National Selection FAQ, Ctd

What are your chances of selection in a seat where you challenge a sitting MP?

Historically pretty good. John Key and Judith Collins won. Other challenges have resulted in MPs cutting and running. There are some common factors in winning a challenge, including an average MP, a weak electorate and a strong candidate. Any MP without a strong electorate is vulnerable as if they do not have 450 members the regional chair appoints top up delegates. Read Rule 105 for a detailed explanation, but simply put there is 1 delegate per 15 members, and the rest are top ups so a regional chair could shaft a sitting MP.


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