TV3 Poll, Labour well behind, Nats still in front

National continues to cane Labour in the latest TV3 poll, the favourite of the Labour lickspittles.

National steady on 48%

Labour steady on 36%

Greens down 2 to 6%

Maori 2.7%

Winston First 2.6%

ACT 1.2%

United Future 1.1%

This means the seats are as follows;

Labour 45

National 60

Green Party 8

Maori Party 4

ACT 2 (a big if, Rodney has to keep Epsom, which is unlikely)

United Future 1

Progressive 1

Total seats 121

Clearly from this poll Winston is a goner unless he can pull a rather large rabbit out of the hat. I have always said that Winston's star would wane as his supporters, essentially Rob's mob followed Rob into the grave.

ACT are also there but only if Rodney does the highly unlikely and retains Epsom. It remains to be seen whether Peter Dunne and Jim Anderton can continue to con their respective electorates. Both however need an exceptional candidate to take it to them on the hustings.

Labour must be seriously worried by now, after all their publicity and spending of taxpayers money launching three of their flagship policies Kiwi's are saying "thanks, but we have had enough of you lot".

Clark has lost her mojo with the voters as well, no longer can she command preferred Prime Minister as of right, and this month only managed a tie with John Key despite her shroud waving, Fiji bashing and txting prowess. Labour ministers will dreading the pending re-shuffle now, but who can step up? There is really no depth to Labour's ranks.


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  • David Seymour

    Well I don't think your information is very good, we'll just have to see next year.

  • pdm

    To be effective either in opposition or as a support partyin government ACT needs more than two MP’s.

    They also need the experience of Franks, Newman and a couple of others to give them greater credibity and impact. The question for me is – will they stand again?

  • I can understand there is some disappointment from National that Rodders isn't going for the jugular like the good old days, but I still think having Rodney as a preferred partner and even saying so is so much better than the alternatives.

    Peter Dunne will want limp wristed concessions that will dillute National policy.
    Winston Peters will want left wing, self serving bullshit concessions that will makea farce of a future National Govt.

    Compare that to the core ACT message and it's a right wing wet dream. I do know we need to stay on message but lets stay on the same page. :)

  • David Seymour

    Sorry mate but your completely unsubstanitated assertion that Rodney can't win Epsom looks more like a mischevious attempt at a self fulfilling prophecy than an informative political commentary.

  • Whaleoil

    My informants tell me that he hasn't got a snowballs chance in hell if current polling is to be believed. Much and all as i would like ACT to be there, I just don't think they will. Ever since they re-branded themselves as the liberal party their support has slumped.