Rob Salmond

Herald editor: “Labour MP Kelvin Davis is right”

Mediaworks and NZME really have drunk the anti-government Kool-Aid.

Labour MP Kelvin Davis is right. It is disingenuous of John Key to say Australia’s detainees at Christmas Island are free to leave if they want. They can leave only to return to New Zealand, where they could continue their appeal against deportation from Australia. Mr Key has been assured by Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull that their chances would not be reduced by coming back here. But they are probably thinking yeah, right.

The detainees have a better chance by staying on Australian territory, albeit a hot, desolate island in the Indian Ocean where this week they have staged something of a riot.

Bit of truth accidentally sneaking though there:  staged a riot.   The very New Zealanders Kelvin Davis has been “predicting” would be rioting for some weeks in advance.

Deportation on the scale the Australian Government is undertaking cannot be quick or cheap. Each detainee will have to be escorted to the point of departure. It hardly seems worth the cost, let alone the damage to Australia’s international reputation, when incidents such as the Christmas Island riot occur.

Some Australians are saying so, but many more must be solidly behind the Liberal-National Coalition’s hard line on expat Kiwis who have committed criminal offences. The fact they and their families may have been Australian residents for most of the offender’s life cut no ice with Mr Turnbull when he was here. Read more »

Advice for Andrew Little: Stop digging

I notice with a mixture of disbelief and delight that the Labour Party are going all-in on the Christmas Island issue, just like they did with the ugly persecution of house buyers with Chinky sounding names, like Young.   And the result will be another slow-motion train wreck for us all to enjoy.

Kelvin has been demoted.  Angry Andy is now going over to Australia to do the job properly.

Opposition leader Andrew Little is preparing to do what he says the Government has failed to by heading to Canberra in person and pleading expatriate New Zealanders’ case at the heart of Australia’s Government.

Amid high tension in Parliament yesterday over Labour’s advocacy for deportees, Mr Little confirmed he would appear before an Australian select committee in two weeks’ time to lobby for expats’ rights.

In a rare move, Mr Little will urge Australian MPs in person to address discrimination against Kiwis who live and pay tax in Australia but receive little state support. …

The main focus of Labour’s submission will be on unfair treatment of New Zealanders across the Tasman.

But Mr Little said his submission would also be coloured by recent events involving New Zealanders at Australian detention centres.

“It wasn’t our intention to focus on the detention issue but it may well be that it’s difficult to avoid that,” he said.

Angry Andy is going to go tell off the Australians for implementing a policy that Helen Clark agreed to.  Good luck with that.   Read more »

The delusions of Rob Salmond and the left-wing

One thing you need to do as a political commentator is be able to see the other side’s point of view without assuming they will do and act as you would.

The Left-wing are having conniptions over John Key calling out Labour in parliament for being crim hugging activists and lobbying on behalf of people who are firstly criminals and secondly people who don’t even want to be in New Zealand. They’ve even coined a stupid little label for them…501s…named after the section of Australian law that saw them extradited.

Either that or they are promoting Levis???

In any case the dopey ‘poll supremo’ of Labour, the man who came up with Chinkygate, which worked so well for Labour, has decided to call out the Prime Minister.

John Key’s strategic supremo is Lynton Crosby, from the Australian firm Crosby/Textor. Crosby has a trick in his bag called the “dead cat strategy.” Here’s Boris Johnson, one of Crosby’s British clients, describing it in 2013:

If you’re losing an argument, if you’re in a weak position, throw a dead cat on the table, the London mayor wrote.

“Everyone will shout ‘Jeez, mate, there’s a dead cat on the table!’; in other words they will be talking about the dead cat, the thing you want them to talk about, and they will not be talking about the issue that has been causing you so much grief.”

Today, John Key threw a dead cat into the middle of New Zealand’s Parliament.

John Key knew he was in a weak position today for two reasons. First, his deliberate inaction in the face of disgraceful treatment of expat New Zealanders by Australia is a dereliction of his duty, as his many advisers will be telling him.

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And this is Labour’s poll guru?

Rob Salmond is Labour’s polling guru. For most of last year he was exclaiming that the public polls of the media companies were wrong and that David Cunliffe and Labour were actually polling at least 10 points higher.

Then the election results came in.

A few weeks ago Rob decided to impart his considerable polling wisdom over the coming Canadian elections.

In his words the:

“New Democratic Party (NDP) stands proudly for the progressive left in Canadian politics. Very few would accuse the NDP of being “Blairite.” (For one thing, it opposed the 2003 Iraq war.) While there’s a tight election campaign on in Canada right now, next month the NDP is most likely to head the Canadian government for the first time.”

He goes on:

[T]he NDP is finding another way to win. In an actual, nationwide election, not just a intra-party contest. And when it wins, using traditional reach-to-the-centre methods, it will deliver real progressive change for Canada.

The Canadian left may not get everything it wants, but it will get a lot of things it wants. That’s what victory looks like in a modern democracy.

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Rob Salmond attempts to polish a turd


Rob Salmond has a go at Phil Quin for saying Labour is dead set useless and has gone nowhere under Andrew Little.

Is the Labour Party pessimistic, or optimistic? Does it oppose change or embrace it? Is the movement marching forward or standing still? Answering these questions is important, because it helps us understand the engine room of the next government.

Or are they just dreamin’. As arts, lifestyle, fitness and travel blogger and noted cat lover David Farrar points out,

Nine years ago in September 2006, National as opposition were at 44% and Labour at 39%. And that wasn’t Key – that was Brash.

So in Labour’s third term they trailed the major opposition party by 5%, while in National’s third term the Government leads by 22%.

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The left turns on Rob Salmond

Sold his home to a Chinese Investor for 1.3 Million...wanted 1.4

Chris Trotter is the messenger, but if he is saying it then others in the hard left are too.

How, then, to explain Labour’s curious foray into the treacherous territory of ethnicity and foreign investment? Who was it who thought singling-out Chinese investors in a city where Chinese residents make up nearly 10 percent of the population was a good idea?

The man responsible for manipulating the leaked Auckland housing statistics into something Labour’s housing spokesperson, Phil Twyford, could use was Rob Salmond. Anyone looking for proof of what can happen to a political party when it allows itself to be persuaded that politics is not an art – but a science – need look no further than the relationship between Labour and Salmond.

After a few years teaching at an American university, Salmond returned to New Zealand certain he could adapt the techniques he saw employed by the Obama Campaign to New Zealand conditions. This is the “science” of politics that sends out postcards detailing the [Labour] voting habits of people’s neighbours, in an attempt to psychologically dispose them towards doing the same. Somehow, Salmond persuaded the Labour Party to unleash these sorts of highly manipulative tactics on the long-suffering New Zealand voter. Sadly, as we all know, his political “science” failed to fire, and Labour’s share of the popular vote declined to its lowest point since 1922.    Read more »

Why is Labour attacking voices of reason?

If you ever needed an example as to why Labour are totally unsuited for government even after 7 years in the wilderness, it is the reaction to Progress – the brainchild of Josie Pagani, Nick Leggett and Phil Quin.

Some Labour people say they want to set up a think tank, because what has been done and is being done isn’t working. The polls and election results are very clear on this.

The very first reaction, though, is to tell those people to get fucked.

Not, “Let’s see what they come up with and debate it”.

They just can’t get past the personalities.

Have a look at the posts and comments on Labour’s proxy-blog, The Standard. I have so you don’t have to.

Sacha says:

Current stirrer and disloyal former Lab staffer Phil Quin blusters self-servingly in public, again

Standard regular Anne says:

Exactly. And the Pagani/Leggott/ Quinn thing is a recipe for a future annihilation of Labour just as its proving to be in Britain. Its the Thorndon bubble effect (courtesy of CV) just like the Brit LP is suffering from the Westminster effect.

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Rob Salmond on the hysteria over spying

I don’t hold a candle for Rob Salmond politically, I doubt there is much we agree on, but he has a thoughtful piece that cuts through the hysteria associated with the constant left-wing push against the GCSB.

The fact that he has bothered to look at what the GCSB is for puts him light years ahead of the other lefty shills.

The most critical question is whether trying to help Tim Groser’s, ahem, optimistic bid to become WTO Director-General falls within the GCSB’s legal mandate. I say it does. Here’s section 7 of the GCSB Act, which gives the Agency’s objectives:

The objective of the Bureau, in performing its functions, is to contribute to—
(a) the national security of New Zealand; and
(b) the international relations and well-being of New Zealand; and
(c) the economic well-being of New Zealand.   Read more »

About those landline polls, huh?

The left wing like to blame poor poll results on the mistaken belief that pollsters who ring landlines are missing their supporters.

That myth has been busted over and over and over again, but still they persist in trying to blame something, anything for their shit results, without ever stopping for just a moment to realise that the problem is that the electorate just thinks they are tits. And have been since 2008.

Once again the evidence destroys their delusion.


Andrew at Grumpolie looked at how the polls and polls of polls did, compared to the election result.  Read more »

Giving a liberal elite idiot a jolly good hiding

In Australia it looks like Jess Elgood, Fairfax’s polling boss, has managed to unite the polling industry against her.

The sledging is legendary.

LEADING pollsters have lined up to condemn the overreach of Fairfax’s new polling boss, Jess Elgood, when analysing Ipsos’s poll results in Monday’s Fairfax newspapers.

Ms Elgood was quoted in The Sydney Morning Herald saying: “They have read the writing on the wall for Mr Abbott … It possibly ­indicates that the voters have ­already moved on from Mr ­Abbott.”

The Ipsos poll found a three-percentage-point rise in the ­Coalition’s two-party vote such that it trailed the Labor Party 49 to 51 per cent.

The results did not fit the ­narrative of commentators that the Prime Minister’s poor ­performance was damaging the government’s standing.

Galaxy Research managing ­director David Briggs disputed Ms Elgood’s argument.

“The idea that the surge in ­government support is because voters are already factoring in ­Abbott’s potential departure doesn’t make intuitive sense,” he said.

Liberal Party pollster Mark Textor evoked a Monty Python theme, describing the Ipsos boss’s analysis as “desperately free from the ravages of quantitative ­evidence”.

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