Lindsay Tisch

The vacuity of Andrea Vance’s analysis, Ctd

Andrea Vance’s very shallow analysis suggested that Lindsay Tisch would be told not to run again. This shows a very poor understanding of the National Party constitution.

To kick Tisch out requires a lot more than giving him the arse card.

If he decides to dig his heels in he can likely hold his seat for life because Waikato has high membership. High membership matters because for every 10 members there is one delegate allocated. There must be 60 delegates, so if your electorate has less than 600 members the regional chair gets to top up the delegates to make 60.

A National selection requires a majority. In the event of a tie between the last two candidates the regional chair gets to make a casting vote, but this rarely happens. The classic way to stitch up an electorate selection is to have low membership then for the regional chair to put forward a whole lot of people who know which way to vote, as they did in Helensville in 2002.

Any electorate with much more than 300 members usually controls the selection themselves, although to be on the safe side it is better to have more members in case some of your delegates switch sides.    Read more »

Vance kicks a speculator, boots it dead on the full

Andrea Vance likes to think she is a player in the press gallery…the mover and shaker with her finger on the pulse.

Today in the DomPost she writes what could best described as a speculator article based on every bit of rumour and gossip floating around Wellington, not much of which is true.

According to a story doing the rounds, National pollster and blogger David Farrar was recently invited to spend some time with Murray McCully.

Widely expected to step down by the end of this term, the foreign minister mischievously let slip he had no intention of retiring from politics – just to see how long the news took to reach his senior colleagues.

Farrar insists the rumour is not true. But it gives a few clues as to what is occupying the minds of National MPs.

One of the parties says it is b.s. but hey let’s run the speculator anyway. That story is old by the way and was running before Christmas.

McCully is not the most imminent departure from party ranks. Wellington’s worst-kept secret is that Trade Minister Tim Groser is shortly off to relieve Mike Moore as New Zealand’s ambassador in Washington.

Also likely to be waving goodbye to Parliament in 2017 is Assistant Speaker Lindsay Tisch, whether he likes it or not. No-one would be surprised to see Finance Minister Bill English take his leave, once he has delivered the long-promised surplus.

Read more »

Bad news for Tisch and Woodhouse

shortarse

There is some bad news just in Short Man Syndrome if left untreated leads to dementia and death.

It really is bad news for Lindsay Tisch and Michael Woodhouse.

Short men are more likely to die from dementia than taller men, scientists have found, in the first ever study to link height with mental decline in old age.

Researchers at the University of Edinburgh found that men who were 5ft 5 inches or shorter were 50 per cent more likely to develop, and die from dementia, that those who were 5ft 8 inches or taller.

The academics think that height is an important indicator of developmental difficulties in childhood, such as stress, illness and poor nutrition.

They warn that lifelong damage can take place while the body is growing which may not be apparent until much later in life and suggest that breakfast clubs, vaccination programmes and improved parenting schemes could help tackle the growing dementia timebomb.

Read more »

Green energy Tory gets the arse card

De-selection is a brilliant idea…perhaps we could look it here for useless MPs. Labour could use it to e=rinse Trevor Mallard and National to get rid of Lindsay Tisch, Colin King, plus a few others.

In the UK they are giving a green Tory the arse card.

Tim Yeo, the Conservative MP and chairman of the influential Commons Energy Committee, has been dropped as a candidate at the next election

His local constituency voted at a meeting on Friday night not to re-select Mr Yeo as its candidate in the 2015 general election.

Mr Yeo, 68, who has represented South Suffolk as its MP for 30 years, is said to be “considering his options”. He has the right to appeal the decision or put himself forward as a candidate when the selection process for a new MP gets underway.  Read more »

National Selection Update, Ctd

Readers should remember this blog does not take sides in selections and always encourages people willing to run to have a crack. The only time it will take sides is to highlight unethical or immoral campaigns by dodgy candidates who think they can rig a selection.

Waikato: –  Lindsay Tisch has stared down the party so far and will run another term. He was told he should spend more time with his family but his family are better at kicking doors down and shaking the shit out of people so when they told him to run again he thought he had better listen to his family.

Napier: – Some poor sap is going to get badly beaten by Labour’s Stu Nash. Nash has the earliest campaign hoardings in living memory.

photo Read more »

National’s Rejuvenation

Our pinko mate cuts and pastes parts of Tracy Watkins article, adds a few sentences and posts it without much analysis.

What he doesn’t point out is that there appears to be no clear strategy to National moving people on. Individuals have chosen to leave of their own accord, or ambitious new people have stacked electorates so they can successfully challenge sitting MPs. Lets look at the seven that have retired.

Phil Heatley – Was given the arse by John Key from cabinet a year ago, couldn’t see much point in hanging around. Off to a new career.
Cam Calder – Successful man going nowhere in politics, better off doing something else.
Paul Hutchinson – Difficult missus. Was going to get hammered by a well organised selection challenge.
Chris Tremain – Difficult missus, wanted to make more money, internal polling was showing he would get beaten in Napier by Stuart Nash.
Katrina Shanks – Electorate stacked against her for selection so getting out with dignity.
Chris Auchinvole – Dodgy ticker, no real future in politics and lots of interesting things to do outside of politics.
Kate Wilkinson – Got the arse at the same time as Heatley, mainly for being far too cosy with the unions.   Read more »

Power is no longer the aphrodisiac it once was. Popularity is

I’m not sure of the premise of this article about power vs popularity being an aphrodisiac. But it is interesting nonetheless. I might even have a go at writing a New Zealand version…the only issue would be choosing the politicians to include. ;-)

Power is an aphrodisiac. People say that all the time, don’t they, to explain why some hot young piece of lady flesh is stepping out with a luke-warm old slab of man flab who also happens to be the chief executive of a mid-sized multinational company, or something exciting in the treasury.

People often use the power/aphrodisiac conundrum to explain the Bill Clinton/Monica Lewinsky affair, but I think this is wrong. Yes Bill Clinton was the most powerful man in the world, but he was (is) also said to be charismatic, charming and in my humble opinion, not too shabby to look at. He Has Something About Him, and this is down to his innate charm – the sort of charm you find in most womanizers, whether they’re a brickie or a barrister.

A much better example of power being an aphrodisiac is the sorry tale of Edwina Currie and John Major. Whatever you think of his politics, John Major is universally acknowledged to have all the sexual charisma of a whelk. A whelk with a cold sore and a large collection of cagoules. Yet, somehow, he managed to bed Edwina Currie, who, although not everyone’s cup of tea, is definitely a rung above our former Prime Minister on the ladder of sexual allure.*

Despite this affair taking place several years before the Maastricht Treaty, I like to think John Major shouted ‘you b******s’ at the point of orgasm.   Read more »

The Moroney Effect in Action

Sue Moroney is blessed with a special kind of stupid. In every race she has run she has increased the majority for the National MP. Even in years like 2011 when just about every other Labour List MP reduced the majority.

Now she is complaining that Hamilton’s growing population doesn’t need another primary school. The Ministry of Education disagrees with her, and is giving them one.

Labour MP Sue Moroney says locals have been calling for a secondary school for five years, but the primary is not seen as such a priority.

“The proposal for a new primary school? Well that’s come out of left field, or right field as it might be.

“It’s not the priority. The community is very clear about its priorities, they want the secondary school in place.”

Hekia Parata says the evidence shows the primary school will be needed first in the area, which is growing rapidly.

Read more »

The Race for Speaker, Ctd

There are three outsiders being talked of regularly. Eric Roy, Lindsay Tisch and Hekia Parata. I think that the fight between Tau and the top brass means that there wont be much space for any of these.

Eric Roy

A man with a presence who would intimidate with his bearing from the speakers position. Known to be handy in an all in brawl and not afraid to kick an enemy when he is down just to make sure he stays down. The best of the outsiders, and with a beautiful .338 Lapua as well.

Lindsay Tisch

Too short, too out of favour and too past it.

Hekia Parata

Would be a good speaker as she is a brilliant speaker herself, and unafraid of ratbags like Winston and Trevor. Her imperious manner may not work well in a referees position. Moving Hekia to Speaker would allow Nick Smith to come straight back into cabinet and take over the environment portfolio, and would remove the conflict of interest issues around Wira being party president.

My sources are telling me that the only one of the three with any shot at being Speaker is Hekia because it is convenient, and she hasn’t covered herself in glory as minister.

The Race for Speaker

The tipline has been running hotter than ever on the battle for the Speaker. In a series of posts I will outline the information I have and the implications of each of these moves.

There are three main contenders. The top brass choice David Carter. The man best suited to the role, Maurice Williamson, and the man with the most mongrel who wants it the most, Tau Henare.

Outside of the three main contenders there are several outsiders, with Eric Roy, Hekia Parata and Lindsay Tisch being touted.

The broarder implications of Tau declaring is that National now have the first signs of unruliness inside caucus. The Prime Minister will not anoint the Speaker, as he has done with every other position so far. There will be old fashioned backroom politics that the PM and his key henchman Steven Joyce have limited experience at.

It is also a sign of the times, there is a strong undercurrent of discontent within caucus, who consider Cabinet aloof, out of touch and of limited ability. If Tau is not bought off he could cause havoc, and could also make others in caucus think that they should have a go too, as they have nothing to lose.

The really difficult thing for John Key is his key offsiders, Steven Joyce and Peter Goodfellow, have no rapport with the back bench. There is no good will towards Peter because he is a Muppet, and even less towards Steven because he is bloody difficult for anyone to like. He is near impossible to get into your electorate if you are a backbencher, and he has a staff who are holier than thou and bloody rude to backbenchers.

As I said I’m going to buy a truck load of popcorn because this is setting itself up for a whole heap of fun, all we need now is corporate whore Matthew Hooton to start running stocks on Parliaments next Speaker.

At this rate London might be a pipe dream for Lockwood.