NZ First

One News Poll bad news for Andrew Little, great for Winston

The latest One News Poll is out and it shows that Andrew Little isn’t making any gains both against National nor in the Preferred PM stakes.

Winston Peters on the other hand is winning in the Preferred PM stakes and is just 1% point off being able to claim the moral high ground and take the title of Leader of the Opposition for himself.

National’s by-election beating in Northland appears to have done little to change how the rest of New Zealand feels about the party, latest poll results show.

A ONE News Colmar Brunton poll conducted this month shows National Party support remains steady on 49%.

Labour Party support also remained unchanged on 31%, while the Green Party slipped to one percentage point to 9%.

New Zealand First, on the other hand, has seen a slight bounce – up one percentage point to 7%.

The Conservative Party is steady on 2%, as is the Act Party on 1%. Mana is back in the frame on 1%, while the Maori Party slipped down to 1%.

When converted into seats in Parliament, the poll results would mean National would take 60 seats, Labour would take 38, the Greens 11 and New Zealand First 9.

The Maori Party, Act and United Future would all have just one each.

Read more »

NZ First to decide if they will add a scum list MP to parliament

Of course they will.

It’s expected New Zealand First will today finally make a decision on which new MP to bring into Parliament.

Winston Peters still hasn’t resigned his list seat after winning the Northland by-election, but the is party board meeting today, and is expected to make a move.

Next of the New Zealand First list is Ria Bond, a former hairdresser who’s currently working as a parliamentary staffer.

She’s the obvious choice for New Zealand First to bring in, but could choose to decline, or be pressured to stand aside if the party has someone else in mind.

No one from the party will front to confirm if she’s in the running for the spot.

The alliance some were hoping for between Labour and New Zealand First doesn’t look to have come into fruition, with still no meeting between the party leaders since the Northland by-election.

Winston Peters upset the balance of power in parliament when he claimed the seat.

We find new methods to test MMP in ways that were never anticipated originally.

In hindsight, I think an MP should not be able to run for parliament while already an MP.   That means you have to resign before you run again.  This is what happens before an election for example.

It’s a little moot now, but would Winston have taken the risk of losing his list seat? ¬† He was in a no-lose situation. ¬†Either he got an electorate seat or he could go back to his old job.

Can you be an electorate and list MP? ¬†Logically no. ¬†But somehow Winston winning Northland hasn’t automatically triggered his resignation as a list MP, and therefore automatically triggered the next on the NZ First list to come into parliament.

Especially with the Internet/Mana party debacle still fresh in our memories, and not this dog and pony show, it may just be time to put MMP through a review.

It would make more sense than changing a flag.

Winston, again, gets to keep the country on a knife edge on his time table as he decides what to do.   The rules should say what to do.  We should not be in a position where we have to make it up as we go along.

 

– Frances Cook, Newstalk ZB

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NZ First not a fan of Safety First

Sometimes the urge¬†to “embarrass” the government needs to take a back seat to common sense, something NZ First says it was all about, but is severely lacking in this case:

The New Zealand Transport Agency has been accused of treating Manawatu as a second-class region over a slip that’s prompted the two-week closure of the highway through the Manawatu Gorge.

NZTA on Friday confirmed State Highway 3 would remain closed for at least two weeks after it assessed the damage linked to a slip near Ashhurst.

A geotechnical engineer’s assessment has revealed tension cracks in the rockface above the road near the slip.

NZTA says the unstable state of the area above the slip site means the road is prone to further rock falls.

But New Zealand First’s Palmerston North-based list MP has accused the agency of not prioritising the region.

“If this was an Auckland motorway, the New Zealand Transport Agency would be busting a gut to get it open,” said Darroch Ball. Read more »

Peters to run again in 2017? Sure. But not for Northland

Winston Peters has won the Northland by-election and effectively handed National’s dream team of John Key and Steven Joyce their first political defeat.

It was a resounding victory. The New Zealand First leader won more than 15,000 votes, leaving National candidate Mark Osborne 4000 votes behind.

The message from Labour to vote Mr Peters left Willow-Jean Prime with only 1300 votes.

Mr Peters has made political history again, saving one of his best tricks for last and winning Northland strikes on two levels.

The roaring success for Mr Peters is the humiliating blow to National.

With the win now under his belt, Mr Peters, who turns 70 in two weeks, has revealed he’s in for another round in 2017. Read more »

Cunning, cunning bastard

Winston Peters is a cunning, cunning bastard.

A new bill to remove name suppression from paedophiles when the victims want their attacker named, is to be introduced to Parliament by NZ First.

Leader Winston Peters, who is in Northland campaigning as for the by-election in which he is a candidate, announced the new policy today.

He said there had been many cases of sexual violence where the offender hid “behind a cloak of secrecy imposed on the basis that secrecy protects the victim”.

“In cases where the victim wants exposure of the crime and not secrecy, the sub-judice rule, name suppression and the legal cone of silence will be removed. ¬† Read more »

Winston is winning the buy-election

business woman with lots of money

New Zealand First is the big mover in the Taxpayers‚Äô Union Northland ‘Bribe-O-Meter’ following another week of policy announcements on the campaign trail. The total cost to taxpayers of the by-election promises currently sit at $63.5 million for National and $378.9 million for NZ First. The amounts are equivalent to a cost per New Zealand household of $35.67 for National‚Äôs promises and $212.87 for those of NZ First.

Taxpayers‚Äô Union Executive Director, Jordan Williams, says, “In the lead up to the final campaign week, the largest new bribe was Mr Peters‚Äô pledge to use taxpayer money to bailout the Kaipara District Council‚Äôs debt arising from the Mangawhai Heads wastewater project. That alone increased Mr Peters‚Äô Bribe-O-Meter total by $80 million.” Read more »

Winston has National against the ropes and is starting to look for the knockout punch

Steve Joyce and Jo de Joux will have been lying awake thinking how to neutralise this one:

National’s claim of spending $750 million between 2009 and 2015 on Northland roads is false, says New Zealand First Leader and Northland by-election candidate Rt Hon Winston Peters.

“The government‚Äôs spending is $520 million, much of which Labour had budgeted for in 2008-09. The local ratepayers share for roads is $185 million.

“More seriously, the estimated collection for roads for the north is $130 million per annum.

“Yet the government spending totals $86 million per annum – that means Northland is being short-changed by $44 million per annum. Read more »

Can NZ First give John Key the “out” he’s looking for?

The Government isn’t worried about a members’ Bill that would torpedo the Auckland convention centre deal.

New Zealand First’s Tracey Martin wants to strip SkyCity of all the special benefits it received – like extra gaming tables and more pokies.

That would put an end to the current agreement and could cost taxpayers millions.

However, Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce is unruffled.

“I would suspect that the parties will line up in a similar fashion as they have previously, so I don’t have a concern that this time.” Read more »

Watching Labour dance to Winston’s tune is hilarious

Labour are dancing to Winston Peter’s tune and to watch it unfold is hilarious.

They are under the illusion that Winston is on their side.

Most commentators too seem under the same impression…except Claire Trevett…she has worked it out.

For Labour the nod is a short-term gain, an attempt at a humiliating poke in the eye for National and a result that would make it harder to get a majority on legislation such as Resource Management Act reforms. But short-term sugar rushes are always followed by a crash.

Enter 2017 and the next election. The reason Peters is a reluctant beneficiary of Labour’s endorsement is because he knows Northland is inherently a conservative electorate. It is partly because Peters is also inherently conservative that he has a chance. ¬†¬† Read more »

ACT: How the Northland By-election Could End in Court

There has never before been a situation where a list MP has won a by-election, and thus become a constituency MP. The Electoral Act is not clear on what happens in this situation. ¬† The courts may have to interpret electoral law in an unprecedented situation.¬† We could expect a legal challenge.¬† Ironically, if Rt Hon. Winston Peters did win in Northland, the MńĀori Party and United Future are likely to have a substantial increase in political leverage.¬† Who knows what is going through the minds of voters, but our guess is that most who might be considering voting for Peters are not intending to increase the power of the MńĀori Party. ¬†To understand this, we need to consider some possible outcomes.

Scenario 1: National Wins (Nat 60 ACT 1 =61/121)
National winning is still the most likely scenario.  It is predicted at 55 per cent by iPredict. Betting markets draw on deeper insights than polls taken before the National candidate was known.  National is mobilising formidable resources for the by-election, but the voters have to like the candidate.

Scenario 2: ACT Wins (Nat 59 ACT 2 =61/121)
National’s candidate is not exactly a young John F Kennedy.  We hope we are wrong and that the candidate’s steady improvement throughout the debate on TV3’s The Nation is indicative.  Perhaps the Prime Minister will have to endorse Robin Grieve, an experienced campaigner, as the only candidate who can save the right.  Stranger things have happened.

Scenario 3: Labour Wins (Nat 59 ACT 1 UF 1 Mao 2 =63/121)
Willow-Jean Prime is competent and knows how to deliver a political message.¬† Very long odds, but David Seymour, who went to primary school in Whangarei, would love to hear that Northland accent in parliament, Mishta Schpeaker. ¬†This scenario means National require either the Maori Party, or both United Future and ACT, to pass legislation ‚Äď a big win for the Maori Party and UF. Read more »

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