The Queensland Massacre

Brisbane Times

Exit polls are showing that Queensland Labor have been routed:

The Liberal National Party is on track for a landslide win in Queensland, with Labor to be left with 10 or fewer seats, two separate exit polls show.

The poll, for the Nine Network, gives the LNP 63 per cent of the two-party preferred vote, to Labor’s 37 per cent.

That’s a 13 per cent swing against the Bligh Labor government, leaving it with 10 or fewer seats in the 89-seat parliament.

The LNP’s primary vote was put at 51 per cent to Labor’s 26 per cent, with Katter’s Australian Party on 11 per cent.

Another exit poll, done for Sky News, showed a swing to the LNP of 15.3 per cent.

The LNP had 55 per cent of the primary vote, while Labor was on 26 per cent.

That swing would mean Labor would lose up to 44 seats if the swing was uniform across the state.

UPDATE: Looking worse for Bligh:



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  • 26 per cent… Sounds similar to the result one other Labour Party I know of achieved recently…

    • AngryTory

      yeah – but  because QLD is a democracy, they’ll be reduced to something like 5 seats.

      Whereas if another 10K bludgers had bothered to get out of bed, Phil would have been running the country!

  • Grizz30

    Looks like good coverage on sky news.

  • Gazzaw

    This is great news. The four most powerful states are in LNP hands. Labor now controls only South Australia & Tasmania neither of which exactly rate as economic power houses.

    Current state of the poll: LNP 64 Labor 5.

    Sleep well Julia.

    • Kosh103

      Given the size of the win, is it good news for a Govt not to have an opposition? Because there is no way QLD Labor can be considered an effective opposition, if an opposition at all.

      I dont follow Oz politics so Im not overly fussed as to who wins or loses. My intrest is in the concept of zero opposition to a Govt in a democratic country/state.

      • Peter Wilson

        Its really little different to NZ politics. Given National’s huge mandate – twice as many seats as the next best party – there’s not much of an opposition here either.

      • Kosh103

        Actually it is very different.

        Our National may have the most seats, but they are the Govt by only 1 or 2 seats.

      • Grizz30

        Kosh does make a point. Your electoral system is the difference between a thin majority and a total landslide/anihilation. Even the LNP has not got 50% of initial votes. Does this mean they can effectively run like a dictatorship?

        The Green party got a similar vote to the Green party in the NZ election. While in NZ they are a political force. In Australia, tick the green box, and you might as well wipe your arse with it.

  • Grizz30

    If the ALP have less than 10 seats, they will lose “party status”. Effectively this means a huge loss of parliamentary funding.

    • Gazzaw

      The current state of the play with nine seats to be confirmed is

      LNP 73 ALP 4 Others 4.

      Even hard out Labor seats such as Mt Isa have been lost due to Julia’s mining tax.
      Mackay has gone to the LNP after being an ALP stronghold since 1915!

      • Sweetd

        This is almost a political party extinction event. Just think years from now uni students will search for evidence ALP ever roamed Queensland.

  • LNPLNP909,84049.38 Australian Labor PartyALP496,39426.94 The Australian PartyKAP214,55611.65 The GreensGRN135,7407.37
    Statistics at 12.45 NZDT – note the remarkable similarity between the popular vote and the Party Vote in the comparable parties from the New Zealand election. Considering the Australian Party is somewhat analogous to NZ First, you could swap the totals for KAP and GRN and have almost a carbon copy of the New Zealand election result. 

    • Hmm… that didn’t work out very nicely. Salient point is Liberal-National on 49% of the state-wide first preference, Labor on 27. Near carbon-copy of our election’s Party vote. 

  • Ratchet

    Rumour has it that the ALP have been offered a Toyota Tarago (Estima) to carpool in…..