Roy Morgan's topsy-turvy polls

The lastest Roy Morgan poll is out and it is as Labour’s crippled campaign manager feared, the one before was a rogue.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 59.5% (up 6% – the biggest lead since January 2011). Support for Key’s National Party is 53% (up 4%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), ACT NZ 3% (up 1.5%) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 40.5% (down 6%) — Labour Party 30% (down 6%), Greens 7% (up 0.5%), New Zealand First 2.5% (unchanged), Progressive Party 0% (unchanged) and Others 1% (down 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

The previous poll saw Labour rocket up, but that has effectively been struck out.

I claimed that Labour’s rise in the previous poll was because of my promotion of Whale vs. Duck. So to prove a point I have resisted blogging about any progress on the race, plus I have also been hammering away for the past 10 days about Labour’s crippled website and poor data security along with their illegal data harvesting tactics.

Therefore Labour’s poll disaster this week can again be wholly attributed to the Whale Effect.


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.