Ruth Dyson

Roy Morgan delivers a nice easter present for National

After yesterday’s Roy Morgan poll perhaps Labour might just start realising that no one cares about their silly pursuit of Judith Collins and voters simply believe that they are unfit to govern.

The poll delivers a shock for Labour, this is their favoured indicator, and proves the lie that Labour’s own internal polling is showing them at 34%.

Playing the nasty and not focussing on policies that matter to Kiwi voters is really starting to hurt them. But they are now past the point of no return for David Cunliffe and have to stick it out with a naff leader that no one likes or no one believes.

When you add on these results to the dramatic boundary changes you are going to see Labour MPs disappear back to their electorates in an attempt to shore up their own support. Watch as Ruth Dyson, Clayton Cosgrove and a number of other MPs spend considerably more time in their electorates than in Wellington.

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a large jump in support for National (48.5%, up 5.5%) now with its largest lead over a potential Labour/Greens alliance (40%, down 5%) since July 2013 as New Zealanders celebrated the visit of Prince William and the Duchess of Cambridge.

Support for Key’s Coalition partners is little changed with the Maori Party 1% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ (0.5%, unchanged) and United Future 0% (down 0.5%).  Read more »

Mallard and Dyson shafted by their own team in boundary redraw

It is looking increasingly like Labour’s own advisor to the Electoral Commission has worked very hard at shafting Ruth Dyson and Trevor Mallard. So much so he has missed some strange looking boundary adjustments in other areas.

Jadis has performed some very good analysis of the changes over at the lifestyle, travel and arts blog of David Farrar. From the looks of it there are no winners on the left side of politics.

And most of the losers are Labour.

Losers:

Ruth Dyson, Port Hills – Dyson is the biggest loser in this boundary review.  Her majority has been reversed with the Nats stronghold of Halswell moving into the seat, and Anderton’s old stomping ground of Sydenham moving into Christchurch Central.  Dyson will have a real battle to hold this, even with the Nats putting in a new candidate.  How winnable the seat is very much depends on the strength of the Nat candidate, but a good candidate could take the seat with a 2000 majority.  I’d be gutted if I was Dyson as Pete Hodgson (who did the boundaries for Labour) is a good mate of hers.  Perhaps this is Labour’s new (poor) strategy of retiring MPs.

Trevor Mallard, Hutt South – This is the surprise of the final boundaries.  Mallard has gained all of the  Western Hills (good Nat territory) and lost super red areas of Naenae and Rimutaka. Labour should have been able to stop this occurring but appear to have put up no fight.  Mallard should be furious with his party for failing to keep Hutt South a real red seat.  Why didn’t Hodgson fight hard for Mallard?  Was it a directive from on high?  Realistically, Mallard should hold the seat but he’ll be working hard for it and never should have been put in this position. I expect Mallard’s majority to be pegged down a few.  Read more »

An email from a reader

I love my readers and the fact that they correspond with me. Sometimes their ideas get turned into a post after some research, other times they can stand on their own like this emails from a reader.

I still fail to see what Ms Collins did wrong and not a single one of my mates has mentioned it and they are usually pretty quick to stick the boot into any politician.

The MSM continue to burn off their advertisers audience by devoting all their opinion space to dissecting something that very few people give a shit about.

I quite like her to be honest and she does remind me a bit of Maggie and having grown up in England during the seventies where Dad was only allowed to work 3 days a week and his marginal tax rate was 98%…it was shocking so like many of my age group I have a soft spot for Maggie.

But if if I sit here and imagine it was Ruth Dyson who while overseas dropped in and had dinner with her hubbies business interests would I care? …not at all, even though I can’t stand her and she is worse than useless.   Read more »

Labour hypocrisy over state servant candidates

It is never a good look when candidates for office appear in the news, but it is pretty scurrilous for Labour to be attacking Parmjeet Parmar when their own candidates are less than clean themselves. Rajen Prasad should also be very careful about going after people when I note Prasad himself must have campaigned for Labour while a commissioner – because he was named on Labour’s list very soon after he stood down.

I suspect there is a bit of Indian politics at play here, but Parmjeet doesn’t help herself when she talks to delegates claiming she has the support and is the preferred candidate for John Key and Peter Goodfellow. All that is going to happen now is some journalist is going to ask John Key if he supports Parmjeet and he is going, as he should, to say no. Selections are in the hands of the delegates not the plaything of the president of the party and the prime minister.

The Families Commission is facing scrutiny over political links, after one of its commissioners was photographed campaigning with Prime Minister John Key.

During a select committee hearing, Labour MP Dr Rajen Prasad held up a photograph of commissioner Dr Parmjeet Parmar wearing a National Party ribbon with Key at a recent Auckland event.

Prasad said he understood Parmar was planning to run as National Party candidate and asked chief commissioner Belinda Milne whether it was appropriate for a potential candidate to remain as a commissioner.

Milne said she had heard “rumours” of Parmar’s political involvement but she had no knowledge of any candidacy.

“There are all sorts of rumours going around about who is doing what,” she said.

“Until there is a firm situation … we can’t do anything.”

She said another staff member was intending to run as candidate for Labour, which he had declared to the commission. They had already discussed with him how to separate his political activities from his work.  Read more »

Vernon Small on Labour’s “issues”

Yesterday Vernon Small wrote about the biggest issue facing Labour ahead of this year’s election.

Well the biggest problem after the issue with their tits leader….rejuvenation…or rather the lack of it.

 In politics rejuvenation rates alongside succession planning. Both are easy catchcries and generally seen as “a good thing”.

In reality they are a type of parliamentary Nimby-ism – nice to have if it is someone else who is vacating a seat, and fine as long as you are not the leader whose replacement is being groomed.

On the National side of the aisle rejuvenation is in full swing. At last count 14 MPs have either gone or are going out of a caucus of 59. It is generally accepted as a worthwhile and necessary refreshment of the party. Certainly it is being handled well and without any overt bloodletting. No dummies have been spat in the remaking of the National caucus.

Of course if the polls were different it would be a different story. Shave a theoretical five points off the Government and give it to the Opposition and the narrative might be akin to the “rats leaving a sinking ship” theme that Labour leader David Cunliffe has tried to get up.

But that just looks lame when the last three polls had National harvesting enough support to govern alone.  Read more »

Tweet of the Day

I think this tweet manages to capture the essence of Ruth Dyson.

Labour selects another Bloke

Labour’s man ban doesn’t appear to be working in the provinces where another good keen man has won a selection.

Rob McCann may be a socialist and a former Labour staffer but he is a bloke and is helping to fill up the massive gap in Labour.

Communication specialist Rob McCann has been selected as the Labour candidate for the Otaki electorate at a keenly contested selection meeting.

“I’m honoured to accept the nomination to represent the people of Otaki,” says Rob McCann. “I will listen to the concerns of our electorate and do my best to ensure the people of our community are represented.

As a professional bullshit artist Rob should know better than rabbit on about an issue that won’t change voters minds in Otaki.    Read more »

Same problem here

Tony Blair has a point when he lambasts career politicians.

Tony Blair said MPs should work normal jobs before entering politics to give them a better overview of how the world works.

Tony Blair took a swipe at modern MPs like Ed Miliband for lacking experience outside politics, claiming they should work normal jobs for several years before heading to Westminster.

The former Prime Minister said there was a “general problem” in Western democracies with career politicians who have never worked outside the political sphere.

He insisted that following careers in other areas before taking up politics was vital as it meant the MPs were “better able to see the world”.   Read more »

Dodgy Socialist Dam in Trouble?

The dodgy socialist dam in Hawkes Bay looks like it is running into a pretty major set of problems. Sources inside the HBRC, DoC and parliament are telling me that Nick Smith is in trouble over interfering with the DoC submission on the dodgy socialist dam.

Pressure is building on Conservation Minister Nick Smith over claims a Department of Conservation staff member quit “because of his political interference” on a report into a controversial dam proposal.

Smith has been accused of leaning on DOC after a critical report into the proposed Hawke’s Bay Ruataniwha Dam was scrapped and replaced with a two-paragraph submission to a Board of Inquiry. He has strenuously denied using his influence to protect the proposal and also denied expressing an opinion about the initial report.

Nick Smith has some form using political influence.   Read more »

Question Time round up, sound smacking all round for Labour’s ‘stars’

Not a stellar start from the new Labour team at question time.

Paula Bennett answering about the success of getting beneficiaries to sort out outstanding warrants with the coppers or lose your benefit. Sue Moroney leaps up to ask how it helps them get a job?  It was a stupid irrelevant question which Bennett bats away to which Moroney raises a point of order and subjects herself to another healthy smack across the chops.

Phil Twyford reels out stats to Nick Smith lamenting how many houses housing NZ has demolished and not renewed leases on and wants to know why ? Fucking great big earthquake perhaps.   Read more »