First Roy Morgan of the cycle

The first Roy Morgan poll of the cycle is out and there is little change from the election in November:

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll, the first since the 2011 New Zealand Election shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government is 49.5% (down 0.9% since the Election). Support for Key’s National Party is 47% (down 0.3% since the Election), the Maori Party 1.5% (up 0.1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.6%), and United Future 0.5% (down 0.1%). Support for Opposition Parties is at 50.5% (up 0.9%) – Labour Party 27.5% (unchanged), Greens 14.5% (up 3.4%), New Zealand First 5% (down 1.6%), Mana Party 1% (unchanged) and Others 2.5% (down 0.9%). The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is up 14 points to 132.5 – with 60.5% (up 11%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 28% (down 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

It is pretty moot as to what the poll shows in the middle of January in the first year of the cycle. However the Greens have gone up a fair bit and labour is static, perhaps recording the loss in confidence of labour as the true opposition party.

Time will tell how it pans out.


THANK YOU for being a subscriber. Because of you Whaleoil is going from strength to strength. It is a little known fact that Whaleoil subscribers are better in bed, good looking and highly intelligent. Sometimes all at once! Please Click Here Now to subscribe to an ad-free Whaleoil.

  • Notrotsky

    Talking of polls.

    Time to mobilise the army against the pinkos at MUNZ who are spruiking the POAL pole.

  • Fedora

    The greens have certainly maintained their flow of press releases which the media cut and paste and call it news. 

  • niggly

    “The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is up 14
    points to 132.5 – with 60.5% (up 11%) of New Zealanders saying New
    Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’”.

    But, but, but, according to those anonomous authors & cheerleader commentators at the Sub Standard … the Govt is doesn’t know what it is doing, are incompetant, are MIA etc etc …

    How dare 60.5% of NZers not see what the geniuses at the Sub Standard see … ;-)

  • Kosh103

    A poll in January?? Whats the point? Yes it shows National going in the right direction, but this is hardly going to be that accurate.

    Oh well, guess they have to do something to be paid.

    • Hakim of Phut

      The result shows the country is split down the middle.

      “Support for Opposition Parties is at 50.5% “

      • Politically Unstable

        So what do you want? First past the post? It also shows that over 70% do not want labour.

      • Peter Wilson

        That’s just a nonsense. The key word is parties, plural. They all have different ideas and policies, so you can’t lump together and somehow claim an opposition mandate!

        Different with National. Nearly 50% of all electors have said, “yes, we like to totality of your policies. Go for it.”

        A huge mandate.

    • Peter Wilson

      Disagree. This first poll says three things:

      Voters have NOT woken up after the election, and holidays and thought…..”oh my gosh, what have we done!” They are still confident the overwhelming mandate National have been given is good.

      The new Labour leader isn’t going to get a honeymoon period. It’s looking more like a huge mistake by Labour to change leaders so soon. Not a bad move by Goff though. Pulling the plug early, and Shearer already failing means Goff can say it wouldn’t have made any differece who was the leader.

      The third thing is that it’s clear NZF voters are now having second thoughts about voting WP back in; but, alas, that’s democracy, you just get one chance to get it right.

      • Kosh103

        It has been Christmas and then the NY holidays. Hell if this poll had of shown Labour on 55% I still would have called it worthless.

        Mid year and I might be intrested.

  • Anonymous

    Good to see Winston First heading down. Hopefully that trend will continue.

    • And the real job for this electoral cycle is to see idiots like yourself exposed as idiots, done! Go hang out on Kiribati and have a swim