Ohio

Looks like my lunch with Leighton is a pretty safe bet. If Obama wins Ohio he has 265 votes, so only needs another 5 to win. That means Romney has to sweep the rest of the swing states except New Hampshire or he will lose.

Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Iowa (6)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
North Carolina (15)
Virginia (13)

We have already seen that Florida is leaning Obama. The maths doesn’t work for Mitt Romney.

Foreign Policy

Hard to fault the logic of this quote:

Indeed, the New York Times reported last week that when it comes to the economy, the all-important Ohio voters see Romney vs. Obama as an unpalatable choice between liver and Brussels sprouts.