Who will National’s Coalition Partners be in 2014?

The weekends polls showed National to have a massive lead over Labour, a lead that has yet to show any signs of falling off.

David Farrar has a graph showing a massive gap between Labour and National.

National are so far ahead they are now worried they will have the kind of massive intake of MPs that occurred in 1990, when they won 67 seats out of 97. Their vote then collapsed in 1993 to leave them needing Peter Tapsell from Labour to be speaker.

Under MMP the same thing is likely in 2014. National may remain strong but the minor parties will not. David Farrar’s graph also shows the minor parties dying. National’s coalition partners, United Future and ACT are in the last throws of their death struggle. The Maori Party looks like losing one of its four seats, and will struggle to survive beyond 2014 if Sharples and Turia retire which is on the cards. Winston is nowhere and wont come back.

The big question of this election is why is John Key, with 55% of the vote, refusing to engage on the electoral referendum question? Why hasn’t he looked forward to 2014 and worked out he could end up with 46%, still be the preferred Prime Minister by a long way and be looking at a Labour/Green coalition?

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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

To read Cam’s previous articles click on his name in blue.