Friend, The shift has begun, Ctd

Chris Flatt, the Labour party General Secretary, sent out an email proclaiming that “the shift” had begun on the basis of the Herald poll this morning. Despite that all three polls until then, including the Herald poll had shown Labour’s vote declining. Even the Herald’s poll showed that despite a big slump for National, Labour too slumped.

In one respect Chris Flatt was right, “the shift” has begun. The latest Roy Morgan poll, released after Chris Flatt sent his earnest email shows that like all the other polls this week Labour’s vote is shifting…downwards:

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government has fallen to 56% (down 1.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 53% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 1% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2% (unchanged), and United Future 0% (down 1%).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 44% (up 1.5%) — Labour Party 26% (down 3.5%), Greens 12% (up 2.5%), New Zealand First 4.5% (up 2%), Mana Party 1% (up 0.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.


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