Yet another Poll disaster

It is official, Labour is a dog, the voters know it, the country know it, the only people who don’t know it are Labour themselves.

Here is the latest Roy Morgan poll which was was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 895 electors from July 11-24, 2011 (after the CGT release)

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is at 57.5% (up 2.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 52% (up 3%), ACT NZ 2% (down 1%), the Maori Party 3% (up 0.5%), and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 42.5% (down 2.5%) — Labour Party 31.5% (down 2%), Greens 7.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 0.5%), Mana Party 0.5% and Others 0.5% (down 0.5%).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

Surely that can’t be right, the Roy Morgan is the most accurate poll out there, it just can’t be right that it’s showing Labour tracking down when the Standard and Red Alert are saying that the CGT is very popular

What it really shows their previous poll was a rogue as it was out of kilter with all other polls.

This poll shows the continuing downward trend for Labour (31.5%)and National continuing its popularity (52%)

Goff will not be happy with this as there are now 4 polls (TV3, TV1, FAIRFAX and now ROY MORGAN) showing that his “game changer” Capital Gains Tax has definitely changed the game….ensuring Labour are heading for Bill English’s 21%


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  • gazzaw

    You have got it all wrong WO. Once the ‘Expert Panel’ explains CGT to the vast unwashed all will be well in Liabore’s world. Annette said so.

    • thor42

      Heh…. nice one, gazzaw…… ;)
      This poll is much more like it! I was really puzzled by the previous Roy-Morgan poll which was **way** out of whack with the other polls. Now, things have returned to normal.

  • thor42

    I’m now convinced that Labour won’t roll Goof until after the election.
    They’ll let him put the ship on the rocks, then try to refloat it and rebuild it.