Polling Rumours

The silly season of political polls is well underway. All sorts of polls are being done with all sorts of different methodology, and until November the 26th no one really knows how accurate the pollers are.

I get fed a lot of different poll results (none I might add from Farrar who is tighter than a fishes arse when it comes to polling) and perhaps the most interesting rumoured poll is that Labour’s effective electorate MPs in Christchurch East and Waimakariri, Dalziel and Cosgrove, are under real threat. Apparently their response to the earthquake has not won them many votes as they have spent more time whinging than helping people get ahead. Both have lost large numbers of voters from red areas of their electorates, and with a massive swing to National they are vulnerable.

Lianne has taken a principled position and is not going back on the list but her mayoral aspirations are going to be in tatters if she loses her seat.


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  • Travis Watson

    are you hearing anything out of Te Atatu?
    I wouldnt be surprised if Cosgrove lost his seat anyway….

  • Paulus

    Both these troughers have lost a considerable number of constituants who have left their electorates for elsewhere – they will not return to vote as they are “out of here”.

  • Mike Readman

    Her mayoral aspirations won’t be in tatters if she stands for and wins the Burwood-Pegasus by-election.  Could that be why Chrissie Williams (Labour) took an extra two weeks to step down, causing the nominations to be delayed until Nov/Dec?

  • Blair Mulholland

    I’m surprised there’s anybody left in Christchurch East to vote there.

  • Anonymous

    Exactly. Most of the leftards that usually vote for Plughead, Patsy et al have left Chch for greener pastures. Or even Australia.