In Australia it looks like Jess Elgood, Fairfax’s polling boss, has managed to unite the polling industry against her.
The sledging is legendary.
LEADING pollsters have lined up to condemn the overreach of Fairfax’s new polling boss, Jess Elgood, when analysing Ipsos’s poll results in Monday’s Fairfax newspapers.
Ms Elgood was quoted in The Sydney Morning Herald saying: “They have read the writing on the wall for Mr Abbott … It possibly indicates that the voters have already moved on from Mr Abbott.”
The Ipsos poll found a three-percentage-point rise in the Coalition’s two-party vote such that it trailed the Labor Party 49 to 51 per cent.
The results did not fit the narrative of commentators that the Prime Minister’s poor performance was damaging the government’s standing.
Galaxy Research managing director David Briggs disputed Ms Elgood’s argument.
“The idea that the surge in government support is because voters are already factoring in Abbott’s potential departure doesn’t make intuitive sense,” he said.
Liberal Party pollster Mark Textor evoked a Monty Python theme, describing the Ipsos boss’s analysis as “desperately free from the ravages of quantitative evidence”.