Can Paul Quinn beat Trevor Mallard in Hutt South?

The latest poll results putting Labour 26% behind National mean a lot of once safe red seats are increasingly vulnerable.

In Hutt South, where Labour’s crippled campaign manager has a majority of 4086 over former Wellington Rugby Captain Paul Quinn. This is with a 11% gap in the polls in 2008. In 2011 a 26% gap means that Paul can expect to win 350 votes per 1% change, so a 15% change means a swing of 5250 votes to Paul, or a nominal majority of 1164.

Labour will need to divert resources away from the marginal seat of Rimutaka where it is defending Chris Hipkins narrow majority to Hutt South to save Trevor. Bad luck for Chippy who won’t make it back in on the list, and really bad for Labour who have overloaded Mallard with the Campaign Managers role, as well as him being busy fighting an asymmetrical war he cannot win against a blogger who cannot lose. Duck is pretty busy anyway, without needing to have to campaign in his seat against a fiercely competitive opponent.

Do you want:

  • Ad-free access?
  • Access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • Access to daily sudoku?
  • Access to Incite Politics magazine articles?
  • Access to podcasts?
  • Access to political polls?

Our subscribers’ financial support is the reason why we have been able to offer our latest service; Audio blogs. 

Click Here  to support us and watch the number of services grow.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.