Latest Roy Morgan

The latest Roy Morgan poll has been released. The poll was of 895 electors from June 27 – July 10, so before Labour’s Capital Gains tax announcement.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 55% (down 5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 49% (down 5%), ACT NZ 3% (up 0.5%), the Maori Party 2.5% (down 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 45% (up 5%) — Labour Party 33.5% (up 3%), Greens 7.5% (up 2%), New Zealand First 3% (down 0.5%) and Others 1% (up 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

The poll was largely completed by the time preliminary details of Labour’s CGT policy had been released, and certainly well before the official release. The next Roy Morgan should so the real reaction to the tax.

Roy Morgan usually releases their poll the week after completion going by previous polls. They must have held it back because of the log jam of polls. If they are polling to schedule then they are in the field again right now and we should see another poll late next week.


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  • whafe

    Well after watching Backbenches this evening, I doubt the Labour or Green parties will rise..

    We already know BIG Trev is a BS’ing bully, but Gareth Hughes makes my stomach crawl.. The epitome of a born and bred socialist POS

    • gazzaw

      c’mon whafe give the boyo a break. He’s got such huge life experience – school, uni (religious & political studies), greenpeace and the greens. He knows what it’s all about, just the bloke to be making decisions for us.

  • thor42

    The Morgan polls always seem to favour Labour, and I’ve wondered why that is. Possibly something in the methodology that they use. Maybe they tend to do the polling in the middle of the day, when Labour losers would tend to be the ones at home.
    Any other ideas on this, WO?

    • hollyfield

      But, according to The Standard, Labour supporters don’t have phones. Or only have mobile phones. Or if they do have phones they are too busy being out and about so aren’t home when the pollsters call. The Standard knows the above three reasons are why Labour is currently so low in the polls.

  • mattyman

    Act party almost identical to the TVNZ poll. They’re on the rise, lets hope its a more common sight to see them over 3% and moving toward 5%.

  • deputy

    Garett Hughes is nothing more than a glove puppet waiting to feed on the public tit.
    God help us if they somehow gain more seats