The Key to defeat

Luke Malpass at The Spectator has an interesting article on how it is that John Key will be defeated…and ironically John Key’s decision to only provide a lacklustre opposition to MMP may bite him.

John Key is the most popular leader in the western world. Not by a little, but a lot. His net approval rating (approvals minus disapprovals) has consistently been around 50+ per cent. That compares with Tony Abbott at 10+ per cent and Bill Shorten at 8+ per cent. Julia Gillard was somewhere down in the -20 territory. Barack Obama and David Cameron are both around -10 per cent. So why on earth will Mr Key and his government struggle to get re-elected on 20 September? The answer is simple: Mixed Member Proportional.

This electoral system, reconfirmed at the 2011 general election, is a blight on New Zealand politics. In the same way the Hare-Clark system in Tasmania delivered the recent Mickey-mouse, tail-wagging-dog government, so MMP does in New Zealand. It entrenches minority government at the expense of stability and introduces obfuscation where accountability should reside.

The left wing is an assortment of average to failing parties of little support, but group them together and the most popular government and PM in modern history may well lose…beaten by a coalition of losers.

In theory, according to its advocates, MMP is great. As it is extremely difficult to get a majority of the primary vote (1950 was the last time it happened) there can be no ‚Äėelective dictatorships‚Äô. Because you vote for an electorate and a party, you can split your vote and elect a local candidate you like, without necessarily voting for their party. Party lists allow highly competent people with little political appeal to be elected. Parties have to constructively get along, and no government can get too far ahead of the people. ¬† Read more »

Positive discrimination in the Green Party

Yesterday, the Green Taliban’s proposed list rankings came out. ¬†I noticed at the time that Metiria was “number one”


When you have co-leaders, I would expect the list to be like

1  Norman, Russel and Turei, Metiria
3  Tofu, Carrotjuice

But I admit that the MMP system doesn’t allow for politically artificial constructs like co-leaders. ¬† In the end, what the Green Party is saying, is that if it came down to it, they’d rather have Metiria in parliament rather than Russel.

Does that reflect reality?

Today’s Herald-Digipoll doesn’t confirm the party’s internal sentiments. ¬†Voters prefer Russel over Metiria by a resounding 750% (or less dramatically: 7.5 times more)


It will be interesting to see if the Green Taliban hierarchy are going to simply confirm the suggested list rankings or they are going to stop pandering to artificial niceties and put Norman at the top where the voters expect to see him?


new zealand green taliban logo

“Kim Dotcom is making a mockery of the big decision we have to make later this year”

kim dotcom

Mathew Hooton pops up in Metro:

Remember Giovanni di Stefano?

In 1990, the Italian wide boy became a local superstar, with his exotic name, beautiful wife, intriguing backstory and apparently unlimited funds to invest in property. The media and the property industry lapped it all up and he ended up owning a number of properties, including the Royal Oak Mall.

Kim Dotcom is not the same as di Stefano.

For one thing, he actually does have significant wealth. For another, in the internet age, he is not as mysterious. We have known from the outset that he has been convicted of crimes including computer fraud, data espionage, embezzlement and insider trading. ¬† Read more »

Left demanding changes to MMP they want, how about the other changes?

John Armstrong goes full noise against the coat-tailing provision of MMP…labelling what is actually law ‘gerrymandering’.

Predictably Labour is also pushing hard to try to get the provision of the Electoral Act reversed showing their naked partisanship.

They all point to the recommendations of the Electoral Commission to remove the coat-tailing provision.

But National’s refusal last year to implement the recommendation of the Electoral Commission to rid MMP of the unnecessary, unfair and deeply unpopular one-seat threshold provision should forever be a large blot on John Key’s Government.

Of course, eradicating this legal loophole, which exempts a party from having to meet the 5 per cent threshold if it wins an electorate seat, would have been to National’s major disadvantage in making it much more difficult for its minor party allies to bring extra MPs into Parliament.

The one-seat threshold survives simply because it could yet be the difference between National staying in power and going into Opposition.

But that does not make it right.

The media and the opposition are trying to paint coat-tailing as anti-democratic, yet it has been part of the law since the day MMP was implemented. Now they are suggesting the law and MMP is anti-democratic.¬† Read more »

Better bad than mad, confirmed by poll

The latest 3News poll confirms what I have been saying for a while…people prefer the bad rather than the mad.


Prime Minister John Key’s U-turn on working with New Zealand First leader Winston Peters is backed by a majority of the public.

A 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Key is not alone in forgiving Mr Peters.

Seventeen years ago Mr Peters held the balance of power, and the 3 News poll has him in position to choose the Government again.

Dealing with him will be very difficult. Today he simply refused to answer seven out of 12 questions. One of the best answers 3 News got was simply a laugh.

But it’s no laughing matter for Mr Key, who has previously ruled Mr Peters out, but not anymore.

No is now a yes, and a majority, 54 percent of the public, say yes, work with him. And 36 percent say no, rule him out.

And National voters are more convinced.¬† Read more »

Monday General Debate

This post is all yours.

If you need any inspiration, today’s Debating Topic is:

MMP, although flawed, just needs a tweak instead of replacing.

When List MP’s go feral

During my nightly nosey about social media¬† political idiot traps I noticed someone getting stuck into Asenati Lole-Taylor, so naturally I poked my nose in to see what was happening. What was happening was the same thing that always happens. Asenasty dodging, ducking and diving perfectly reasonable questions, and not having full knowledge of what she was talking about whilst repeating for her leader Winston “no” Peters.




The sad part is she can’t engage public without flipping her crazy switch unless they’re agreeing with her,¬†she even pulled out the race card, the colour of her hair (WTF??) and some nonsense about speaking “his language”. Clearly she is not fit to be a politician, or even roaming the general population. Anyone that isn’t singing off the same song sheet is blocked from engaging:




Someone has been a bit precious way down there on 2.8%. ¬†Of course blocking me of facebook and twitter only gives her false sense that she’s “won”, as was evident that I went straight back to retrieve the comments she thought I probably wouldn’t be able to see.

I was labelled a paedophile earlier in the week, but for a politician to accuse me of “feeding the Kiwi blog”, well that’s just below the belt.

Train wreck in progress: Lole-Taylor swaps shunter for bullet train

Winston Peters needs to have more control over his list MP’s, or at least a quiet word ¬†in their ear about airing their true thoughts in public. ¬†Asenati Lole Taylor is hell bent on showing the public why social media is bad for them, and MMP for us. Peters has done an impeccable job at filling his party with like minded people, while he knows his gold card holders will keep voting for him for as long as they’re still alive/able to hold a pen.

In one exchange, Taylor projects stupidity, hypocrisy, ignorance, psychotic paranoia and bitchy snark towards someone that was attempting to have a sensible conversation with her. ¬†She was so blinded by her own defensive outrage that she forgot what she’d said just a couple of days before.

LOLE1 Read more »

At least someone can add…

Further to the table posted by David Farrar yesterday on all the parties responses regarding their position on MMP.

Finally someone’s done the numbers on the table: ¬†The majority of Parliament appears to support Judith Collins.

s.russell Says: 
According to that table:
* There is a 68-53 majority for retaining the 5% threshold
* There is a 65-56 majority for retaining the coat-tail provision¬† Read more »

MMP – Where the parties stand

David Farrar has a useful table showing just how fragmented the political parties are on changes to MMP.

Judith Collins has done the right thing in ignoring the recommendations and all the other political parties who are having a big sook and a cry only have themselves to blame when you look at the facts.

15 May 2013_Party Positions on MMP by David Farrar

Read more »