polling

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is disaster for David Shearer and Labour, and it shows their anti-progress, Hobbit hating, and general mingy disposition isn’t washing with the electorate:

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large gain in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 47.5% (up 3.5% since early February and the highest since July 9-22, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2.5% (up 2%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).  Read more »

OneNews/Colmar Brunton did a little side poll on Hekia Parata. They asked about whether or not she should have kept her job. This poll will create pressure and lord knows Hekia doesn’t perform well under pressure…she will probably sack another staff member as she seeks to blame everyone but herself, the turnover in her office is a shocker.

A majority of voters think Education Minister Hekia Parata’s poor performance should have seen her dumped from the Cabinet last month, according to a TVNZ/Colmar Brunton poll.

Ms Parata will tomorrow announce the Government’s final decisions over the future of 31 Christchurch schools, with the prospect of a number of closures fuelling disapproval of her handling of the education portfolio.  Read more »

I have written an article on what the latest One News/Colmar Brunton poll means for John Key and for David Shearer over at Truth.

One News/Colmar Brunton poll, February 2013

David Shearer had every reason to believe that he had finally turned the corner. He had seen off the cowardly non-challenge of David Cunliffe immediately after the troubles at Labour’s annual conference. He had cruised off of the back of stuff ups by John Key’s government, and then he had a final vote in February’s caucus meeting where he was confirmed as leader, even though 10 MPs abstained.

John Key would have been nervous. last year was a nightmare. Lazy and incompetent ministers exposed the government to embarrassment  but none more so than Hekia Parata.  Read more »

I guess the Roy Morgan orgasmic euphoria just ended for the left.

The latest TVNZ/Colmar Brunton poll has delivered bad news to Labour. Colin Craig may as well pack up too, scoring a great big fat doughnut.

I knew there was a poll coming because the Winston and Prosser show kicked off last week. It hasn’t helped them though, and they may have been fed a bum steer on the poll dates.

The first ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll of the year shows a boost for the Government.

National has bounced up five points in the poll to 49%, its highest approval rating in almost a year.  Read more »

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out. The poll continues to be up and down like whore’s drawers.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a fall in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 44% (down 2% since late January). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 0.5% (down 1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0% (unchanged).  Read more »

Shearer just can’t get the numbers to budge:

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows steady support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party at 46% (unchanged since mid January). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 1.5% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0% (down 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 31.5% (unchanged); Greens are 13.5% (up 1.5%), New Zealand First 5.5% (up 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% (unchanged), Conservative Party of NZ 0.5% (down 1%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says the result would be too close to call.  Read more »

The first Roy Morgan poll is out for the year and David Shearer is not off to a good start. February caucus vote is looming large and there are still a few weekends for some good solid lobbying around the BBQ.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows steady support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party at 46% (up 0.5% since mid December 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 31.5% (down 2%); Greens are 12% (up 1%), New Zealand First 5% (unchanged), Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 1.5% (up 0.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says the result would be too close to call.

Read more »

The latest Roy Morgan poll has been published and as is usual with those polls it is all over the place like a mad woman’s poo:

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a slight increase in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 45.5% (up 0.5% since November 12-25, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 1.5% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 1% (up 0.5%) and United Future 0% (down 0.5%). Support for Labour is 33.5% (up 2%); Greens are 11% (down 2.5%), New Zealand First 5% (down 1.5%), Mana Party 1% (up 1%), Conservative Party of NZ 1% (down 0.5%) and Others 0.5% (up 0.5%). If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says the result would be too close to call.

In the space of two weeks and two polls David Cunliffe can kiss goodbye any thought of a challenge in February. John Key will also be relieved that it looks like voters prefer David Shearer and not David Cunliffe.

TV ONE poll results:

Party Support

• National 44.0% (-1.0%)
• Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
• Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
• Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
• Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
• Conservative 1.0% (nc)

TV3 poll results:

Party Support

• National 47.0% (-1.8%)
• Labour 34.6% (+1.6%)
• Green 12.9% (+2.3%)
• ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
• Maori 1.0%  (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.1% (-0.9%)
• NZ First 2.0% (-1.2%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Overall Labour and National are about where they were at the beginning of the year…so Labour hasn’t really made many gains despite a gaffe prone year from National and their more inept ministers.

Still David Cunliffe’s supporters will be very bitter and likely to cause even more trouble in the ranks.

The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out…Labour and the Greens cannabilise each other and Winston, but up are up 3.5%. National is up as well.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a rise in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 45.5% (up 2% since October 8-21, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners shows the Maori Party 2% (down 1.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).

Support for Labour is 32.5% (up 3.5%); Greens are 10.5% (down 2.5%), New Zealand First 5% (down 2.5 %), Mana Party 1% (up 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 1.5% (down 0.5) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today this NZ Roy Morgan Poll says it would be too close to call.