Maori Party

Why? – I just do not get it. – Observation by the Owl

Ms Turei insisted the Greens “want to change the government”, and suggested they would offer Labour confidence and supply even without a coalition deal.

I just do not get it! Why are Labour and Greens etc so obsessed with changing the government?

I have read, re-read and followed all the politics going on and the only policy I see that Mana, Greens, NZ First and Labour has and at least Ms Turei has said it out loud – “want to change the government”.

People will only change the government if the following happens.

  • Interest rates hit 10%
  • Law and order collapses
  • We stop paying our bills
  • Blues win a game away – (then we know something is wrong).

Please would someone from the Mana, NZ First or their sidekicks the Green and Labour party give me a policy which I can say – YES, you are on the right track.

The PEOPLE of NZ do not give a dam about Kim Dot Com and silly policies around caravan and truck speed.  Read more »

Roy Morgan delivers a nice easter present for National

After yesterday’s Roy Morgan poll perhaps Labour might just start realising that no one cares about their silly pursuit of Judith Collins and voters simply believe that they are unfit to govern.

The poll delivers a shock for Labour, this is their favoured indicator, and proves the lie that Labour’s own internal polling is showing them at 34%.

Playing the nasty and not focussing on policies that matter to Kiwi voters is really starting to hurt them. But they are now past the point of no return for David Cunliffe and have to stick it out with a naff leader that no one likes or no one believes.

When you add on these results to the dramatic boundary changes you are going to see Labour MPs disappear back to their electorates in an attempt to shore up their own support. Watch as Ruth Dyson, Clayton Cosgrove and a number of other MPs spend considerably more time in their electorates than in Wellington.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large jump in support for National (48.5%, up 5.5%) now with its largest lead over a potential Labour/Greens alliance (40%, down 5%) since July 2013 as New Zealanders celebrated the visit of Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge.

Support for Key’s Coalition partners is little changed with the Maori Party 1% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ (0.5%, unchanged) and United Future 0% (down 0.5%).  Read more »

Hone tells Pita to naff off as he crawls closer towards a deal with Dotcom

A clever political game is being played at the moment.

Pita Sharples is manipulating Hone Harawira into doing the deal with Kim Dotcom by telling him he is an idiot for doing it and will therefore kill off Mana in the future.

Claire Trevett reports:

Mana Party leader Hone Harawira has told the Maori Party to butt out of its plans to talk to Kim Dotcom’s internet Party after Pita Sharples said there was nothing in it for the Mana Party other than money.

Maori Party MP Dr Sharples said today he was perplexed about Mr Harawira’s willingness to entertain joining up with Mr Dotcom’s internet Party.

Mr Dotcom is due to speak at Mana’s annual conference this weekend where the Mana Party will decide whether to enter an arrangement with his party in the election.

Dr Sharples said Mr Dotcom had done “absolutely nothing” for Maori.  Read more »

Ken Mair putting pressure on Mana

Ken Mair is heaping the pressure on the Mana party and in particular Annette Sykes and Sue Bradford.

The Maori Party is calling for the resignation of Mana Party president Annette Sykes and campaigner Sue Bradford.

“I actually respect the work these mana wahine do in their communities but if they have any integrity, then they will leave the Mana Party in protest of their party leader’s silly plan to sell their soul to a man who has never done anything for Maori,” said Maori Party co-vice president Ken Mair.

“I’d be extremely surprised if Annette and Sue allow their party to become Dotcomana because they aren’t the type of people to lay down and let others exploit them.

“It is obvious to me that Hone ain’t listening to them and that he would allow his party to be divided for the sake of dollars.  Read more »

Tim Watkin on the reality of polling and mandates

Tim Watkin is not someone I normally agree with, but occasionally he does come up with some good analysis, even if he is too afraid to go on air with me at NewstalkZB.

His latest post at Pundit is a good one.

Two regular Pundit-visitors Ian and Richard have tsked tsked me on my previous post, warning me not to believe the “National spin” and “slogan” around National’s large lead over Labour. Their argument is that under MMP a 15 percent gap between the major parties doesn’t matter. Here’s why they’re wrong…

First, I’ll challenge them to read the post again because Ian’s point that “we are in MMP now. Remember that the minor parties can also make a difference” is (sorry Ian) not a very good one given current political conditions.

First, even under MMP 15 percent between the two major parties is a large gap. No party has had that kind of a lead under MMP and not formed the next government, so for the centre-left to be contenders – and for swing voters to feel turning out and voting for change is worthwhile – it has to be closer. And that goes for making the volunteers work hard and even the MPs to pull their fingers out. It’s just psychology.

This is what I have been saying. I can say it from experience because this is what happened to National in 2002. With a large gap and a perception of losing the mPs all de-camped to their electorates and ran electorate vote campaigns to save their skins. Labour is going to have this happen, it already is.  Read more »

Calling bulldust on Dotcom’s claims of a sitting MP

Kim Dotcom, well used to making outlandish claims and false statements has claimed he has talked to 12 MPs and has one signed up but has a confidentiality agreement in place that prevents him naming this traitorous MP.

Stuff reports:

He repeated his claim that it would be represented in Parliament, whether or not it achieved the 5 per cent MMP threshold for list seats, because a sitting electorate MP would join.

He would not name the person or say which party he or she represented, because of a confidentiality agreement, but it was not Harawira. The MP’s name would be revealed in June.

I don’t think he will get to June. It will become apparent in short order that he is F0S.

David Farrar doesn’t think he has a traitor MP signed up either.

There are 70 electorate MPs. 42 in National, 22 in Labour, three in Maori Party, and one each in ACT, United Future and Mana. He says it is not Harawira. Well with respect, I’d say the claim is bullshit, and designed to make them seem relevant and undo the damage done from his vow to wind up the party and endorse another if not at 5%.   Read more »

If Hone has bolted then who is the mystery MP or is Kim Dotcom just making it all up?

It look like Hone Harawira has realised the problem inherent in bending over for Kim Dotcom and declared the deal is off.

Mana Party leader Hone Harawira has said they would not look to work with Kim Dotcom’s Internet Party any time soon.

In a statement released tonight, Mr Harawira said liaising with Mr Dotcom’s party – to be launched on Thursday – would not be in Mana’s best interests.

With the Herald editorial and the Dompost editorial out right hostile, perhaps he has done something smart for once in his life.

Small parties need friends, and so maybe we shouldn’t be surprised at Mana’s flirtation with the Internet party. MP Hone Harawira has tried to broaden his appeal since he split with the Maori Party. He came up with Mana, a collection of brown and white radicals that got a little more than 1 per cent of the vote in the 2011 election. That was roughly what ACT got.

In other words, the Mana experiment is not working and something else is required. But Kim Dotcom can’t be the answer to Mana’s problem. Politics makes strange bedfellows, but this couple would be grotesque. The party of the poor and the dispossessed hooks up with a German tycoon? The party of justice and redistribution beds down with the man from Megabucks Corp?

[...]  Read more »

Rudman takes a break from theatre reviews and talks about Kim Dotcom and Mana

Bless Brian Rudman, he takes a momentary break from calling for subsidies for his luvvie mates in theatre to have a crack at Hone Harawira, Mana and Kim Dotcom.

Hone Harawira, Mana Party leader, champion of the down-trodden and scourge of “White motherf***ers [who] have been raping our lands and ripping us off for centuries” is caught in bed – figuratively speaking – with an alien millionaire, negotiating a political marriage of convenience for the upcoming election.

This is the same Mr Harawira who split with the Maori Party because he couldn’t stand its decision to cuddle up to the right-wing National Government.

Eighteen months ago, after the slap-stick bumbling and embarrassing forelock pulling by New Zealand authorities to their United States counterparts was revealed, I was moved to wonder if Dotcom was in fact a computer virus, slowly infecting our senior politicians and agencies of state, and transforming them into figures of fun.

Whether he is a virus, or a puckish imp, sent by the gods to mock those who would rule over us, Dotcom continues his uncanny facility to bring out the ridiculous in them.

Mr Harawira is only one of several who have succumbed to Dotcom’s Internet Party project. But with a seat in Parliament, and a chance of being re-elected in this September’s general election, he is the prize catch.  Read more »

Hooton on the addled thinking of Winston Peters

Matthew Hooton has no love for Winston Peters…once calling him a word that is no longer used on this blog, on television.

He writes in the NBR about what it is that Winston Peters may or may not want.

The left is in despair.

Eminent left-wing scribe Chris Trotter says the election is “all over bar the counting.”  He fears a collapse in both turnout and Labour’s support, humiliating David Cunliffe and resulting in an “unparalleled National victory” for John Key.

From his comrades’ perspective, he is undoubtedly too curmudgeonly.

With the exception of 1999, all MMP elections have gone to the wire.

Even in the weeks before Bill English’s nadir in 2002, there was a mathematical possibility of a National/NZ First/UnitedFuture/Act coalition, limiting Helen Clark to one term.

In 2005, National’s Don Brash, along with the leaders of Act, UnitedFuture and the Maori Party, held talks with Winston Peters about forming a government but Mr Peters chose to give Ms Clark her third term.

More recently, Mr Key scraped home in both 2008 and 2011 by the narrowest of margins.

If Ms Clark hadn’t so slavishly backed Mr Peters through the 2008 Spencer Trust fiasco, she would have won a fourth term.

Similarly, only the go-slow by Mr Cunliffe and his supporters in the last weeks of the 2011 campaign stopped Phil Goff from making Mr Key a one-term prime minister.

If unemployment stays higher than forecast, wage rises are a bit lower, doubts emerge over the fiscal surplus and the official cash rate is closer to 4% than 3% in September, then the gap between National/Act/UnitedFuture and Labour/Green/Mana will narrow.  Mr Peters will again decide who will be prime minister.  Read more »

A reader emails about John Key, Act and Maori

A reader emails:

New Zealand National Party leader John Key wit...

New Zealand National Party leader John Key with the press (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Hi Cam

I would like to make some comment that picks up on a series of posts that have run on your blog over the last month or so covering 3 broad subjects.

The post subjects broadly are:

1. Your most recent post with John Key mixing it up with students at Auckland Uni

2. The possible rejuvenation of ACT and the appointment of Richard Prebble as Campaign Director; and

3. John Key attending (should he?) Waitangi Day;

Bear with me as I pull this all together.

In your post on John Key’s visit to Auckland Uni titled “This is why John Key is the most popular PM in history” your opening statement stated “John Key loves to be himself.  It is a major reason why people warm to him and he continues to be our most popular PM in history.”  Dead right.

I want to put forward what I believe is the other major reason he is the most popular PM in NZ history.  In my view the other major reason often lost sight of is the fact that National voters and potential National voters are represented in every grouping in NZ – the poor, students, public servants, Maori, attendees  at Te Ti Marae on Waitangi and the list goes on, and John Key recognises this and makes a point of engaging with most of these groups being himself.

A critical mistake any political party can make (and in my view a mistake National is all to often guilty of) is to assume that there are little or no votes in particular groups.  Media play on this.  For example media give the impression that Maori only vote for Labour and more recently the Maori Party and Mana.  Bullshit.  There are plenty of Maori that vote for National, and ACT for that matter.  While I am at, there are also Pakeha who vote for the Maori Party which really blurs what Tariana Turia was referring to when she used to use the statement  “our people”.

John Key I think recognises this.  He generally does not fear or favour particular groups.  Gay Pride? sweet I will attend.  Kingi doesn’t want me at Waitangi Day 2015? Tough shit I will attend.  Auckland Uni (and any Uni for that matter) a hotbed of radical idealistic Marxist youth – yeah I’ll visit.   Read more »