National face some tough choices in the next few election cycles. Some very blue seats will come up, and they need to make sure top quality people become MPs, rather than just party hacks.
The first two of these seats are Rodney and Northland. Both are blue seats with big blue majorities. John Carter has been a fantastic MP in Northland, and is well liked around the party because he has been very generous with his time helping out other electorates campaign. Rodney is just a blue, blue seat, and a blue donkey would win. No unkind comments about lockie please.
National need to be very careful that they selection people that have been successful in the real world. We don’t need staffers, bludgers, etc. We need good strong people, and if they havent been in the party for enough years to attain ‘hack’ status too bad.
The ideal candidate will have a track record of success in another field. They will have John Carter’s qualities, like being able to put people at ease and to work hard to win votes. They should not be too old or too young.
There are two candidates who have put themselves forward in Northland so far. These people have to get approved by the party first, so they may not be in the final five that the board allows to go to selection.
Mike Sabin is an ex-cop who has been heavily involved in trying to deal with P. The response to Mike has been lukewarm. I am not sure why, but maybe he doesn’t match up to John Carter, who has set a pretty high bar. My understanding of Mike Sabin is that he isn’t all he cracks himself up to be. I am yet to met an ex-cop I am comfortable to be in the same room with.
The other is Sarah Davies. A 29 year old woman who fails to meet the criteria of being a success before entering parliament. Sarah seems to be in the wrong party, being right into the UN and worshipping Helen Clark and having a virtual orgasm over meeting Hillary Clinton. Peter Goodfellow should rescind her membership, and pay for her new one with Labour. She is deluded thinking she is even remotely suitable to fill John Carter’s boots.
The other problem National need to be aware of is that young women without kids have a biological clock that ticks. And ticks pretty rapidly. All of a sudden you have an MP that wants to be mum more than MP, as happened with Katherine Rich, and the party and the MP has wasted a big opportunity.
This blog is not saying Sarah Davies can’t be a good MP at some stage in the future. It is saying now is the wrong time, and she should prove herself, establish a family and a financial base, and come back when she has done so.
Hopefully the board will have the wisdom to tell her to go away, prove she can make use of her talent, understand that the National Party hates Helen Clark, and politely reject her nomination. Constitutionally they can do that without even telling her anything, but if she actually does something useful with her life maybe she could make it at some stage in the next 15 years.
This blog will be covering all the selection processes and will not be afraid to point out the weaknesses of any candidate. It will also publish any candidate material without editing so the public can learn who National is looking at selecting.