3News poll confirms Labour’s wonky jihad supporting rapists and murderers didn’t work

You really have to love the Media Party…they rushed out and did a poll in the hope that John Key and National had taken a hit over attacking Labour for cuddling rapists and murderers.

They haven’t. The 3News Reid Research poll is pretty much the status quo…not so you’d have noticed from the commentary provided by the chipmunk on meth.

The latest 3 News/Reid Research poll shows National is unscathed by John Key’s “rapists and murderers” Parliamentary attack. Although the Prime Minister’s personal popularity has taken a hit.

Mr Key has been completely unrepentant since he made the remarks, and says he’d do it all again.

The remarks seem to have had an effect, Mr Key is still the preferred Prime Minister but he has taken a 1.2 percent dip in the polls. He now sits on 38.3 percent.

As for Andrew Little, he now sits on 10.4 percent and Winston Peters is on 9.3 percent.

Perhaps the biggest though is Jacinda Ardern. She has risen to 4.2 percent.

Read more »


No post conference bounce for Labour…not even a dead cat bounce

The latest Roy Morgan poll is out and it still isn’t good reading for Labour.

I don’t hold much stock in Roy Morgan polls but the left-wing love it. This poll shows that there was no post conference bounce for Labour who spent the entire conference telling us they were focused on job, jobs, jobs.

Labour came off the back of their conference wanting to talk about jobs and sugar tax, and they’ve blown up their own momentum. The Roy Morgan shows that but it doesn’t yet show the damage done from grandstanding and cuddling criminals.

During November support for National fell 1% to 49% still well ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 41.5% (up 1%) according to the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll conducted before controversy erupted this week after PM John Key accused Opposition Leader Andrew Little of backing rapists in a debate about New Zealanders convicted of serious crimes facing deportation from Australia. If a New Zealand Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows National would be easily re-elected.    Read more »

And this is Labour’s poll guru?

Rob Salmond is Labour’s polling guru. For most of last year he was exclaiming that the public polls of the media companies were wrong and that David Cunliffe and Labour were actually polling at least 10 points higher.

Then the election results came in.

A few weeks ago Rob decided to impart his considerable polling wisdom over the coming Canadian elections.

In his words the:

“New Democratic Party (NDP) stands proudly for the progressive left in Canadian politics. Very few would accuse the NDP of being “Blairite.” (For one thing, it opposed the 2003 Iraq war.) While there’s a tight election campaign on in Canada right now, next month the NDP is most likely to head the Canadian government for the first time.”

He goes on:

[T]he NDP is finding another way to win. In an actual, nationwide election, not just a intra-party contest. And when it wins, using traditional reach-to-the-centre methods, it will deliver real progressive change for Canada.

The Canadian left may not get everything it wants, but it will get a lot of things it wants. That’s what victory looks like in a modern democracy.

Read more »


One News poll spells ongoing disaster for Little as Winston draws level


Labour has declared crisis after crisis and watched them all get solved. The one thing they have never declared a crisis in is their own party.

One News has the latest bad news for Andrew Little and Labour.

The latest ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows Mr Little is down to single figures (eight per cent) with Winston Peters in the preferred prime minister stakes, while John Key remains well ahead.

“I’m not particularly fazed by it, I know what the task is ahead of me and I’m getting on and doing it, meeting with Kiwis,” Mr Little said.

What a retarded thing to say. He should keep on meeting those Kiwis, it is doing a world of good…for National.

The National Party remains steady on 47 per cent, while Labour is down one to 31, and the Green Party is on 12.

New Zealand First is up two to nine per cent.   Read more »

Nats lift in latest Roy Morgan

Labour’s favourite poll, the one they claim is the most accurate, has some devastating figures for them.

During October support for National rose 5.5% to 50% well ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 40.5% (down 5.5%) according to the latest Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll. If a NZ Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows National would be easily re-elected.

Support for the National partners changed slightly with the Maori Party 0.5% (down 1%) – now at their lowest since last year’s NZ Election, Act NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0% (down 0.5%).

Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour’s support is now at 29% (down 2%), Greens 11.5% (down 3.5%) but support for NZ First increased to 6.5% (up 1%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Conservative Party of NZ is 0.5% (down 0.5%), the Internet-Mana Party alliance is at 0.5% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Others is 1% (up 1%).    Read more »


Little Andy moves to protect his precious

We're winning I tell you, we're winning

We’re winning I tell you, we’re winning

Andrew Little won’t be entertaining a job share agreement with Winston Peters.

He wants the job all to himself…its his “precious”.

Labour leader Andrew Little is only just in front of NZ First leader Winston Peters in the preferred Prime Minister stakes but says he will not entertain the suggestion of sharing the top job if Mr Peters holds the balance of power.

In the latest 3 News Reid Research poll, NZ First would have the balance of power and on The Nation this weekend, Mr Peters would not rule out seeking a power-sharing role as Prime Minister if NZ First was strong enough.

He refused to answer a direct question, saying “it’s immaterial unless we get the kind of sign-up and support that we are seeking in 2017”. However, he pointed out there was precedent of the leader of the second biggest party in a coalition becoming Prime Minister – George Forbes in 1932.

Yesterday Mr Little said any place for Mr Peters in a future Labour-led government would depend on his support levels but the Prime Minister’s role was not up for grabs. “I don’t think New Zealand is ready to accept a state of musical chairs in the role of Prime Minister.”

Read more »

Latest 3News poll shows Little still lacks cut through


The latest 3News-Reid Research poll shows that Andrew little still has a ways to go despite the best efforts of the Media party to play opposition.

It is a year to the day of the last general election and National is polling the same as polling day, despite being off the boil and facing an onslaught of mini-scandals and manipulations, mainly from the Media party.

The Media party push for Jacinda Ardern seems to be working, she has about a third of the support of Andrew Little, while John Key maintains his massive lead in the preferred PM stakes.

Winston Peters remains in the box seat as potential king maker.

Party standings:

National: 47.3 percent (up 0.3 percent)
Labour: 33 percent (up 1.9 percent)
Greens: 10 percent (down 1.4 percent)
NZ First: 7.9 percent(down 0.5 percent)
ACT: 0.6 percent (up 0.1 percent)
Maori Party: 0.5 percent (down 0.1 percent)
Conservative: 0.5 percent (down 0.2 percent)
United Future 0 percent (down 0.1 percent)   Read more »

Rodney Hide on poll driven fruit cakes

Rodney Hide explains at NBR about how it is polls and polling that drive politics now, not policies.

Policy is now made by public feel. Every decision is open to review and reversal especially if the pushback is from middle voters.

And it works. Prime Minister John Key remains wildly popular and National is well ahead in the polls.

There was a time when government was idealised as rational, with the aim to deliver the best policy backed by a political resolve not to blink and with the benefits to be achieved, or at least understood, by the time of the next election.

It was never such but that was the ideal aspired to. It was what public servants were taught if not what they practised. And it was what politicians admired even if they themselves never quite possessed the needed intellectual grunt to grasp policy options and implications or the necessary political fortitude to stand and argue for sound policy. They nonetheless admired the ideal and followed it when there was political leadership.

That was back a time. This is now.

We have never had a better demonstration of policy by public feel than with Mr Key.

There are no bottom lines. There are no decisions that can’t be overturned. There are no guiding policy principles or political philosophy.

It’s policy management, not policy reform.

Read more »

Another rogue poll shows that Andrew Little has no cut through


It is coming up to BBQ season, the weather is warming and the latest One News/Colmar Brunton poll shows Andrew Little and Laobur’s gamble to use dodgy statistics and bash people with chinky sounding names has well and truly failed.

This month’s ONE News Colmar Brunton poll has National unchanged at 47 per cent, the same amount it attained at the election.

Labour meanwhile has improved on its disastrous election result and now seems to have a firm hold above the 30 per cent mark.

It’s held steady in this month’s poll at 32 per cent. The Greens have slipped a point this month to 12 per cent, New Zealand First is steady on seven, while the Maori Party is up one.   Read more »


John Key has massive work to do on the flag


Not wanted

John Key already knew this poll would be bad, his pollster would have told him that support for a flag change is going backwards.

A One News/Colmar Brunton poll has found that two thirds of us don’t want a flag change.

The poll, taken before the final four potential flag designs were announced, shows 66 per cent want to keep the current flag, up 2 per cent from 18 months ago.

There was a similar rise of 1 per cent to 28 per cent in those in favour of a flag change.    Read more »