Global Warming

Human ingenuity and its ability to solve problems

The doomsayers have been telling us we have reached a tipping point with climate change, and that the planet is doomed unless be pay trillions in taxes.

Apparently, there is nothing we can now do except prepare for bigger and nastier storms. Never mind that all the world’s scientists have yet to predict anything remotely true with all their models and billions in funding.

Now, though, we see why I don’t worry at all about the doomsday scenarios…humans are ingenious and find ways of solving problems.

Carbon dioxide has been pumped underground and turned rapidly into stone, demonstrating a radical new way to tackle climate change.

The unique project promises a cheaper and more secure way of burying CO2 from fossil fuel burning underground, where it cannot warm the planet. Such carbon capture and storage (CCS) is thought to be essential to halting global warming, but existing projects store the CO2 as a gas and concerns about costs and potential leakage have halted some plans.

The new research pumped CO2 into the volcanic rock under Iceland and sped up a natural process where the basalts react with the gas to form carbonate minerals, which make up limestone. The researchers were amazed by how fast all the gas turned into a solid – just two years, compared to the hundreds or thousands of years that had been predicted.

“We need to deal with rising carbon emissions and this is the ultimate permanent storage – turn them back to stone,” said Juerg Matter, at the University of Southampton in the UK, who led the research published on Thursday in the journal Science.    Read more »

Dodgy science on sea level rise exposed

With much fanfare and a complicit Media party the Royal Society made huge and outrageous claims about how fast and far sea levels were going to rise in New Zealand.

The Media party dutifully piled in and ran all sorts of scary scenarios about how much damage this was going to cause and how we must all do something.

But what if I told you their claims were as fanciful as Aesop’s fables?

The Royal Society of New Zealand’s recent study on sea level rise claims that, in the next 100 years, sea levels will surely rise by 0.3m and 1m is possible. It strongly recommends action should be taken now to deal with this.

The claim does not stand up to close examination.

First, the rise in sea level and New Zealand coast has been about 0.14m over the past 100 years, with no sign of a recent increase in the rate.

There is no solid evidence to indicate this steady rate will increase rapidly in the future. The Royal Society’s claims are based on flawed climate models that predicted, by now, temperatures would be 0.5° higher than they really are and increasing faster and faster.

When this dubious data were fed into sea level models, they predicted rapidly increasing sea level rise. How surprising!

Read more »

Awesome news: we’re well on the way to warming things up a little

Wellington has become more livable and is well on the way to having reasonable weather.

An air monitoring station near Wellington has passed a climate change milestone which one scientist describes as “a bit like turning 40 and realising you haven’t started saving for your retirement”.

The Baring Head clean air monitoring station’s carbon dioxide readings this week officially passed 400 parts per million, NIWA says.

It follows the mark being passed at Hawaii’s Mauna Loa station in November and Tasmania’s Cape Grim last month.

Most carbon dioxide – the primary greenhouse gas – is generated in the Northern Hemisphere.

However, enough gas has now mixed through the atmosphere to push readings further south above 400ppm, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher says in a statement.

Baring Head was particularly significant because it measured air originating far to the south of the site, away from human activities.   Read more »

Hands across the sand? They barely managed the length of a football field

Seventy people dressed in scarves, woolly hats and coats in late Autumn have held hands to show they worry about climate change and a warming planet [snigger, snort].

In a sign of solidarity, men, women and children held hands on a wintry morning in Christchurch.

More than 70 people, and a handful of dogs, lined New Brighton beach for Hands Across the Sand.

University of Canterbury student Bridget White, 18, co-ordinated the event at New Brighton pier, which was part of an international action that called for a halt to deep sea drilling and the use of more sustainable energy sources to protect the planet from climate change.

Read more »

Stick Paris agreement up your ass says Trump

Donald Trump has announced his energy plan which includes withdrawing from the Paris agreement and stop payments to the UN on climate change:

Presumptive Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump unveiled an “America first” energy plan he said would unleash unfettered production of oil, coal, natural gas and other energy sources to push the United States toward energy independence.

Mr Trump promised on Thursday to cancel the Paris climate agreement and stop all payments of US tax money to a United Nations fund to mitigate effects of climate change worldwide.

But the speech, delivered at the annual Williston Basin Petroleum Conference in Bismarck, North Dakota, went far beyond energy, as Mr Trump laid out, in his most detail to date, a populist general election pitch against likely rival Hillary Clinton.

“She’s declared war on the American worker,” Mr Trump said of Mrs Clinton, reading from prepared remarks in a stadium packed with thousands.

Read more »

Absurdity revealed: to meet climate targets we need to shut down agriculture

If the Green taliban get their way New Zealand will have to pretty much shut down our entire farming system to meet emissions targets.

Current agricultural greenhouse gas reduction strategies can only deliver between 21 to 40 percent of the mitigation required to meet the targets set in The Paris Agreement.

Global greenhouse gases will need to be reduced by around one billion tonnes per year until 2030 in order to limit climate change to below a two degree increase on pre-industrial levels.

However, focusing emission reductions primarily on the transport and energy sectors is not enough to meet that commitment and the agricultural industry is short on options.

Even if the transport and energy sectors reduce emissions to near zero, it would be insufficient according to a study released by Global Change Biology on Tuesday afternoon.

Read more »

And the Greens and other left-wing parties want this to all stop?

The planet is greening, literally, and you’ll never guess what is causing it.

Yep, that awful killer trace gas called carbon dioxide…the very same element the left-wing warmists tell us is killing us all.

But before we get started with the blame game…it is NASA who has released the data.

From a quarter to half of Earth’s vegetated lands has shown significant greening over the last 35 years largely due to rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change on April 25.

An international team of 32 authors from 24 institutions in eight countries led the effort, which involved using satellite data from NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer instruments to help determine the leaf area index, or amount of leaf cover, over the planet’s vegetated regions. The greening represents an increase in leaves on plants and trees equivalent in area to two times the continental United States.

Green leaves use energy from sunlight through photosynthesis to chemically combine carbon dioxide drawn in from the air with water and nutrients tapped from the ground to produce sugars, which are the main source of food, fiber and fuel for life on Earth. Studies have shown that increased concentrations of carbon dioxide increase photosynthesis, spurring plant growth.   Read more »

Who do you believe on sea level rise?

“The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers. ”

–Edgar R. Fiedler

“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict, don’t have knowledge. ”

–Lao Tzu, 6th Century BC Chinese Poet

In science, a prediction is a rigorous, often quantitative, statement, forecasting what would happen under specific conditions. The scientific method is built on testing statements that are logical consequences of scientific theories. This is done through repeatable experiments or observational studies.  A scientific theory which is contradicted by observations and evidence will be rejected.

That’s true except in climate science.  Predictions of sea level rise caused by sea water expansion and ice melt have been made for over 40 years.  The first IPCC report in 1990 predicted that sea levels would rise by between 80 and 290 mm by 2030.  That’s 4.5 mm per year average (range 2.0 to 7.25mm)

In that time frame scientists in NZ say our sea level has risen 1.7 mm per year on average up till now and it took some never revealed massaging of the numbers to get it to that number.  It is a very imprecise calculation and given known biases toward exaggeration it may be lower.  In any event it’s a small fraction of what the IPCC said would happen.  It’s out by a factor of 2.5.

If you apply the rules of science you would ignore any further predictions from those sources as being contradicted by observation.    Read more »

Labour go into overdrive to make Helen Clark look better

[Labour MP Sua Mr William] Sio has just returned from a trip to [Kiribati and Tuvalu] to look at the impact of rising sea levels.

He says the main impact is the concentration of population putting pressure on scarce resources like drinking water which is in turn being affected by the rising sea water table.

Currently New Zealand has an immigration quota of 75 for Tuvalu and Kiribati.

“On Tuvalu there’s a total population of 12,000 and 6000 of them live on Funafuti (the main island) and there’s just not enough room,” he said.

“The Prime Minister (of Tuvalu) said to me, the numbers are small but they can have a really striking impact.”

He is proposing what he calls a programme of ”Migration with Dignity” which could see New Zealand assist with education and pre-immigration training in the islands for people without the skills and qualifications to easily qualify for immigration.

“They don’t want to lose all their brightest and smartest,” he said.

“They still need them to run the Government.

“So the Government Ministers I met agreed that we need to grow the education skill base and look at the mobility of labour.”

He said that both governments of Kiribati and Tuvalu regard migration as a last resort.

“Notwithstanding that I think that for a future Government which wants to stand and support the Pacific you have to plan for that emergency and that disaster but hoping that the disaster doesn’t happen and allow for the gradual movement of people.”

He said he was surprised because had expected that the Governments would be saying everybody wanted to leave.

“But they actually didn’t.

“Yes, they want to migrate but they also want to be able to come back to their homes.

“They want their homes protected.”

But on the bigger picture of the impact climate change is having on the sea levels he said that if New Zealand wanted to stand with the Pacific it had to walk the talk and be bigger and braver about reducing its carbon emissions.

Mr Sio’s trip is an interesting move by Labour which has been accused of taking the Pacific vote for granted.

Looks like another Helen Clark inspired move to make NZ look palatable to the UN.  Because here’s another view, which won’t be popular with those holding the begging bowls.  Read more »

Climate Experts are blaming their tools for lack of warming

Facing an accelerating implosion of faith in the anthropogenic (man-made) global warming (AGW) theory due in part to satellite data showing more than 18 years of no warming — the great “pause” or “hiatus,” as some put it — one of the satellite data sets has now been adjusted to show a slight increase in temperatures over the last two decades. Global-warming theorists on the government dole celebrated the news, speculating that it might herald the end of skepticism over their controversial theory and even what particularly rabid warmists refer to as “climate denial.” However, experts and scientists warned climate alarmists to cool it — especially because the “adjusted” data is now significantly different than other, unmanipulated temperature data sets. There appear to be big problems with the adjustments, too, experts in satellite temperature data said.

The adjusted data set in question comes from Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), satellites put into orbit by NASA but now overseen by chief RSS climate scientist Carl Mears in Santa Rosa, California. The new numbers, which were recently adjusted, purport to show about 0.125 degrees Celsius of warming every 10 years. That is radically more than the 0.078 Celsius per decade — a statistically insignificant figure — that the RSS data set showed before being “adjusted.” The new numbers from RSS also show radically higher temperature increases than other satellite data, such as the numbers from the University of Alabama at Huntsville’s data set (UAH). Examining the alleged warming over the tropics, for example, the new adjusted RSS data shows a rate of warming almost five times larger than UAH data, analysts said.

Scientists at UAH, including Dr. Roy Spencer, former senior climate scientist at NASA, compared the new RSS results with the data collected by UAH satellites. In comments on his own website and at climate-focused outlets, Spencer said there had been “spurious warming” added into the new RSS data — a problem that UAH data does not have. He blamed the spurious warming in the adjusted RSS data set on the RSS scientists failing to correct for discrepancies between more accurate temperature data-gathering instruments and data gathered by older, poorly calibrated instruments that have drifted from their original orbit. “I suspect Carl Mears [with RSS] grew tired of global warming ‘denialists’ using the RSS satellite data to demonstrate an 18-year ‘pause,’” Spencer was quoted as saying by the Daily Caller. “So, now that problem is solved.”

So let’s take stock.  Read more »

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