…this time, nobody cares who he’s “going to go with”. ¬†NZ First are a dead duck.
Winston Peters’ refusal to say who he would support after the election has voters almost evenly divided about who he might back to form a government, if he is cast again as the kingmaker.
Asked which party Peters, the NZ First leader, would support to form a government, 32.1 per cent of those surveyed in the latest stuff.co.nz/Ipsos poll expect him to back National, while 29.2 per cent said they expected him to go with Labour.
One in five of those polled said they thought Peters would go with neither Labour nor National, and 18.7 per cent said they did not know.
Twice in the past Peters has been in a position to determine whether National or Labour formed a government.
In 1996 he backed National for a third term under Jim Bolger and in 2005 he backed Labour for a third term under Helen Clark.
Although recent political polls have suggested National could form a government on its own, a single party has never had enough support to rule alone since MMP was introduced in 1996. That means if NZ First gets more than the 5 per cent support required to bring MPs into Parliament without winning an electorate, Peters could again be the kingmaker.
Things change. ¬†Demographics change. ¬†And Winston is outliving his constituency. ¬†Even if¬†NZ First make the 5% mark, and they won’t, it is doubtful that 1) National will need them, and 2) if they need them, that NZ First will go into a coalition with Labour, Greens, Mana and Internet.
His whole shadow puppet play this time doesn’t work – we can see the hands, and the person moving them. ¬† Read more »