Labour voters switching to National

Vernon Small must have had a few sleepless nights. No wonder too that Labour MPs have been very quiet. The lates Fairfax poll results are the very last nails in Labour’s coffin.

Vernon Small has crunched the numbers, and it doesn’t look good for Labour:

A close examination of the numbers shows that among voters who have cited a party preference, 92 per cent of those who ticked National last time are still backing a John Key-led party.

By contrast, Labour has managed to hang on to only 79 per cent of its supporters, with 11 per cent switching to National – against just 5 per cent of National voters who have crossed to Phil Goff’s camp.

Labour has also shed 5 per cent of its voters from 2008 to the Greens, but less than one per cent of National’s 2008 vote base has turned Green.

In fact, no other party has managed to lure away more than 1 per cent of National’s voters in 2008.


Do you want:

  • Ad-free access?
  • Access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • Access to daily sudoku?
  • Access to Incite Politics magazine articles?
  • Access to podcasts?
  • Access to political polls?

Our subscribers’ financial support is the reason why we have been able to offer our latest service; Audio blogs. 

Click Here  to support us and watch the number of services grow.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.