How will it ever work?

Let’s look at how Phil Goff is supposed to form a government and try and work out if it is at all possible.

Winston peters says he won’t work with anyone. We know this to be a lie of course. But let us imagine for a moment that Winston told the truth. Phil Goff can’t therefore turn to him should he make 5%.

So the math is G=LP-WP. Not looking goo so far.

We know the Greens will work with Labour. That makes the math G=LP+GP-WP

We know that Phil Goff says he won’t work with Hone Harawira…interesting turn of phrase…will he work with Mana without Hone Harawira as it’s leader, and is Phil Goff actually saying that he will turn down government if he has to rely on Hone Harawira. Let’s take Phil Goff at his word, since he says he doesn’t lie [cough]

That make the math look like this: G=(LP+GP) – (Mana+WP)

On current polling averages that is: 50=(26.5+12.9)-(0.9+3.2) 0r 50=39.4-4.1 or 50=35.3

As you can see the equation doesn’t add up. In order to make government which is on or about 50% of the vote Labour are still 14.7% short of 50%.

That means in the last week of the election Labour needs a swing of more than 7% against the government in order to have the possibility of forming a government. Worse, that swing has to land in the Green and Labour camps for it to do any good. If it goes to Winston Peters or Mana that makes Phil Goff’s job harder for forming a government.

Of course though, we know Winston Peters will lie and so a vote for Winston Peters is a vote for a Phil Goff led government. When Winston says NO we know he means yes.

We can also see why we must get rid of MMP and Vote for Change and for a system that removes all this nonsense once and for all.

 


Do you want:

  • Ad-free access?
  • Access to our very popular daily crossword?
  • Access to daily sudoku?
  • Access to Incite Politics magazine articles?
  • Access to podcasts?
  • Access to political polls?

Our subscribers’ financial support is the reason why we have been able to offer our latest service; Audio blogs. 

Click Here  to support us and watch the number of services grow.

As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats.

They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners.

He is fearless in his pursuit of a story.

Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.

33%