Roy Morgan Poll

The last Roy Morgan Poll before the election is out. There is a warning. Winston Peters is high in this poll. If ever you needed a reminder why you must Vote for Change in the referendum then this poll is it. It is patently ridiculous that the most popular government  by a long way can throught eh vagaries of MMp be actually sailing very close to not being able to form a government after the election.

Labour though continues the trend in all other polls, continuing to slide into the low 20s. National can get there on this but only just.

Today’s Special Election Eve New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows Prime Minister John Key’s National Party set to be re-elected tomorrow, but falling short of gaining a majority in its own right. National has 49.5% (down 3.5%) of the party vote well ahead of second party Labour (23.5%, down 1%) and a surging Greens (14.5%, up 1.5%).

Support for New Zealand First (6.5%, up 3.5%) has increased after Leader Winston Peters gained public attention when he revealed parts of the ‘Teapot Tape’ Scandal to the public, and his action may result in his party’s surprise return to Parliament after failing to win a seat at the 2008 New Zealand election.

Support for the other minor parties shows ACT NZ 1.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%) unlikely to retain their seats in Parliament while the Maori Party 1% (down 2%) and Mana Party 0.5% (down 0.5%) will closely contest the seven Maori seats.

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