout sunk to 74.2 per cent Рthe lowest  since 1981.

National Party campaign director Steven Joyce said despite many polls showing the election was National’s to lose, a Labour-led government was still a realistic outcome.

“I think firstly, these are polls and the nature of polls is that they’re people’s opinions at a point in time and that makes it a reasonably costless sort of opinion.”

Joyce said the bulk of the missing voters were likely National supporters who thought the election was a foregone conclusion. ¬†¬† Read more »