Rob Salmond

Comment of the Day

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Today’s comment of the day comes not from the blog, but from Danyl McLauchlan at Dimpost:

The left sure do seem to have a lot of intellectuals who claim they know exactly what to say to win the elections, and the uncultured, unintellectual right sure do seem to win a lot of elections. That’s all I know right now.

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The PM’s favourite pollster at Curia releases the inconvenient truth

I use Curia to do our polling for INCITE:Politics, so I don’t mind running a little advert for David when he can actually tear himself away from theatre reviews, walking reports and angsty questions about technology upgrades.

The situation in NZ was:

Selection_074
National’s party vote is lower than a year ago but slightly higher than three years ago. Read more »

Just apologise Labour

Dr Jian Yang, the only Chinese MP in the House giving Labour both barrels over Chinky-gate, and suggesting Andrew Little and Phil Twyford apologise.

He speaks with a heavy accent, but otherwise his English is brilliant, and this was a real slap in the face for Little and Twyford.   Read more »

Hooton vs Salmond on UBI

Matthew Hooton and paid Labour shill Rob Salmond have been going hammer and tongs on the UBI proposal from Labour.

For those who weren’t aware of the discussion Labour put up a proposal, un-costed, with scant detail that the state pays everyone over 18 a universal basic income. The suggested amount is around $200.

There is no other detail about how such a massive welfare grant could be afforded and in the absence of any meaningful information from Labour, others including myself, have tried to work it all out.

That in turn has sent Rob Salmond, and from his reaction it shows it much to be his idea, into a mad frothing spin full of vitriol, spite and ad hominem attack against anyone who dares speak ill of the UBI.

Matthew has written a column at NBR and Rob Salmond has responded to that with another ad hominem attack against Hooton at Public Address. Salmond objects to every suggestion of David Farrar, Jim Rose and Matthew Hooton and basically calls them liars. He doesn’t, of course, put up any number at all.

Matthew Hooton’s response to that attack is brilliant, and exposes yet again the lack of intelligence from the sole defender of the UBI, Rob Salmond.

Just a few brief(ish) points.

1) For those with a subscription or working for someone who has one (and I think students at some universities), the actual column is here:http://www.nbr.co.nz/opinion/ubi-just-cynical-ploy-increase-welfare-and-tax-mh

2) The column makes clear at the outset this is an idea not policy. The word policy appears only once, and in the sentence: “It’s difficult to think of a policy proposal with more going for it.” I don’t know why Rob claims I said it was Labour Party policy. The column also makes clear I support a UBI in principle and I outline the key policy benefits, especially around EMTRs, administrative savings and reducing indignity for beneficiaries. I mention the huge amount of work that Lockwood Smith did in opposition in the 2000s trying to make something like a UBI work. (In fact, and I don’t mention this, I first encouraged him to do so when he became National revenue spokesman after the 2005 election).    Read more »

Labour’s UBI is ‘barking mad’ says John Key

Hillary Clinton knows what John Key is talking about…Labour’s crazy, expensive, unworkable Universal Basic Income plan.

Saying all adult New Zealanders a “universal basic income” is a “barking mad” idea that would cost more than the country brings in from tax, Prime Minister John Key says.

A Labour conference on “the future of work” is underway in Auckland today. One idea that will be looked at is a limited trial of a “universal basic income-type” system in a town or region.

The co-leader of a global network promoting a universal basic income, British professor Guy Standing, will be a keynote speaker at the conference.

Labour finance spokesman Grant Robertson has said Labour is considering a local version of a scheme developed by economist Gareth Morgan, who proposed paying every adult a basic income of $11,000 a year ($211 a week).

Such a system could replace all existing welfare benefits except for “supplementary transfers for disadvantaged groups”.   Read more »

Labour logic – opposing something is actually a sign of weakness

Rob Salmond, the genius who came up with the attack on people with chinky-sounding names, the polling genius who kept telling us last election that Labour was 10 points higher than they really were, and the man who comfortably predicted that the NDP, who came third, would win the Canadian election, has decided that John Key commenting on Labour policy is a sign of weakness, which means that the policy is brilliant and Key is worried about it.

He writes at Public Address ( the third iteration of his failed blog):

Andrew Little’s been concentrating on promoting his three years fee-free study policy. A representative Key response:

“From what I can see from Labour’s trumped-up policy it announced on a Sunday afternoon—which is getting no traction so they keep coming to the House with it… go and have a look at the column inches and see how many you have got: zero.”

There’s two claims in there: First, Labour’s getting “zero” column inches and no traction with its policy. And second, it’s a sign of weakness when you ask about an issue in Parliament.

Both claims are silly, and pretty obviously silly. On the idea that nobody cares for Labour’s announcement, for example:

Rachel Smalley:

Labour needed to start the year with a splash and so it did. It announced three years of free education… A reduction in student debt is a good thing. People will enter the workforce owing less, and that has to be a good thing. More people will study, and anything driving up the numbers of tertiary -educated people is a bonus.   Read more »

Herald editor: “Labour MP Kelvin Davis is right”

Mediaworks and NZME really have drunk the anti-government Kool-Aid.

Labour MP Kelvin Davis is right. It is disingenuous of John Key to say Australia’s detainees at Christmas Island are free to leave if they want. They can leave only to return to New Zealand, where they could continue their appeal against deportation from Australia. Mr Key has been assured by Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull that their chances would not be reduced by coming back here. But they are probably thinking yeah, right.

The detainees have a better chance by staying on Australian territory, albeit a hot, desolate island in the Indian Ocean where this week they have staged something of a riot.

Bit of truth accidentally sneaking though there:  staged a riot.   The very New Zealanders Kelvin Davis has been “predicting” would be rioting for some weeks in advance.

Deportation on the scale the Australian Government is undertaking cannot be quick or cheap. Each detainee will have to be escorted to the point of departure. It hardly seems worth the cost, let alone the damage to Australia’s international reputation, when incidents such as the Christmas Island riot occur.

Some Australians are saying so, but many more must be solidly behind the Liberal-National Coalition’s hard line on expat Kiwis who have committed criminal offences. The fact they and their families may have been Australian residents for most of the offender’s life cut no ice with Mr Turnbull when he was here. Read more »

Advice for Andrew Little: Stop digging

I notice with a mixture of disbelief and delight that the Labour Party are going all-in on the Christmas Island issue, just like they did with the ugly persecution of house buyers with Chinky sounding names, like Young.   And the result will be another slow-motion train wreck for us all to enjoy.

Kelvin has been demoted.  Angry Andy is now going over to Australia to do the job properly.

Opposition leader Andrew Little is preparing to do what he says the Government has failed to by heading to Canberra in person and pleading expatriate New Zealanders’ case at the heart of Australia’s Government.

Amid high tension in Parliament yesterday over Labour’s advocacy for deportees, Mr Little confirmed he would appear before an Australian select committee in two weeks’ time to lobby for expats’ rights.

In a rare move, Mr Little will urge Australian MPs in person to address discrimination against Kiwis who live and pay tax in Australia but receive little state support. …

The main focus of Labour’s submission will be on unfair treatment of New Zealanders across the Tasman.

But Mr Little said his submission would also be coloured by recent events involving New Zealanders at Australian detention centres.

“It wasn’t our intention to focus on the detention issue but it may well be that it’s difficult to avoid that,” he said.

Angry Andy is going to go tell off the Australians for implementing a policy that Helen Clark agreed to.  Good luck with that.   Read more »

The delusions of Rob Salmond and the left-wing

One thing you need to do as a political commentator is be able to see the other side’s point of view without assuming they will do and act as you would.

The Left-wing are having conniptions over John Key calling out Labour in parliament for being crim hugging activists and lobbying on behalf of people who are firstly criminals and secondly people who don’t even want to be in New Zealand. They’ve even coined a stupid little label for them…501s…named after the section of Australian law that saw them extradited.

Either that or they are promoting Levis???

In any case the dopey ‘poll supremo’ of Labour, the man who came up with Chinkygate, which worked so well for Labour, has decided to call out the Prime Minister.

John Key’s strategic supremo is Lynton Crosby, from the Australian firm Crosby/Textor. Crosby has a trick in his bag called the “dead cat strategy.” Here’s Boris Johnson, one of Crosby’s British clients, describing it in 2013:

If you’re losing an argument, if you’re in a weak position, throw a dead cat on the table, the London mayor wrote.

“Everyone will shout ‘Jeez, mate, there’s a dead cat on the table!’; in other words they will be talking about the dead cat, the thing you want them to talk about, and they will not be talking about the issue that has been causing you so much grief.”

Today, John Key threw a dead cat into the middle of New Zealand’s Parliament.

John Key knew he was in a weak position today for two reasons. First, his deliberate inaction in the face of disgraceful treatment of expat New Zealanders by Australia is a dereliction of his duty, as his many advisers will be telling him.

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And this is Labour’s poll guru?

Rob Salmond is Labour’s polling guru. For most of last year he was exclaiming that the public polls of the media companies were wrong and that David Cunliffe and Labour were actually polling at least 10 points higher.

Then the election results came in.

A few weeks ago Rob decided to impart his considerable polling wisdom over the coming Canadian elections.

In his words the:

“New Democratic Party (NDP) stands proudly for the progressive left in Canadian politics. Very few would accuse the NDP of being “Blairite.” (For one thing, it opposed the 2003 Iraq war.) While there’s a tight election campaign on in Canada right now, next month the NDP is most likely to head the Canadian government for the first time.”

He goes on:

[T]he NDP is finding another way to win. In an actual, nationwide election, not just a intra-party contest. And when it wins, using traditional reach-to-the-centre methods, it will deliver real progressive change for Canada.

The Canadian left may not get everything it wants, but it will get a lot of things it wants. That’s what victory looks like in a modern democracy.

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